SRC Arena · at UC Riverside · Conference game
Closing line
UCSD -10.5✓ UCR covered by 7.5
UCSD -10.5✓ UCR covered by 7.5Closing total149.5Under by 14.5
| UCSD | This season | UCR |
|---|---|---|
| 10-4 | Record | 4-10 |
| 9-5 | ATS | 8-6 |
| 8-6 | O/U | 8-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UCSD 80–70 UCR · ✓ UCSD (80%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 26 | 43 | 69 |
| UCR | 32 | 34 | 66 |
1st half: UCSD 26, UCR 32 (UCR by 6). The model had UCSD by 5.8 and a total of 70.2 (actual 58).
Team stats
| UCSD | UCR | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-48 50% | Field goals | 21-57 37% |
| 4-18 22% | 3-pointers | 7-25 28% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 17-20 85% |
| 35 9 off | Rebounds | 33 13 off |
| 6 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 18 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| UCSD | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tom Beattie G | 34 | 11 | 11 | 2 | 5-8 | 1-2 |
| Bol Dengdit C | 29 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 7-14 | 1-6 |
| Leo Beath F | 29 | 11 | 4 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Emanuel Prospere II G | 24 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Aidan Burke G | 21 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Chaikin G | 21 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Hudson Mayes G | 20 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Trap Johnson G | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Dimitrije Vukicevic C | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christopher Cox, Jaden Vance, Cade Pendleton, Tyson Dunn, Jasen Brooks, Ryder Elisaldez, Yaqub Mir
| UCR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Osiris Grady F | 38 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-4 |
| Tyler Jones G | 34 | 17 | 4 | 2 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Marqui Worthy Jr. G | 31 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Andrew Henderson G | 31 | 27 | 2 | 2 | 8-20 | 3-11 |
| BJ Kolly F | 21 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jailen Daniel-Dalton F | 34 | 2 | 6 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-1 |
| Ben Waller G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Godfrey F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Gavin Haase, Amaury McKinney, EJ Spillman, De'Undrae Perteete Jr., Parker Strauss, Denzel Hines, Daniel Tobiloba
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUCSD -10.5
ModelUCSD -9.5
Model edgeUCR +1.0
W UCR covered
Total
Market149.5
Model149.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
L Under
Projected score
UCSD 79.7 · UCR 70.2
UCSD 69 · UCR 66
Win probability
UCSD 80%
1st half
Spread
UCSD -5.8
UCR -6.0
Total
70.2
58 points
Projected score
UCSD 38 · UCR 32.2
UCSD 26 · UCR 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUCSD -10.5
no move
CloseUCSD -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▼ 1
Close149.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
UCSD -600 · UCR +440
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UCSD -10.5 · unchangedmodel UCSD -9.5
model UCSD -9.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 1 downmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UCSD | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| UCR | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UCSD 4–4 UCRSeries tied · 8 games since 2021-22 · UCSD 4-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2024-25 | UCR 71 @ UCSD 91 | UCSD -11.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 18, 2024-25 | UCSD 81 @ UCR 85 | UCR +9.5 | UCR W |
| Feb 22, 2023-24 | UCSD 77 @ UCR 65 | UCR +3.5 | UCSD W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | UCR 65 @ UCSD 66 | UCSD -7.5 | UCR W |
| Jan 28, 2022-23 | UCSD 65 @ UCR 72 | UCR -7.5 | UCSD W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UC San Diego
14 games played
Straight up
10-4
71% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | vs HCU | W 78-60 | -7.5 | W +10.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | @ FRES | W 78-73 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 148.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs IDHO | W 75-67 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 24 | vs TEM | W 91-76 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 25 | vs BRAD | W 87-77 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOW | W 87-73 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 2 | @ NEV | L 70-76 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 6 | @ LBSU | W 80-74 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 13 | vs TULN | W 93-67 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 16 | @ LMU | W 67-57 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 19 | vs USD | L 80-82 | -12.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | @ CP | L 65-67 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 174.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 3 | vs HAW | W 83-73 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 8 | vs CSUF | L 71-88 | -13.5 | L −30.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
+10.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+6.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
+2.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+16.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+11.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+12.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−0.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
−2.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+20.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
+8.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
−14.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−10.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−30.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
vsHCU
HCUW 78-60
−3.5
12
@FRES
FRESW 78-73
+2.5
15
vsIDHO
IDHOW 75-67
−6.5
24
vsTEM
TEMW 91-76
+18.5
25
vsBRAD
BRADW 87-77
+18.5
26
vsTOW
TOWW 87-73
+21.5
2
@NEV
NEVL 70-76
−3.5
6
@LBSU
LBSUW 80-74
+8.5
13
vsTULN
TULNW 93-67
+10.5
16
@LMU
LMUW 67-57
−26.5
19
vsUSD
USDL 80-82
+5.5
1
@CP
CPL 65-67
−42.5
3
vsHAW
HAWW 83-73
+7.5
8
vsCSUF
CSUFL 71-88
−7.5
over 8under 6avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UC Riverside
14 games played
Straight up
4-10
29% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg −1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-6
57% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ UND | W 74-70 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNM | L 68-82 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | vsUND | L 74-76 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 18 | @ CBU | L 57-80 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @USD | W 85-71 | +7.5 | W +21.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | vs GRAM | W 83-74 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCI | L 60-73 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 6 | @CP | W 88-84 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ BYU | L 53-100 | +33.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Dec 20 | @ STMN | L 78-92 | +14.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 23 | @ UCLA | L 65-97 | +24.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 1 | vsHAW | L 45-88 | +8.5 | L −34.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 8 | @ CSUB | L 66-67 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
+5.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+5.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
−5.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−10.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+21.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+5.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
−2.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
+0.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−13.5
20
@STMN
STMNL 78-92
+0.5
23
@UCLA
UCLAL 65-97
−7.5
1
vsHAW
HAWL 45-88
−34.5
8
@CSUB
CSUBL 66-67
+2.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg −1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@UND
UNDW 74-70
−2.5
11
@UNM
UNML 68-82
+8.5
15
vsUND
UNDL 74-76
+1.5
18
@CBU
CBUL 57-80
−5.5
21
@USD
USDW 85-71
+3.5
24
vsGRAM
GRAMW 83-74
+12.5
29
@UTU
UTUL 69-77
+0.5
4
@UCI
UCIL 60-73
−9.5
6
@CP
CPW 88-84
+9.5
13
@BYU
BYUL 53-100
−2.5
20
@STMN
STMNL 78-92
+17.5
23
@UCLA
UCLAL 65-97
+13.5
1
vsHAW
HAWL 45-88
−16.5
8
@CSUB
CSUBL 66-67
−14.5
over 8under 6avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UC San Diego
10-4 overall · 2-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Fullerton71–88
- Wvs Hawai'i83–73
- L@ Cal Poly65–67
- Lvs San Diego80–82
- W@ LMU67–57
2 days since their last game.
UC Riverside
4-10 overall · 1-3 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Bakersfield66–67
- Lvs Hawai'i45–88
- L@ UCLA65–97
- L@ St Thomas78–92
- L@ BYU53–100
2 days since their last game.