University Credit Union Center · at UC Davis · Conference game
Closing line
UCD -9.5✓ CSUB covered by 11.5
UCD -9.5✓ CSUB covered by 11.5Closing total151.5Over by 8.5
 CSUB | This season | UCD |
|---|---|---|
| 4-9 | Record | 6-5 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 7-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUB 71–82 UCD · ✗ UCD (84%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 40 | 41 | 81 |
| UCD | 39 | 40 | 79 |
1st half: CSUB 40, UCD 39 (CSUB by 1). The model had UCD by 6.5 and a total of 71.4 (actual 79).
Team stats
| CSUB | UCD | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-62 42% | Field goals | 21-51 41% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 10-25 40% |
| 22-26 85% | Free throws | 27-36 75% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 35 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 26 | Fouls | 20 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Alexander G | 38 | 35 | 11 | 2 | 12-18 | 4-6 |
| AJ George G | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 7-17 | 2-7 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. C | 23 | 4 | 9 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Ronald Jessamy F | 21 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| CJ Hardy G | 18 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Mike Price G | 29 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Dailin Smith G | 19 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-4 |
| Kadar Waller G | 16 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb McCarty, Tom Mark, Bentley Waller, Colin Darby, Dylan Purnell, TJ James Jr.
| UCD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nils Cooper G | 33 | 13 | 7 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Niko Rocak F | 29 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Isaiah Chappell F | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 4-9 | 4-7 |
| Connor Sevilla G | 29 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4-6 | 3-4 |
| Marcus Wilson G | 26 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brayden Fagbemi G | 18 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Jalen Stokes G | 16 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Carl Daughtery Jr. G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-3 |
| Omer Suljanovic F | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Cyril Franklin Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chase Rawlins, Ylan Esso-Essis, Jonathan Noudjihidi, Abdullah Amzil
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCD -10.5
1 → CSUB
CloseUCD -9.5
1 pt toward CSUB
Total
Open153.5
▼ 2
Close151.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
CSUB +400 · UCD -535
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCD -10.5 · closed UCD -9.5 · moved 1 toward CSUBmodel UCD -11
model UCD -11
Opened 153.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 2 downmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UCD -9.5 | UCD -11.2 | UCD +1.7 | L CSUB covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 152.4 | Over 0.9 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | CSUB 70.6 · UCD 81.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UCD -6.5 | CSUB -1.0 |
| 1H total | 71.4 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | CSUB 32.4 · UCD 39 | CSUB 40 · UCD 39 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| UCD | 5-5 50% | 5-4 56% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
CSUB 3–4 UCDUCD leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · CSUB has won the last 3 meetings · CSUB 5-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 20, 2024-25 | CSUB 71 @ UCD 66 | UCD -3.5 | CSUB W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | UCD 64 @ CSUB 75 | CSUB -1.5 | CSUB W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UCD 56 @ CSUB 75 | CSUB +2.5 | CSUB W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | CSUB 71 @ UCD 78 | UCD -10.5 | CSUB W |
| Jan 26, 2022-23 | UCD 79 @ CSUB 58 | CSUB +8.5 | UCD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bakersfield
13 games played
Straight up
4-9
31% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg −1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CAL | L 60-87 | +15.5 | L −11.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIU | W 74-58 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ MISS | L 60-82 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 17 | @ PRST | L 80-93 | +8.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 22 | vs MVSU | W 86-70 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | @ FSU | L 59-89 | +26.5 | L −3.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs FRES | W 76-71 | +10.5 | W +15.5 | 150.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 4 | @ CSUN | L 66-87 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 6 | @ UCSB | L 84-109 | +12.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
| Dec 11 | vs NDSU | L 69-80 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs PEPP | L 62-70 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 23 | vs IDHO | W 64-63 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | vs UCI | L 77-81 | +11.5 | W +7.5 | 143.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−11.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
+8.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
−4.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
−5.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−3.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
+15.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−15.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
−12.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−3.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−9.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
+8.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg −1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CAL
CALL 60-87
−0.5
11
vsWIU
WIUW 74-58
−9.5
14
@MISS
MISSL 60-82
+1.5
17
@PRST
PRSTL 80-93
+31.5
22
vsMVSU
MVSUW 86-70
+17.5
25
@FSU
FSUL 59-89
−11.5
30
vsFRES
FRESW 76-71
−3.5
4
@CSUN
CSUNL 66-87
−2.5
6
@UCSB
UCSBL 84-109
+47.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUL 69-80
−0.5
13
vsPEPP
PEPPL 62-70
−15.5
23
vsIDHO
IDHOW 64-63
−23.5
1
vsUCI
UCIL 77-81
+14.5
over 5under 8avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Davis
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vsNDSU | W 80-68 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | @ PORT | L 63-67 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 14 | vs SAC | W 77-73 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ NEV | W 75-71 | +12.5 | W +16.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 21 | @ COLO | L 79-95 | +14.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 24 | vs UL | W 77-56 | -9.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 4 | @ HAW | L 69-75 | — | — | — | — |
| Dec 13 | @ ORE | L 62-104 | +13.5 | L −28.5 | 146.5 | O 166 |
| Dec 17 | vs SEA | L 78-79 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 21 | @ IDST | W 93-83 | +5.5 | W +15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vsCSUN | W 89-80 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+10.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−2.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−0.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+16.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
−1.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
+11.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
−28.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+1.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+15.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+5.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsNDSU
NDSUW 80-68
+5.5
9
@PORT
PORTL 63-67
−21.5
14
vsSAC
SACW 77-73
−1.5
18
@NEV
NEVW 75-71
+2.5
21
@COLO
COLOL 79-95
+21.5
24
vsUL
ULW 77-56
−3.5
13
@ORE
OREL 62-104
+19.5
17
vsSEA
SEAL 78-79
+13.5
21
@IDST
IDSTW 93-83
+32.5
1
vsCSUN
CSUNW 89-80
+6.5
over 7under 3avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bakersfield
4-9 overall · 0-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UC Irvine77–81
- Wvs Idaho64–63
- Lvs Pepperdine62–70
- Lvs N Dakota St69–80
- L@ Santa Barbara84–109
2 days since their last game.
UC Davis
6-5 overall · 1-1 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs CSU Northridge89–80
- W@ Idaho St93–83
- Lvs Seattle U78–79
- L@ Oregon62–104
- L@ Hawai'i69–75
2 days since their last game.