Humphrey Coliseum · at Mississippi St
Closing line
MSST -16.5✓ LIU covered by 12.5
MSST -16.5✓ LIU covered by 12.5Closing total152.5Over by 17.5
 LIU | This season | MSST |
|---|---|---|
| 6-4 | Record | 5-5 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 2-8 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LIU 70–88 MSST · ✓ MSST (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 38 | 45 | 83 |
| MSST | 39 | 48 | 87 |
1st half: LIU 38, MSST 39 (MSST by 1). The model had MSST by 10.5 and a total of 73.7 (actual 77).
Team stats
| LIU | MSST | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-68 47% | Field goals | 28-60 47% |
| 11-30 37% | 3-pointers | 8-20 40% |
| 8-11 73% | Free throws | 23-30 77% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 40 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 11 |
| 7 | Steals | 3 |
| 7 | Blocks | 5 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 20 | Fouls | 10 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 23 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| LIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal Fuller G | 38 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 6-12 | 3-8 |
| Jomo Goings G | 36 | 16 | 3 | 5 | 6-9 | 2-4 |
| Greg Gordon G | 30 | 12 | 6 | 3 | 6-10 | 0-1 |
| Malachi Davis G | 22 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 6-18 | 2-8 |
| Shadrak Lasu F | 16 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Faheim Meran G | 22 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Isaiah Miranda F | 14 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Mason Porter-Brown F | 12 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Tre'shawn Sheppard G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Gavin Pendergast, Eddie Munyak, Max Ndlovu-Fraser, Xinyi Li, Caleb Johnson, A.J. Neal Jr.
| MSST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Hubbard G | 35 | 34 | 2 | 4 | 11-23 | 6-13 |
| Jayden Epps G | 34 | 20 | 4 | 1 | 6-13 | 1-5 |
| Shawn Jones Jr. G | 31 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Quincy Ballard C | 27 | 8 | 10 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Achor Achor F | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sergej Macura F | 25 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 5-6 | 1-1 |
| Jamarion Davis-Fleming F | 16 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ja'Borri McGhee G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Brandon Walker F | 9 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Dellquan Warren G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: King Grace, Tee Bartlett, Cameren Paul, Amier Ali, Gai Chol
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMSST -16.5
ModelMSST -17.7
Model edgeMSST +1.2
L LIU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model157.6
Model edgeOver 5.1
W Over
Projected score
LIU 69.9 · MSST 87.6
LIU 83 · MSST 87
Win probability
MSST 94%
1st half
Spread
MSST -10.5
MSST -1.0
Total
73.7
77 points
Projected score
LIU 31.6 · MSST 42.1
LIU 38 · MSST 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSST -16.5
no move
CloseMSST -16.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▼ 1
Close152.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
LIU +900 · MSST -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSST -16.5 · unchangedmodel MSST -17.5
model MSST -17.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 downmodel 157.5
model 157.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LIU | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| MSST | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Long Island
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ND | L 67-89 | +15.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 6 | @ IUIN | W 94-90 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 185.5 | U 184 |
| Nov 11 | @ AF | W 76-72 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 15 | vs JMU | W 88-79 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 20 | @ FOR | L 53-69 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 22 | @ ILL | L 58-98 | +34.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ MOST | W 75-61 | +4.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIN | L 92-94 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 153.5 | O 186 |
| Dec 6 | @ LEH | W 87-82 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 13 | vs LAS | W 70-60 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ND
NDL 67-89
−6.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 94-90
+8.5
11
@AF
AFW 76-72
−1.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 88-79
+5.5
20
@FOR
FORL 53-69
−11.5
22
@ILL
ILLL 58-98
−5.5
24
@MOST
MOSTW 75-61
+18.5
2
vsWIN
WINL 92-94
+3.5
6
@LEH
LEHW 87-82
+3.5
13
vsLAS
LASW 70-60
+7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ND
NDL 67-89
+20.5
6
@IUIN
IUINW 94-90
−1.5
11
@AF
AFW 76-72
+10.5
15
vsJMU
JMUW 88-79
+19.5
20
@FOR
FORL 53-69
−23.5
22
@ILL
ILLL 58-98
−4.5
24
@MOST
MOSTW 75-61
−9.5
2
vsWIN
WINL 92-94
+32.5
6
@LEH
LEHW 87-82
+26.5
13
vsLAS
LASW 70-60
−13.5
over 5under 5avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Mississippi St
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
2-8
20% covers · avg −8.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +2.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs UNA | W 86-62 | -24.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 10 | vs ISU | L 80-96 | +5.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | vs SELA | W 75-68 | -27.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs KSU | L 77-98 | -2.5 | L −23.5 | 164.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 21 | vs UNM | L 78-80 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 24 | vs NOLA | W 81-78 | -23.5 | L −20.5 | 160.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMU | L 81-87 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 3 | @ GT | W 85-73 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 7 | vs SF | L 62-65 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | vs UTAH | W 82-74 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsUNA
UNAW 86-62
−0.5
10
vsISU
ISUL 80-96
−10.5
15
vsSELA
SELAW 75-68
−20.5
20
vsKSU
KSUL 77-98
−23.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
−8.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-78
−20.5
28
vsSMU
SMUL 81-87
−7.5
3
@GT
GTW 85-73
+10.5
7
vsSF
SFL 62-65
−7.5
13
vsUTAH
UTAHW 82-74
+6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 8avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsUNA
UNAW 86-62
−3.5
10
vsISU
ISUL 80-96
+25.5
15
vsSELA
SELAW 75-68
−7.5
20
vsKSU
KSUL 77-98
+10.5
21
vsUNM
UNML 78-80
+6.5
24
vsNOLA
NOLAW 81-78
−1.5
28
vsSMU
SMUL 81-87
+5.5
3
@GT
GTW 85-73
+7.5
7
vsSF
SFL 62-65
−23.5
13
vsUTAH
UTAHW 82-74
+2.5
over 6under 4avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Long Island
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs La Salle70–60
- W@ Lehigh87–82
- Lvs Winthrop92–94
- W@ Missouri St75–61
- L@ Illinois58–98
3 days since their last game.
Mississippi St
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Utah82–74
- Lvs San Francisco62–65
- W@ Georgia Tech85–73
- Lvs SMU81–87
- Wvs LSU N Orleans81–78
3 days since their last game.