Kaplan Arena · at William & Mary · Conference game
Closing line
W&M -3.5✓ W&M covered by 3.5
W&M -3.5✓ W&M covered by 3.5Closing total157.5Over by 13.5
 HOF | This season | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| 11-7 | Record | 11-6 |
| 12-6 | ATS | 12-5 |
| 12-6 | O/U | 7-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: HOF 77–79 W&M · ✓ W&M (57%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOF | 37 | 45 | 82 |
| W&M | 42 | 47 | 89 |
1st half: HOF 37, W&M 42 (W&M by 5). The model had W&M by 1.0 and a total of 72.7 (actual 79).
Team stats
| HOF | W&M | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-69 41% | Field goals | 30-71 42% |
| 13-32 41% | 3-pointers | 18-44 41% |
| 13-15 87% | Free throws | 11-13 85% |
| 42 16 off | Rebounds | 41 16 off |
| 11 | Assists | 23 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 6 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| HOF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cruz Davis G | 40 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 5-19 | 2-8 |
| Joshua DeCady F | 34 | 12 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Preston Edmead G | 28 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 5-12 | 4-8 |
| Victory Onuetu F | 27 | 8 | 13 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Biggie Patterson G | 22 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Joshua Aaron Reaves G | 27 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-7 | 3-7 |
| Jaeden Roberts G | 11 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Silas Sunday F | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Carlos Lopez, Trey Boyd III, Brandon Morgan, German Plotnikov, Amir Williams, A.J. Wills, Alex Tsynkevich
| W&M | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyle Pulliam G | 27 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Tunde Vahlberg Fasasi F | 27 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Kilian Brockhoff F | 25 | 28 | 4 | 3 | 10-19 | 8-15 |
| Chase Lowe G | 22 | 8 | 11 | 4 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Cade Haskins F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Reese Miller G | 25 | 17 | 0 | 1 | 5-11 | 4-8 |
| Jo'el Emanuel F | 25 | 4 | 6 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Jhei-R Jones G | 18 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Ryan Jackson Jr. G | 18 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-1 |
| Finn Lally F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaleb Spencer, Ethan Connery, Colin Lamine Ndaw, Miles Hicks, Kyle Frazier
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketW&M -3.5
ModelW&M -1.9
Model edgeHOF +1.6
L W&M covered
Total
Market157.5
Model155.4
Model edgeUnder 2.1
L Over
Projected score
HOF 76.7 · W&M 78.6
HOF 82 · W&M 89
Win probability
W&M 57%
1st half
Spread
W&M -1.0
W&M -5.0
Total
72.7
79 points
Projected score
HOF 35.9 · W&M 36.9
HOF 37 · W&M 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenW&M -2.5
1 → W&M
CloseW&M -3.5
1 pt toward W&M
Total
Open158.5
▼ 1
Close157.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
HOF +145 · W&M -175
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened W&M -2.5 · closed W&M -3.5 · moved 1 toward W&Mmodel W&M -2
model W&M -2
Opened 158.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 downmodel 155.5
model 155.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| HOF | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% |
| W&M | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
HOF 4–3 W&MHOF leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · W&M has won the last 2 meetings · HOF 3-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | HOF 60 @ W&M 61 | W&M -2.5 | HOF W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | W&M 74 @ HOF 56 | HOF -5.5 | W&M W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | W&M 55 @ HOF 64 | HOF -13.5 | W&M W |
| Mar 5, 2022-23 | W&M 46 vs HOF 94 | HOF -14.5 | HOF W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | HOF 75 @ W&M 62 | W&M +6.5 | HOF W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Hofstra
18 games played
Straight up
11-7
61% wins
Against the spread
12-6
67% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-6
67% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UCF | L 78-82 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | @ IONA | L 73-81 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 14 | @ BUCK | W 83-77 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 19 | @ TEM | L 76-81 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 28 | vs LAS | W 63-58 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | vs MRMK | W 78-58 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 135.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 30 | @ PENN | W 77-60 | -1.5 | W +15.5 | 149.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ COLU | L 70-72 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 7 | @ PITT | W 80-73 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 13 | @ SYR | W 70-69 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | vs QUIN | W 74-66 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 29 | vs CAM | W 86-72 | -6.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ DREX | W 70-67 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 8 | @ TOW | W 78-67 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 10 | vs MONM | W 67-64 | -7.5 | L −4.5 | 139.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 15 | @ STBK | L 71-76 | -6.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 17 | vs ELON | L 85-89 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 149.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 22 | @ NCAT | L 78-79 | -9.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+4.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
−9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+1.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+0.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
+1.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+14.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
+15.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
+1.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 80-73
+15.5
13
@SYR
SYRW 70-69
+10.5
21
vsQUIN
QUINW 74-66
+0.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 86-72
+7.5
3
@DREX
DREXW 70-67
−1.5
8
@TOW
TOWW 78-67
+12.5
10
vsMONM
MONMW 67-64
−4.5
15
@STBK
STBKL 71-76
−11.5
17
vsELON
ELONL 85-89
−9.5
22
@NCAT
NCATL 78-79
−10.5
covered 12didn’t cover 6avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UCF
UCFL 78-82
+19.5
7
@IONA
IONAL 73-81
+9.5
14
@BUCK
BUCKW 83-77
+20.5
19
@TEM
TEML 76-81
+11.5
28
vsLAS
LASW 63-58
−17.5
29
vsMRMK
MRMKW 78-58
+0.5
30
@PENN
PENNW 77-60
−12.5
3
@COLU
COLUL 70-72
−2.5
7
@PITT
PITTW 80-73
+18.5
13
@SYR
SYRW 70-69
−0.5
21
vsQUIN
QUINW 74-66
−7.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 86-72
+8.5
3
@DREX
DREXW 70-67
+5.5
8
@TOW
TOWW 78-67
+10.5
10
vsMONM
MONMW 67-64
−8.5
15
@STBK
STBKL 71-76
+10.5
17
vsELON
ELONL 85-89
+24.5
22
@NCAT
NCATL 78-79
+10.5
over 12under 6avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
William & Mary
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
12-5
71% covers · avg +4.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-10
41% overs · avg −5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ NORF | W 81-78 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 158.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICH | L 86-90 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 164.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ SJU | L 60-93 | +28.5 | L −4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 19 | @ BGSU | W 82-74 | +8.5 | W +16.5 | 167.5 | U 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs UTEP | W 74-63 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs ACU | W 92-58 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 30 | vs ODU | W 88-75 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | U 163 |
| Dec 2 | @ DUQ | W 83-79 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 170.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | @ GW | L 86-99 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 174.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 18 | vs RAD | W 96-83 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 170.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vsTOW | W 84-70 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 157.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 31 | vsSTBK | W 76-57 | -11.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 5 | @ COFC | L 79-88 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 165.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @MONM | L 70-81 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 10 | @DREX | L 58-64 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 15 | vsNCAT | W 97-89 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 22 | vs UNCW | W 77-70 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+5.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−4.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
+16.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
+8.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+35.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
+4.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
+9.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+0.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+4.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
+12.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
+7.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
−6.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−13.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−9.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
−5.5
22
vsUNCW
UNCWW 77-70
+4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 5avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@NORF
NORFW 81-78
+0.5
11
@RICH
RICHL 86-90
+11.5
15
@SJU
SJUL 60-93
−26.5
19
@BGSU
BGSUW 82-74
−11.5
24
vsUTEP
UTEPW 74-63
−22.5
25
vsACU
ACUW 92-58
+2.5
30
vsODU
ODUW 88-75
−0.5
2
@DUQ
DUQW 83-79
−8.5
6
@GW
GWL 86-99
+10.5
18
vsRAD
RADW 96-83
+8.5
29
vsTOW
TOWW 84-70
−3.5
31
vsSTBK
STBKW 76-57
−26.5
5
@COFC
COFCL 79-88
+1.5
8
@MONM
MONML 70-81
−5.5
10
@DREX
DREXL 58-64
−28.5
15
vsNCAT
NCATW 97-89
+23.5
22
vsUNCW
UNCWW 77-70
−12.5
over 7under 10avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Hofstra
11-7 overall · 4-3 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ NC A&T78–79
- Lvs Elon85–89
- L@ Stony Brook71–76
- Wvs Monmouth67–64
- W@ Towson78–67
2 days since their last game.
William & Mary
11-6 overall · 4-3 in conference · Coastal Athletic Association
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UNC Wilmington77–70
- Wvs NC A&T97–89
- L@ Drexel58–64
- L@ Monmouth70–81
- L@ Charleston79–88
2 days since their last game.