Freedom Hall (TN) · at ETSU · Conference game
Closing line
ETSU -17.5✓ ETSU covered by 11.5
ETSU -17.5✓ ETSU covered by 11.5Closing total141.5Under by 2.5
 CIT | This season | ETSU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-14 | Record | 12-6 |
| 8-9 | ATS | 8-10 |
| 9-8 | O/U | 8-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CIT 62–80 ETSU · ✓ ETSU (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 27 | 28 | 55 |
| ETSU | 49 | 35 | 84 |
1st half: CIT 27, ETSU 49 (ETSU by 22). The model had ETSU by 10.6 and a total of 66.7 (actual 76).
Team stats
| CIT | ETSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-53 36% | Field goals | 31-55 56% |
| 11-27 41% | 3-pointers | 10-28 36% |
| 6-15 40% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 24 5 off | Rebounds | 42 8 off |
| 16 | Assists | 20 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 10 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| CIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Logan Applegate G | 35 | 18 | 6 | 0 | 5-13 | 4-9 |
| Braxton Williams F | 33 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3-10 | 2-4 |
| Sola Adebisi F | 29 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Eze Wali G | 24 | 4 | 3 | 6 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Simeon German F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Christian Moore F | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Marcos Gonzales G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Dante Kearse G | 12 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Keynan Davis G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Cassius Bonjasky F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Logan Menefee F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Gabe Hernandez G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Aidan Alexander, Jack Walter, Jameson Heck, Rowan Irelan, Carter Kingsbury, Chase Williams
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 23 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Blake Barkley F | 22 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Cam Morris III F | 21 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6-8 | 1-2 |
| Allen Strothers G | 20 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Smith G | 28 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 6-11 | 5-8 |
| Maki Johnson G | 20 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Isaiah Sutherland F | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| Gabe Sisk G | 17 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Milton Matthews III G | 13 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-5 |
Did not play: Maddox Huff, Frederico Whitaker Jr., Henry Sisemore, Brayden Crump, Joseph Carter
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketETSU -17.5
ModelETSU -18.0
Model edgeETSU +0.5
W ETSU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model142.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
CIT 62.2 · ETSU 80.1
CIT 55 · ETSU 84
Win probability
ETSU 94%
1st half
Spread
ETSU -10.6
ETSU -22.0
Total
66.7
76 points
Projected score
CIT 28 · ETSU 38.6
CIT 27 · ETSU 49
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -17.5
no move
CloseETSU -17.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▲ 1
Close141.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
CIT +1100 · ETSU -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -17.5 · unchangedmodel ETSU -18
model ETSU -18
Opened 140.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 upmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CIT | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
| ETSU | 6-4 60% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
CIT 2–8 ETSUETSU leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · ETSU has won the last 7 meetings · CIT 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2025-26 | ETSU 74 @ CIT 49 | CIT +12.5 | ETSU W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | ETSU 81 @ CIT 66 | CIT +11.5 | ETSU W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | CIT 52 @ ETSU 70 | ETSU -16.5 | ETSU W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | ETSU 81 @ CIT 63 | CIT +1.5 | ETSU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | CIT 60 @ ETSU 62 | ETSU -6.5 | CIT W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
The Citadel
17 games played
Straight up
3-14
18% wins
Against the spread
8-9
47% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-8
53% overs · avg +2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ BC | L 47-76 | +15.5 | L −13.5 | 144.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 10 | vs CHSO | L 86-96 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 14 | @ WGA | L 92-100 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Nov 24 | vs BELL | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 26 | vs HCU | L 65-72 | +1.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 30 | vs PRES | L 41-69 | +8.5 | L −19.5 | 133.5 | U 110 |
| Dec 4 | @ DAV | L 63-79 | +18.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 13 | @ SC | L 55-71 | +22.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 17 | @ COFC | L 78-82 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 20 | @ RICH | L 56-80 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 30 | vsETSU | L 49-74 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs WOF | L 86-95 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ MER | L 63-101 | +16.5 | L −21.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 10 | vs WCU | W 79-77 | +6.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | @ UNCG | L 66-69 | +9.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 17 | @ VMI | W 82-68 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 21 | vs FUR | W 77-75 | +11.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−13.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
−7.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
−1.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−8.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−5.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−19.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+2.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
+6.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−5.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−12.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+0.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
−21.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+8.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
+6.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+20.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+13.5
covered 8didn’t cover 9avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@BC
BCL 47-76
−21.5
10
vsCHSO
CHSOL 86-96
+36.5
14
@WGA
WGAL 92-100
+41.5
24
vsBELL
BELLL 58-70
−28.5
26
vsHCU
HCUL 65-72
−0.5
30
vsPRES
PRESL 41-69
−23.5
4
@DAV
DAVL 63-79
+4.5
13
@SC
SCL 55-71
−15.5
17
@COFC
COFCL 78-82
+13.5
20
@RICH
RICHL 56-80
−10.5
30
vsETSU
ETSUL 49-74
−17.5
3
vsWOF
WOFL 86-95
+36.5
7
@MER
MERL 63-101
+16.5
10
vsWCU
WCUW 79-77
+7.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGL 66-69
−13.5
17
@VMI
VMIW 82-68
+6.5
21
vsFUR
FURW 77-75
+9.5
over 9under 8avg +2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
ETSU
18 games played
Straight up
12-6
67% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-10
44% overs · avg −0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @PRES | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 12 | vs NKU | W 75-63 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNA | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs MORE | W 77-62 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | vs ULM | W 97-55 | -19.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 29 | vs CARK | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | @ DAY | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs USA | W 91-65 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 12 | @ APSU | L 75-76 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNC | L 58-77 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs JXST | L 75-81 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | @CIT | W 74-49 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vsMER | W 77-71 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vsVMI | W 81-67 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vsUNCG | W 86-60 | -11.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 14 | @WCU | L 68-72 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 17 | @ SAM | W 76-75 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 21 | @ UTC | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−10.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
+5.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+5.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+22.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
+10.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
−5.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+18.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
−4.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−1.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
−15.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
+12.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−1.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
−2.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
+14.5
14
@WCU
WCUL 68-72
−10.5
17
@SAM
SAMW 76-75
−2.5
21
@UTC
UTCW 67-66
−3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−9.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
−4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+6.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
−5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+5.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
−7.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
+18.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+12.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
+7.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−15.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
+21.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
−17.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−0.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
+1.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
−2.5
14
@WCU
WCUL 68-72
−7.5
17
@SAM
SAMW 76-75
+2.5
21
@UTC
UTCW 67-66
−10.5
over 8under 10avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
The Citadel
3-14 overall · 3-4 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Furman77–75
- W@ VMI82–68
- L@ UNC Greensboro66–69
- Wvs W Carolina79–77
- L@ Mercer63–101
2 days since their last game.
ETSU
12-6 overall · 6-1 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Chattanooga67–66
- W@ Samford76–75
- L@ W Carolina68–72
- Wvs UNC Greensboro86–60
- Wvs VMI81–67
2 days since their last game.