LBS Financial Credit Union Pyramid · at Long Beach St · Conference game
Closing line
LBSU -2.5✓ LBSU covered by 5.5
LBSU -2.5✓ LBSU covered by 5.5Closing total162.5Under by 22.5
 CP | This season | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-9 | Record | 2-10 |
| 6-7 | ATS | 7-5 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 10-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CP 82–83 LBSU · ✓ LBSU (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 26 | 40 | 66 |
| LBSU | 38 | 36 | 74 |
1st half: CP 26, LBSU 38 (LBSU by 12). The model had LBSU by 0.5 and a total of 77.1 (actual 64).
Team stats
| CP | LBSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-56 34% | Field goals | 29-58 50% |
| 10-30 33% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 18-25 72% | Free throws | 12-17 71% |
| 34 8 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 15 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 0 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 21 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| CP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hamad Mousa G | 37 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 5-14 | 4-10 |
| Jake Davis G | 31 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 5-7 | 3-5 |
| Guzman Vasilic G | 31 | 9 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 2-4 |
| Cayden Ward G | 30 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Peter Bandelj G | 30 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 1-10 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Tarlac G | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Ali Assran F | 13 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Troy Plumtree F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Austin Goode F | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Aaron Price Jr. PF | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Eric Brown F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Mosley PG | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Braden Freeman, Jess Esso Essis, Jason Scott, Kieran Elliott
| LBSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Petar Majstorovic F | 32 | 25 | 10 | 3 | 12-16 | 1-2 |
| Gavin Sykes G | 32 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5-13 | 3-7 |
| Rob Diaz III G | 29 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Cole Farrell G | 27 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Leopold Levillain F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Shay Johnson Jr. F | 20 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Shaquil Bender G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-4 |
| Isaiah Lewis G | 14 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| JJ Chaikovsky F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Derrick Michael Xzavierro F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Jones, Jayden Alexander, Immanuel Lewis, Grant Gondrezick II, Dallas Washington
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLBSU -2.5
ModelLBSU -1.1
Model edgeCP +1.4
L LBSU covered
Total
Market162.5
Model164.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
L Under
Projected score
CP 81.8 · LBSU 82.9
CP 66 · LBSU 74
Win probability
LBSU 54%
1st half
Spread
LBSU -0.5
LBSU -12.0
Total
77.1
64 points
Projected score
CP 38.3 · LBSU 38.8
CP 26 · LBSU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLBSU -1.5
1 → LBSU
CloseLBSU -2.5
1 pt toward LBSU
Total
Open162.5
no move
Close162.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
CP +114 · LBSU -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LBSU -1.5 · closed LBSU -2.5 · moved 1 toward LBSUmodel LBSU -1
model LBSU -1
Opened 162.5 · unchangedmodel 164.5
model 164.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CP | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
| LBSU | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 9-1 90% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CP 3–5 LBSULBSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CP has won the last 2 meetings · CP 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 8, 2024-25 | CP 83 @ LBSU 69 | LBSU +3.5 | CP W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | LBSU 69 @ CP 78 | CP -6.5 | CP W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | CP 68 @ LBSU 77 | LBSU -14.5 | CP W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | LBSU 89 @ CP 82 | CP +8.5 | CP W |
| Mar 7, 2022-23 | CP 88 vs LBSU 68 | LBSU -10.5 | CP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cal Poly
13 games played
Straight up
4-9
31% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg −0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ USC | L 64-94 | +24.5 | L −5.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 8 | @ SEA | W 73-71 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 164.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ CSU | L 79-93 | +18.5 | W +4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 14 | @ MONT | L 82-90 | +7.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 20 | @ UTAH | W 92-85 | +14.5 | W +21.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | @ NAU | L 87-93 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 25 | vs SEMO | L 68-84 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUF | W 94-91 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 177.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCR | L 84-88 | -5.5 | L −9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 16 | vs MTST | L 80-83 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCLA | L 87-108 | +24.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 21 | vs IDHO | L 80-83 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCSD | W 67-65 | +8.5 | W +10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
+12.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+4.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
−0.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+21.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
−7.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−14.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+4.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
−9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
−0.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+3.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−1.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
+10.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@USC
USCL 64-94
−5.5
8
@SEA
SEAW 73-71
−20.5
12
@CSU
CSUL 79-93
+6.5
14
@MONT
MONTL 82-90
+3.5
20
@UTAH
UTAHW 92-85
+9.5
24
@NAU
NAUL 87-93
+15.5
25
vsSEMO
SEMOL 68-84
−18.5
4
@CSUF
CSUFW 94-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 84-88
+9.5
16
vsMTST
MTSTL 80-83
+3.5
19
@UCLA
UCLAL 87-108
+33.5
21
vsIDHO
IDHOL 80-83
−4.5
1
vsUCSD
UCSDW 67-65
−42.5
over 8under 5avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Long Beach St
12 games played
Straight up
2-10
17% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-2
83% overs · avg +8.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SDSU | L 45-77 | +25.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 8 | @ FRES | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ PAC | L 66-69 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 16 | vs ILST | L 80-82 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vsMTST | L 72-78 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 26 | @ PORT | L 73-93 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 30 | vs USD | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCSB | L 77-84 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vsUCSD | L 74-80 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | @ SJSU | L 83-89 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 18 | vs PEPP | W 81-78 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 21 | @ ISU | L 60-91 | +37.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−6.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
−13.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
+9.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+6.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
−2.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
−14.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+6.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+6.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+2.5
9
@SJSU
SJSUL 83-89
+1.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPW 81-78
−1.5
21
@ISU
ISUL 60-91
+6.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−13.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
+1.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
−6.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+20.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
+9.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
+17.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+0.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+19.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+8.5
9
@SJSU
SJSUL 83-89
+30.5
18
vsPEPP
PEPPW 81-78
+17.5
21
@ISU
ISUL 60-91
+1.5
over 10under 2avg +8.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cal Poly
4-9 overall · 2-1 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UC San Diego67–65
- Lvs Idaho80–83
- L@ UCLA87–108
- Lvs Montana St80–83
- Lvs UC Riverside84–88
2 days since their last game.
Long Beach St
2-10 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Iowa State60–91
- Wvs Pepperdine81–78
- L@ San José St83–89
- Lvs UC San Diego74–80
- L@ Santa Barbara77–84
A week or more of rest.