Broadview Center · at UAlbany · Conference game
Closing line
UVM -5.5✓ UALB covered by 12.5
UVM -5.5✓ UALB covered by 12.5Closing total139.5Over by 3.5
| UVM | This season | UALB |
|---|---|---|
| 9-7 | Record | 3-12 |
| 7-9 | ATS | 6-9 |
| 11-5 | O/U | 6-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UVM 75–71 UALB · ✗ UVM (63%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 29 | 39 | 68 |
| UALB | 37 | 38 | 75 |
1st half: UVM 29, UALB 37 (UALB by 8). The model had UVM by 2.4 and a total of 68.3 (actual 66).
Team stats
| UVM | UALB | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-55 44% | Field goals | 24-54 44% |
| 9-24 38% | 3-pointers | 9-25 36% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 18-24 75% |
| 33 7 off | Rebounds | 32 6 off |
| 10 | Assists | 17 |
| 2 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| UVM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Benjamin Michaels F | 36 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Sean Blake G | 33 | 11 | 6 | 4 | 5-12 | 1-2 |
| TJ Hurley G | 32 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 4-13 | 3-7 |
| Gus Yalden F | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 8-13 | 1-4 |
| Ben Johnson G | 31 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Lucas Mari G | 15 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| David Simon F | 12 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Momo Nkugwa G | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Skipper F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Wesson, Noah Barnett, Sincere Clemons, Drew Bessette, TJ Long, Trey Woodyard, Chris Kuzemka
| UALB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Amir Lindsey G | 40 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 6-18 | 3-6 |
| Zacharie Matulu G | 40 | 7 | 13 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Abdoulaye Fall G | 34 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 4-8 | 3-5 |
| Isaac Abidde F | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 7-10 | 1-4 |
| Okechukwu Okeke F | 23 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tarique Foster G | 25 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-6 |
| Miles Rose G | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ma'Kye Taylor F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Yaya Keita, Jaden Kempson, Wilkin Paulino, Ife West-Ingram, Sully Adewale, Nasir Muhammad, Will Richardson, Bautista Giralt
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVM -5.5
ModelUVM -3.9
Model edgeUALB +1.6
W UALB covered
Total
Market139.5
Model145.9
Model edgeOver 6.4
W Over
Projected score
UVM 74.9 · UALB 71
UVM 68 · UALB 75
Win probability
UVM 63%
1st half
Spread
UVM -2.4
UALB -8.0
Total
68.3
66 points
Projected score
UVM 35.4 · UALB 33
UVM 29 · UALB 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVM -5.5
no move
CloseUVM -5.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
▼ 2
Close139.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UVM -245 · UALB +200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVM -5.5 · unchangedmodel UVM -4
model UVM -4
Opened 141.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 2 downmodel 146
model 146
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UVM | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| UALB | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UVM 9–0 UALBUVM leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UVM has won the last 9 meetings · UVM 7-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2024-25 | UALB 71 @ UVM 79 | UVM -4.5 | UVM W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | UVM 68 @ UALB 62 | UALB -1.5 | UVM W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | UALB 72 @ UVM 75 | UVM -16.5 | UALB W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | UVM 94 @ UALB 80 | UALB +11.5 | UVM W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | UALB 59 @ UVM 81 | UVM -12.5 | UVM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vermont
16 games played
Straight up
9-7
56% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-5
69% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ BRWN | W 89-84 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | @ NE | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ BUF | L 90-94 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 141.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIB | L 73-79 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs URI | L 65-80 | +4.5 | L −10.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 26 | vs PRIN | W 79-74 | -5.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 30 | vs YALE | L 74-77 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ORST | L 58-80 | +3.5 | L −18.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 6 | @ PEPP | W 65-56 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs MRMK | W 66-59 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 136.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 17 | vs SIE | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 134.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 20 | vs IONA | L 78-83 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 30 | @PRIN | L 69-75 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 3 | @ UNH | W 80-61 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 8 | vs BING | W 60-59 | -20.5 | L −19.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 15 | vs ME | W 67-62 | -14.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
−0.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+12.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
−5.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+2.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
−10.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
−0.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−18.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
+7.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
+0.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+11.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
−11.5
30
@PRIN
PRINL 69-75
−9.5
3
@UNH
UNHW 80-61
+11.5
8
vsBING
BINGW 60-59
−19.5
15
vsME
MEW 67-62
−9.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@BRWN
BRWNW 89-84
+41.5
15
@NE
NEW 85-74
+24.5
18
@BUF
BUFL 90-94
+42.5
24
vsLIB
LIBL 73-79
+10.5
25
vsURI
URIL 65-80
+0.5
26
vsPRIN
PRINW 79-74
+12.5
30
vsYALE
YALEL 74-77
+3.5
3
@ORST
ORSTL 58-80
−5.5
6
@PEPP
PEPPW 65-56
−21.5
14
vsMRMK
MRMKW 66-59
−11.5
17
vsSIE
SIEW 83-69
+17.5
20
vsIONA
IONAL 78-83
+8.5
30
@PRIN
PRINL 69-75
+7.5
3
@UNH
UNHW 80-61
+1.5
8
vsBING
BINGW 60-59
−21.5
15
vsME
MEW 67-62
−1.5
over 11under 5avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
UAlbany
15 games played
Straight up
3-12
20% wins
Against the spread
6-9
40% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-9
40% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MARQ | L 53-80 | +24.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | @ MASS | L 62-83 | +9.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 14 | @URI | L 61-80 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 21 | @SIE | L 63-73 | +10.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 28 | vs COLG | L 67-69 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 29 | vs FOR | L 68-88 | +10.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 6 | @ COLU | L 65-93 | +13.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 10 | vsYALE | L 82-93 | +17.5 | W +6.5 | 145.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 13 | @ FAU | L 79-105 | +18.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 17 | @ STBK | W 71-55 | +10.5 | W +26.5 | 146.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 21 | vs COR | L 75-83 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 30 | @ SC | L 67-96 | +19.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | @ UML | L 71-83 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 10 | vs BRY | W 71-46 | -3.5 | W +21.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Jan 15 | vsBING | W 69-53 | -8.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MARQ
MARQL 53-80
−2.5
8
@MASS
MASSL 62-83
−11.5
14
@URI
URIL 61-80
−3.5
21
@SIE
SIEL 63-73
+0.5
28
vsCOLG
COLGL 67-69
+5.5
29
vsFOR
FORL 68-88
−9.5
6
@COLU
COLUL 65-93
−14.5
10
vsYALE
YALEL 82-93
+6.5
13
@FAU
FAUL 79-105
−7.5
17
@STBK
STBKW 71-55
+26.5
21
vsCOR
CORL 75-83
−1.5
30
@SC
SCL 67-96
−9.5
3
@UML
UMLL 71-83
−9.5
10
vsBRY
BRYW 71-46
+21.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 69-53
+7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 9avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MARQ
MARQL 53-80
−16.5
8
@MASS
MASSL 62-83
−10.5
14
@URI
URIL 61-80
−9.5
21
@SIE
SIEL 63-73
−4.5
28
vsCOLG
COLGL 67-69
−5.5
29
vsFOR
FORL 68-88
+12.5
6
@COLU
COLUL 65-93
+13.5
10
vsYALE
YALEL 82-93
+29.5
13
@FAU
FAUL 79-105
+36.5
17
@STBK
STBKW 71-55
−20.5
21
vsCOR
CORL 75-83
−9.5
30
@SC
SCL 67-96
+14.5
3
@UML
UMLL 71-83
+3.5
10
vsBRY
BRYW 71-46
−19.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 69-53
−16.5
over 6under 9avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vermont
9-7 overall · 3-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maine67–62
- Wvs Binghamton60–59
- W@ New Hampshire80–61
- L@ Princeton69–75
- Lvs Iona78–83
4 days since their last game.
UAlbany
3-12 overall · 2-1 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Binghamton69–53
- Wvs Bryant71–46
- L@ UMass Lowell71–83
- L@ South Carolina67–96
- Lvs Cornell75–83
4 days since their last game.