Freedom Hall (TN) · at ETSU · Conference game
Closing line
ETSU -9.5✓ WCU covered by 11.5
ETSU -9.5✓ WCU covered by 11.5Closing total145.5Over by 32.5
 WCU | This season | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-12 | Record | 13-6 |
| 5-12 | ATS | 9-10 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 8-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WCU 69–80 ETSU · ✗ ETSU (83%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WCU | 49 | 41 | 90 |
| ETSU | 35 | 53 | 88 |
1st half: WCU 49, ETSU 35 (WCU by 14). The model had ETSU by 6.5 and a total of 69.8 (actual 84).
Team stats
| WCU | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-56 52% | Field goals | 26-53 49% |
| 11-26 42% | 3-pointers | 8-22 36% |
| 21-28 75% | Free throws | 28-35 80% |
| 34 11 off | Rebounds | 28 8 off |
| 18 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 18 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| WCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Julien Soumaoro G | 34 | 19 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 5-9 |
| Samuel Dada F | 33 | 12 | 13 | 3 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Cord Stansberry G | 33 | 19 | 1 | 5 | 5-12 | 0-5 |
| Marcus Kell F | 30 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi G | 20 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tahlan Pettway G | 17 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Tayeshaun Smith F | 12 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Johnson F | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-7 | 0-1 |
| CJ Hyland G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Drew Hollifield, Vernon Collins Jr., Abdulai Fanta Kabba, Max Williams, Fischer Brown, Titian DeRosa, Chase McKey
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 39 | 24 | 2 | 7 | 8-15 | 2-7 |
| Blake Barkley F | 36 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Cam Morris III F | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Allen Strothers G | 20 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Smith G | 21 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Maki Johnson G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Gabe Sisk G | 11 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Sutherland F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Maddox Huff, Frederico Whitaker Jr., Henry Sisemore, Brayden Crump, Milton Matthews III, Joseph Carter
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketETSU -9.5
ModelETSU -11.1
Model edgeETSU +1.6
L WCU covered
Total
Market145.5
Model149.1
Model edgeOver 3.6
W Over
Projected score
WCU 69 · ETSU 80.1
WCU 90 · ETSU 88
Win probability
ETSU 83%
1st half
Spread
ETSU -6.5
WCU -14.0
Total
69.8
84 points
Projected score
WCU 31.7 · ETSU 38.2
WCU 49 · ETSU 35
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -11.5
2 → WCU
CloseETSU -9.5
2 pts toward WCU
Total
Open147.5
▼ 2
Close145.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
WCU +400 · ETSU -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -11.5 · closed ETSU -9.5 · moved 2 toward WCUmodel ETSU -11
model ETSU -11
Opened 147.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 2 downmodel 149
model 149
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WCU | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| ETSU | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
WCU 8–2 ETSUWCU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · WCU has won the last 2 meetings · WCU 7-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 14, 2025-26 | ETSU 68 @ WCU 72 | WCU +6.5 | WCU W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | ETSU 67 @ WCU 76 | WCU +10.5 | WCU W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | WCU 58 @ ETSU 85 | ETSU -14.5 | ETSU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | ETSU 65 @ WCU 70 | WCU -7.5 | ETSU W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | WCU 80 @ ETSU 66 | ETSU +1.5 | WCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
W Carolina
17 games played
Straight up
5-12
29% wins
Against the spread
5-12
29% covers · avg −0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CIN | L 63-94 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | @ DUKE | L 54-95 | +36.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs STET | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNCA | W 80-73 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ LIP | L 62-83 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 29 | @ HPU | L 73-93 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 6 | @ UPST | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 11 | @ VT | L 74-96 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 18 | @ UGA | L 82-112 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | vs WOF | L 74-79 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ FUR | W 80-77 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 7 | @ SAM | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ CIT | L 77-79 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vsETSU | W 72-68 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | vs UTC | L 82-90 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | @ MER | L 76-88 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 24 | vs VMI | W 88-58 | -8.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
−8.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−4.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−1.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+8.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−15.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
−3.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−8.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
−1.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+2.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−2.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
+11.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
−0.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
−8.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
+10.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
−9.5
21
@MER
MERL 76-88
−3.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 88-58
+21.5
covered 5didn’t cover 12avg −0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
+13.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−3.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−14.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+0.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−6.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
+6.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−4.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
+17.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+26.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−1.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
−0.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
+5.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
+7.5
14
vsETSU
ETSUW 72-68
−7.5
17
vsUTC
UTCL 82-90
+21.5
21
@MER
MERL 76-88
+5.5
24
vsVMI
VMIW 88-58
−6.5
over 9under 8avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
ETSU
19 games played
Straight up
13-6
68% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-11
42% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ PRES | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 12 | vs NKU | W 75-63 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNA | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs MORE | W 77-62 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | vs ULM | W 97-55 | -19.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 29 | vs CARK | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | @ DAY | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs USA | W 91-65 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 12 | @ APSU | L 75-76 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNC | L 58-77 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs JXST | L 75-81 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | @CIT | W 74-49 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsMER | W 77-71 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsVMI | W 81-67 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNCG | W 86-60 | -11.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 14 | @WCU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | @SAM | W 76-75 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @UTC | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 23 | vsCIT | W 84-55 | -17.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−10.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
+5.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+5.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+22.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
+10.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
−5.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+18.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
−4.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−1.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
−15.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
+12.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−1.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
−2.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
+14.5
14
@WCU
WCUL 68-72
−10.5
17
@SAM
SAMW 76-75
−2.5
21
@UTC
UTCW 67-66
−3.5
23
vsCIT
CITW 84-55
+11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−9.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
−4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+6.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
−5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+5.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
−7.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
+18.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+12.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
+7.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−15.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
+21.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
−17.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−0.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
+1.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
−2.5
14
@WCU
WCUL 68-72
−7.5
17
@SAM
SAMW 76-75
+2.5
21
@UTC
UTCW 67-66
−10.5
23
vsCIT
CITW 84-55
−2.5
over 8under 11avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
W Carolina
5-12 overall · 3-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs VMI88–58
- L@ Mercer76–88
- Lvs Chattanooga82–90
- Wvs ETSU72–68
- L@ The Citadel77–79
5 days since their last game.
ETSU
13-6 overall · 7-1 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs The Citadel84–55
- W@ Chattanooga67–66
- W@ Samford76–75
- L@ W Carolina68–72
- Wvs UNC Greensboro86–60
6 days since their last game.