Timmons Arena · at Furman · Conference game
Closing line
FUR -2.5✓ MER covered by 0.5
FUR -2.5✓ MER covered by 0.5Closing total154.5Under by 8.5
 MER | This season | FUR |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 6-4 |
| 8-2 | ATS | 4-6 |
| 5-5 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MER 74–78 FUR · ✓ FUR (62%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 35 | 37 | 72 |
| FUR | 36 | 38 | 74 |
1st half: MER 35, FUR 36 (FUR by 1). The model had FUR by 1.9 and a total of 71.0 (actual 71).
Team stats
| MER | FUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-70 41% | Field goals | 26-59 44% |
| 7-20 35% | 3-pointers | 9-23 39% |
| 7-9 78% | Free throws | 13-22 59% |
| 37 14 off | Rebounds | 41 13 off |
| 9 | Assists | 16 |
| 8 | Steals | 3 |
| 8 | Blocks | 1 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 14 | Fouls | 9 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| MER | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Armani Mighty C | 36 | 8 | 13 | 3 | 4-11 | 0-0 |
| Brady Shoulders G | 33 | 9 | 9 | 2 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Baraka Okojie G | 32 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 7-16 | 2-5 |
| Zaire Williams G | 29 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-14 | 3-6 |
| Quinton Perkins II G | 27 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Connor Serven F | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Tristan Gross G | 13 | 1 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kyle Cuffe Jr. G | 10 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
Did not play: NJ Nganga, Pero Zubac, Jaydon Cole, Braeden Carlsen, Alex Koch, Petras Padegimas, TJ Grant, Bendji Pierre
| FUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asa Thomas G | 36 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 6-11 | 4-9 |
| Ben Vander Wal F | 34 | 11 | 7 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-0 |
| Charles Johnston F | 33 | 9 | 12 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Tom House G | 32 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-5 |
| Alex Wilkins G | 32 | 20 | 1 | 7 | 7-15 | 3-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eddrin Bronson G | 17 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Abijah Franklin G | 10 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Owen Ritger F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gunnar Lewis, Collin O'Neal, Cole Bowser, Mason Smith, Thomas Tillman, Cooper Bowser, Davis Molnar
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketFUR -2.5
ModelFUR -3.4
Model edgeFUR +0.9
L MER covered
Total
Market154.5
Model151.6
Model edgeUnder 2.9
W Under
Projected score
MER 74.1 · FUR 77.5
MER 72 · FUR 74
Win probability
FUR 62%
1st half
Spread
FUR -1.9
FUR -1.0
Total
71.0
71 points
Projected score
MER 34.5 · FUR 36.5
MER 35 · FUR 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenFUR -4.5
2 → MER
CloseFUR -2.5
2 pts toward MER
Total
Open153.5
▲ 1
Close154.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MER +124 · FUR -148
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened FUR -4.5 · closed FUR -2.5 · moved 2 toward MERmodel FUR -3.5
model FUR -3.5
Opened 153.5 · closed 154.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MER | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
| FUR | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MER 2–8 FURFUR leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · FUR has won the last 2 meetings · MER 3-7 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | MER 72 @ FUR 96 | FUR -6.5 | FUR W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | FUR 79 @ MER 74 | MER +2.5 | FUR W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | MER 82 @ FUR 75 | FUR -9.5 | MER W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | FUR 69 @ MER 78 | MER +4.5 | MER W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | MER 58 vs FUR 73 | FUR -10.5 | FUR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercer
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
8-2
80% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ TENN | L 61-76 | +28.5 | W +13.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 9 | vs LIP | W 92-77 | -3.5 | W +11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 15 | @ WIN | L 69-105 | +2.5 | L −33.5 | 162.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 22 | @ EKU | W 95-83 | +4.5 | W +16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 26 | vs APP | W 75-67 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 29 | @ ELON | W 91-84 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 175 |
| Dec 2 | vs GAST | W 78-67 | -10.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ CLEM | L 63-70 | +22.5 | W +15.5 | 152.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 17 | @ UCF | L 63-81 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 160.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 20 | @ WSU | L 78-84 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
+13.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
−33.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+16.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
+1.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+9.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
+0.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
+15.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−1.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+1.5
covered 8didn’t cover 2avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@TENN
TENNL 61-76
−6.5
9
vsLIP
LIPW 92-77
+11.5
15
@WIN
WINL 69-105
+11.5
22
@EKU
EKUW 95-83
+14.5
26
vsAPP
APPW 75-67
−0.5
29
@ELON
ELONW 91-84
+15.5
2
vsGAST
GASTW 78-67
−10.5
13
@CLEM
CLEML 63-70
−19.5
17
@UCF
UCFL 63-81
−16.5
20
@WSU
WSUL 78-84
+10.5
over 5under 5avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Furman
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
4-6
40% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs HPU | L 71-97 | +3.5 | L −22.5 | 153.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 7 | vs TROY | L 61-64 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 14 | @ UNI | L 54-70 | +9.5 | L −6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 23 | vs QUC | W 90-79 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 27 | vs RICH | W 73-72 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 28 | vs ILST | L 65-72 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | @ELON | W 97-88 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs HARV | W 79-69 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 18 | @ MAN | W 75-68 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 21 | vs CHSO | W 84-76 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHPU
HPUL 71-97
−22.5
7
vsTROY
TROYL 61-64
−5.5
14
@UNI
UNIL 54-70
−6.5
23
vsQUC
QUCW 90-79
+2.5
27
vsRICH
RICHW 73-72
+4.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-72
−3.5
3
@ELON
ELONW 97-88
+7.5
6
vsHARV
HARVW 79-69
+5.5
18
@MAN
MANW 75-68
−3.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOW 84-76
−2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 6avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHPU
HPUL 71-97
+14.5
7
vsTROY
TROYL 61-64
−27.5
14
@UNI
UNIL 54-70
−17.5
23
vsQUC
QUCW 90-79
+15.5
27
vsRICH
RICHW 73-72
−2.5
28
vsILST
ILSTL 65-72
−8.5
3
@ELON
ELONW 97-88
+31.5
6
vsHARV
HARVW 79-69
+6.5
18
@MAN
MANW 75-68
−11.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOW 84-76
+4.5
over 5under 5avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercer
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Washington St78–84
- L@ UCF63–81
- L@ Clemson63–70
- Wvs Georgia St78–67
- W@ Elon91–84
A week or more of rest.
Furman
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Charleston So84–76
- W@ Manhattan75–68
- Wvs Harvard79–69
- W@ Elon97–88
- Lvs Illinois St65–72
A week or more of rest.