Stan Sheriff Center · at Hawai'i · Conference game
Closing line
HAW -17.5✓ HAW covered by 9.5
HAW -17.5✓ HAW covered by 9.5Closing total144.5Over by 24.5
 CSUB | This season | HAW |
|---|---|---|
| 6-12 | Record | 11-4 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 6-7 |
| 7-11 | O/U | 3-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUB 64–80 HAW · ✓ HAW (92%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 30 | 41 | 71 |
| HAW | 48 | 50 | 98 |
1st half: CSUB 30, HAW 48 (HAW by 18). The model had HAW by 9.3 and a total of 67.6 (actual 78).
Team stats
| CSUB | HAW | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-57 35% | Field goals | 32-65 49% |
| 3-11 27% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 28-39 72% | Free throws | 27-34 79% |
| 26 5 off | Rebounds | 53 17 off |
| 7 | Assists | 11 |
| 6 | Steals | 3 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 25 | Fouls | 25 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailin Smith G | 39 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 4-16 | 0-4 |
| Kadar Waller G | 35 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-1 |
| AJ George G | 31 | 8 | 8 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Tom Mark F | 24 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. C | 11 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mike Price G | 21 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Bentley Waller G | 19 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 0-5 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Purnell G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| TJ James Jr. G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: CJ Hardy, Caleb McCarty, Colin Darby, Jaden Alexander, Ronald Jessamy
| HAW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dre Bullock G | 29 | 17 | 12 | 3 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Harry Rouhliadeff F | 27 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 5-11 | 1-3 |
| Hunter Erickson G | 22 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Isaac Finlinson F | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Isaac Johnson C | 15 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Kerr G | 26 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 5-9 | 1-4 |
| Gytis Nemeiksa F | 23 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| AJ Economou G | 17 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Yacine Toumi F | 14 | 10 | 7 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Carter G | 7 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Tanner Cuff, Aaron Hunkin-Claytor, Jalen Myers
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHAW -17.5
ModelHAW -15.9
Model edgeCSUB +1.6
L HAW covered
Total
Market144.5
Model144.3
Model edgeUnder 0.2
L Over
Projected score
CSUB 64.2 · HAW 80.1
CSUB 71 · HAW 98
Win probability
HAW 92%
1st half
Spread
HAW -9.3
HAW -18.0
Total
67.6
78 points
Projected score
CSUB 29.1 · HAW 38.5
CSUB 30 · HAW 48
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHAW -15.5
2 → HAW
CloseHAW -17.5
2 pts toward HAW
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
CSUB +1100 · HAW -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HAW -15.5 · closed HAW -17.5 · moved 2 toward HAWmodel HAW -16
model HAW -16
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 144.5 matches the line
model 144.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| HAW | 7-3 70% | 3-5 38% | 2-6 25% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
CSUB 1–7 HAWHAW leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · CSUB 2-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | HAW 64 @ CSUB 76 | CSUB -2.5 | CSUB W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | CSUB 70 @ HAW 81 | HAW -6.5 | HAW W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | CSUB 57 @ HAW 74 | HAW -7.5 | HAW W |
| Jan 4, 2023-24 | HAW 78 @ CSUB 67 | CSUB +5 | HAW W |
| Feb 20, 2022-23 | HAW 61 @ CSUB 50 | CSUB +5.5 | HAW W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bakersfield
18 games played
Straight up
6-12
33% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-11
39% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CAL | L 60-87 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIU | W 74-58 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ MISS | L 60-82 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 17 | @ PRST | L 80-93 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 22 | vs MVSU | W 86-70 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ FSU | L 59-89 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs FRES | W 76-71 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUN | L 66-87 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCSB | L 84-109 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 11 | vs NDSU | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs PEPP | L 62-70 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 23 | vs IDHO | W 64-63 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCI | L 77-81 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 3 | @ UCD | W 81-79 | +9.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vs UCR | W 67-66 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ LBSU | L 75-81 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 15 | vsUCSB | L 69-75 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs UCSD | L 62-83 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 147.5 | U 145 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−11.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
+8.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
−4.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
−5.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−3.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
+15.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−15.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
−12.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−3.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−9.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
+8.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+7.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+11.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−2.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+0.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
+1.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−12.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−0.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
−9.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
+17.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−11.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
−3.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−2.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
+47.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−0.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−15.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
−23.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+14.5
3
@UCD
UCDW 81-79
+8.5
8
vsUCR
UCRW 67-66
−14.5
10
@LBSU
LBSUL 75-81
+13.5
15
vsUCSB
UCSBL 69-75
−0.5
17
vsUCSD
UCSDL 62-83
−2.5
over 7under 11avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Hawai'i
15 games played
Straight up
11-4
73% wins
Against the spread
6-7
46% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-10
23% overs · avg −5.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ ORE | L 59-60 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 10 | vs ETAM | W 100-74 | -18.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 12 | vsMVSU | W 88-56 | -41.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 14 | vs MAN | W 86-56 | -15.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 15 | vs UTU | W 68-62 | -16.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs ASU | L 76-83 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 28 | vs UND | W 92-55 | -18.5 | W +18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | vsUCD | W 75-69 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 6 | vs CSUF | W 69-59 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | vs UTEP | W 66-61 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @UCR | W 88-45 | -8.5 | W +34.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @UCSD | L 73-83 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | vsUCI | W 67-66 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 15 | @ CP | W 86-66 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 17 | @UCSB | L 62-77 | -2.5 | L −17.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
+10.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+7.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−9.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
+14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−10.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
−8.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
+18.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−7.5
1
@UCR
UCRW 88-45
+34.5
3
@UCSD
UCSDL 73-83
−7.5
10
vsUCI
UCIW 67-66
−3.5
15
@CP
CPW 86-66
+14.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBL 62-77
−17.5
covered 6didn’t cover 7avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@ORE
OREL 59-60
−25.5
10
vsETAM
ETAMW 100-74
+28.5
12
vsMVSU
MVSUW 88-56
−7.5
14
vsMAN
MANW 86-56
−14.5
15
vsUTU
UTUW 68-62
−19.5
20
vsASU
ASUL 76-83
+15.5
28
vsUND
UNDW 92-55
−2.5
13
vsUTEP
UTEPW 66-61
−11.5
1
@UCR
UCRW 88-45
−16.5
3
@UCSD
UCSDL 73-83
+7.5
10
vsUCI
UCIW 67-66
−7.5
15
@CP
CPW 86-66
−8.5
17
@UCSB
UCSBL 62-77
−4.5
over 3under 10avg −5.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bakersfield
6-12 overall · 2-6 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UC San Diego62–83
- Lvs Santa Barbara69–75
- L@ Long Beach St75–81
- Wvs UC Riverside67–66
- W@ UC Davis81–79
5 days since their last game.
Hawai'i
11-4 overall · 5-2 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Santa Barbara62–77
- W@ Cal Poly86–66
- Wvs UC Irvine67–66
- L@ UC San Diego73–83
- W@ UC Riverside88–45
5 days since their last game.