Ramsey Center · at W Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
ETSU -6.5✓ WCU covered by 10.5
ETSU -6.5✓ WCU covered by 10.5Closing total147.5Under by 7.5
| ETSU | This season | WCU |
|---|---|---|
| 10-5 | Record | 3-10 |
| 8-7 | ATS | 3-10 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 7-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ETSU 79–72 WCU · ✗ ETSU (73%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETSU | 35 | 33 | 68 |
| WCU | 36 | 36 | 72 |
1st half: ETSU 35, WCU 36 (WCU by 1). The model had ETSU by 4.4 and a total of 70.6 (actual 71).
Team stats
| ETSU | WCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-57 39% | Field goals | 27-56 48% |
| 7-23 30% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 30 11 off | Rebounds | 39 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 17 |
| 10 | Steals | 3 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 5 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| ETSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brian Taylor II G | 39 | 23 | 6 | 2 | 7-13 | 4-7 |
| Blake Barkley F | 35 | 15 | 10 | 2 | 5-13 | 1-2 |
| Cam Morris III F | 30 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 8-14 | 0-1 |
| Allen Strothers G | 23 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jordan McCullum F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaylen Smith G | 27 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Maki Johnson G | 19 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Isaiah Sutherland F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Gabe Sisk G | 7 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Maddox Huff, Frederico Whitaker Jr., Henry Sisemore, Brayden Crump, Milton Matthews III, Joseph Carter
| WCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marcus Kell F | 31 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 6-15 | 1-6 |
| Cord Stansberry G | 31 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 7-13 | 5-10 |
| Tidjiane Dioumassi G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Julien Soumaoro G | 28 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-6 |
| Abdulai Fanta Kabba C | 13 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Samuel Dada F | 25 | 13 | 10 | 2 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Tahlan Pettway G | 16 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Tayeshaun Smith F | 11 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Johnson F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| CJ Hyland G | 7 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew Hollifield, Max Williams, Fischer Brown, Vernon Collins Jr., Titian DeRosa, Chase McKey
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketETSU -6.5
ModelETSU -7.2
Model edgeETSU +0.7
L WCU covered
Total
Market147.5
Model150.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
ETSU 79 · WCU 71.8
ETSU 68 · WCU 72
Win probability
ETSU 73%
1st half
Spread
ETSU -4.4
WCU -1.0
Total
70.6
71 points
Projected score
ETSU 37.5 · WCU 33.1
ETSU 35 · WCU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenETSU -5.5
1 → ETSU
CloseETSU -6.5
1 pt toward ETSU
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
ETSU -310 · WCU +250
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ETSU -5.5 · closed ETSU -6.5 · moved 1 toward ETSUmodel ETSU -7
model ETSU -7
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETSU | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| WCU | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
ETSU 2–7 WCUWCU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · ETSU 3-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | ETSU 67 @ WCU 76 | WCU +10.5 | WCU W |
| Jan 22, 2024-25 | WCU 58 @ ETSU 85 | ETSU -14.5 | ETSU W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | ETSU 65 @ WCU 70 | WCU -7.5 | ETSU W |
| Jan 10, 2023-24 | WCU 80 @ ETSU 66 | ETSU +1.5 | WCU W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | ETSU 57 vs WCU 69 | WCU +2.5 | WCU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
ETSU
15 games played
Straight up
10-5
67% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ PRES | L 64-68 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 12 | vs NKU | W 75-63 | -6.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNA | W 78-74 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 21 | vs MORE | W 77-62 | -10.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 23 | vs ULM | W 97-55 | -19.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 29 | vs CARK | W 80-57 | -12.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 2 | @ DAY | L 71-88 | +11.5 | L −5.5 | 140.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 5 | vs USA | W 91-65 | -7.5 | W +18.5 | 143.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 12 | @ APSU | L 75-76 | -3.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 16 | @ UNC | L 58-77 | +17.5 | L −1.5 | 150.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 20 | vs JXST | L 75-81 | -9.5 | L −15.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 30 | @ CIT | W 74-49 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 140.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 3 | vs MER | W 77-71 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 7 | vs VMI | W 81-67 | -16.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 10 | vs UNCG | W 86-60 | -11.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−10.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
+5.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+5.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
+4.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+22.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
+10.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
−5.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+18.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
−4.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−1.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
−15.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
+12.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−1.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
−2.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
+14.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@PRES
PRESL 64-68
−9.5
12
vsNKU
NKUW 75-63
−4.5
15
@UNA
UNAW 78-74
+6.5
21
vsMORE
MOREW 77-62
−5.5
23
vsULM
ULMW 97-55
+5.5
29
vsCARK
CARKW 80-57
−7.5
2
@DAY
DAYL 71-88
+18.5
5
vsUSA
USAW 91-65
+12.5
12
@APSU
APSUL 75-76
+7.5
16
@UNC
UNCL 58-77
−15.5
20
vsJXST
JXSTL 75-81
+21.5
30
@CIT
CITW 74-49
−17.5
3
vsMER
MERW 77-71
−0.5
7
vsVMI
VMIW 81-67
+1.5
10
vsUNCG
UNCGW 86-60
−2.5
over 7under 8avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Carolina
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
3-10
23% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-6
54% overs · avg +3.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CIN | L 63-94 | +22.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | @ DUKE | L 54-95 | +36.5 | L −4.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 16 | vs STET | W 76-65 | -12.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 19 | vs UNCA | W 80-73 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 22 | @ LIP | L 62-83 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 29 | @ HPU | L 73-93 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 6 | @ UPST | L 67-78 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 11 | @ VT | L 74-96 | +20.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 18 | @ UGA | L 82-112 | +32.5 | W +2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 31 | vs WOF | L 74-79 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 3 | @ FUR | W 80-77 | +8.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Jan 7 | @ SAM | L 77-82 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @CIT | L 77-79 | -6.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
−8.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−4.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−1.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+8.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−15.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
−3.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−8.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
−1.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+2.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−2.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
+11.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
−0.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
−8.5
covered 3didn’t cover 10avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CIN
CINL 63-94
+13.5
8
@DUKE
DUKEL 54-95
−3.5
16
vsSTET
STETW 76-65
−14.5
19
vsUNCA
UNCAW 80-73
+0.5
22
@LIP
LIPL 62-83
−6.5
29
@HPU
HPUL 73-93
+6.5
6
@UPST
UPSTL 67-78
−4.5
11
@VT
VTL 74-96
+17.5
18
@UGA
UGAL 82-112
+26.5
31
vsWOF
WOFL 74-79
−1.5
3
@FUR
FURW 80-77
−0.5
7
@SAM
SAML 77-82
+5.5
10
@CIT
CITL 77-79
+7.5
over 7under 6avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
ETSU
10-5 overall · 4-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UNC Greensboro86–60
- Wvs VMI81–67
- Wvs Mercer77–71
- W@ The Citadel74–49
- Lvs Jax State75–81
4 days since their last game.
W Carolina
3-10 overall · 1-3 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ The Citadel77–79
- L@ Samford77–82
- W@ Furman80–77
- Lvs Wofford74–79
- L@ Georgia82–112
4 days since their last game.