Pete Hanna Center · at Samford · Conference game
Closing line
SAM -4.5✓ SAM covered by 6.5
SAM -4.5✓ SAM covered by 6.5Closing total152.5Under by 13.5
 UTC | This season | SAM |
|---|---|---|
| 6-11 | Record | 7-11 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 11-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTC 74–78 SAM · ✓ SAM (63%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | 32 | 32 | 64 |
| SAM | 32 | 43 | 75 |
1st half: UTC 32, SAM 32 (tied). The model had SAM by 2.1 and a total of 71.5 (actual 64).
Team stats
| UTC | SAM | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-48 42% | Field goals | 21-52 40% |
| 10-26 38% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 14-21 67% | Free throws | 23-36 64% |
| 34 5 off | Rebounds | 37 9 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 1 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 0 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 27 | Fouls | 19 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| UTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tate Darner G | 33 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Brennan Watkins G | 30 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 3-5 |
| Jordan Frison G | 27 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Jikari Johnson G | 22 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-7 | 3-4 |
| Josh Bowman F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Billy Smith G | 23 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Collin Mulholland F | 15 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Teddy Washington Jr. G | 12 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Parker Robison G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Makai Richards C | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Houston Holland G | 7 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ryan Lopez, Liam Vitters, Latif Diouf, Sean Cusano, Sebastian Hartmann, Zach Bleshoy
| SAM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jadin Booth G | 40 | 28 | 3 | 3 | 9-16 | 6-12 |
| Cade Norris G | 34 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Keaton Norris G | 30 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Dylan Faulkner F | 27 | 18 | 13 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Campbell-Finch G | 18 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zion Wilburn G | 24 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Kam Martin G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Will Shaver C | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaxon Pollard, Zach Lamey, Corey Brown, Caleb Harrison, Judson Bjornstad, Joshua Hughes, DaJion Humphrey, JD Gossett, Cooper Davenport
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSAM -4.5
ModelSAM -3.8
Model edgeUTC +0.7
L SAM covered
Total
Market152.5
Model152.6
Model edgeOver 0.1
L Under
Projected score
UTC 74.4 · SAM 78.2
UTC 64 · SAM 75
Win probability
SAM 63%
1st half
Spread
SAM -2.1
tied
Total
71.5
64 points
Projected score
UTC 34.7 · SAM 36.8
UTC 32 · SAM 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSAM -4.5
no move
CloseSAM -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open153.5
▼ 1
Close152.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UTC +150 · SAM -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SAM -4.5 · unchangedmodel SAM -4
model SAM -4
Opened 153.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 1 downmodel 152.5 matches the line
model 152.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| SAM | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UTC 4–6 SAMSAM leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UTC has won the last 2 meetings · UTC 5-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 10, 2025-26 | SAM 79 @ UTC 88 | UTC -1.5 | UTC W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | UTC 82 @ SAM 68 | SAM -5.5 | UTC W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | SAM 73 @ UTC 69 | UTC +2.5 | SAM W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | SAM 78 @ UTC 56 | UTC -1.5 | SAM W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | UTC 74 @ SAM 89 | SAM -6.5 | SAM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Chattanooga
17 games played
Straight up
6-11
35% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg −4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ SMC | L 66-87 | +15.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 8 | @ UNLV | L 69-101 | +7.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 15 | @ FGCU | L 73-91 | -1.5 | L −19.5 | 152.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ SCST | W 78-66 | -11.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNA | W 71-57 | -9.5 | W +4.5 | 149.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | vs TNST | L 64-70 | -8.5 | L −14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 6 | vs SEMO | L 70-74 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 13 | vs AUB | L 78-92 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 17 | @ BELL | L 64-79 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | @ AAMU | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 1 | @ UNCG | L 72-77 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ VMI | L 71-79 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 7 | vs FUR | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 10 | vsSAM | W 88-79 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | @ WOF | W 76-67 | +5.5 | W +14.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 17 | @ WCU | W 90-82 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 21 | vs ETSU | L 66-67 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
−5.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
−24.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
−19.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
+0.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
+4.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−14.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−7.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+5.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−16.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+4.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
−7.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
−14.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−8.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+7.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
+14.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+9.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
+3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg −4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@SMC
SMCL 66-87
+7.5
8
@UNLV
UNLVL 69-101
+14.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUL 73-91
+11.5
19
@SCST
SCSTW 78-66
−10.5
22
vsUNA
UNAW 71-57
−21.5
30
vsTNST
TNSTL 64-70
−21.5
6
vsSEMO
SEMOL 70-74
−5.5
13
vsAUB
AUBL 78-92
+19.5
17
@BELL
BELLL 64-79
−3.5
21
@AAMU
AAMUW 73-66
+0.5
1
@UNCG
UNCGL 72-77
+1.5
3
@VMI
VMIL 71-79
+0.5
7
vsFUR
FURL 67-78
−1.5
10
vsSAM
SAMW 88-79
+18.5
14
@WOF
WOFW 76-67
−11.5
17
@WCU
WCUW 90-82
+21.5
21
vsETSU
ETSUL 66-67
−10.5
over 9under 8avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Samford
18 games played
Straight up
7-11
39% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TULN | L 72-85 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 7 | vsSCST | W 82-72 | -14.5 | L −4.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 12 | @ TXSO | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 14 | @ ARK | L 75-79 | +24.5 | W +20.5 | 158.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 16 | @ CARK | W 84-77 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 19 | vsFGCU | L 62-77 | -5.5 | L −20.5 | 154.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | @ NMSU | L 72-81 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs GAST | W 78-63 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | vs UVU | L 45-89 | +7.5 | L −36.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 5 | @ VCU | L 57-83 | +19.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 7 | vs COR | W 93-90 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 166.5 | O 183 |
| Jan 1 | @VMI | W 78-58 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 3 | @UNCG | L 82-89 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | vsWCU | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @UTC | L 79-88 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 14 | vsFUR | L 73-77 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 17 | vsETSU | L 75-76 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @WOF | L 78-88 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
−5.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−4.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+0.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
+20.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+0.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−20.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
−0.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
+9.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−36.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−6.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+0.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
+13.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
−9.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+0.5
10
@UTC
UTCL 79-88
−7.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 73-77
−2.5
17
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-76
+2.5
21
@WOF
WOFL 78-88
−6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TULN
TULNL 72-85
+2.5
7
vsSCST
SCSTW 82-72
−0.5
12
@TXSO
TXSOW 93-90
+29.5
14
@ARK
ARKL 75-79
−4.5
16
@CARK
CARKW 84-77
+9.5
19
vsFGCU
FGCUL 62-77
−15.5
21
@NMSU
NMSUL 72-81
+7.5
25
vsGAST
GASTW 78-63
−5.5
26
vsUVU
UVUL 45-89
−14.5
5
@VCU
VCUL 57-83
−14.5
7
vsCOR
CORW 93-90
+16.5
1
@VMI
VMIW 78-58
−18.5
3
@UNCG
UNCGL 82-89
+19.5
7
vsWCU
WCUW 82-77
+5.5
10
@UTC
UTCL 79-88
+18.5
14
vsFUR
FURL 73-77
+0.5
17
vsETSU
ETSUL 75-76
+2.5
21
@WOF
WOFL 78-88
+11.5
over 11under 7avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Chattanooga
6-11 overall · 3-4 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs ETSU66–67
- W@ W Carolina90–82
- W@ Wofford76–67
- Wvs Samford88–79
- Lvs Furman67–78
3 days since their last game.
Samford
7-11 overall · 2-5 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wofford78–88
- Lvs ETSU75–76
- Lvs Furman73–77
- L@ Chattanooga79–88
- Wvs W Carolina82–77
3 days since their last game.