University Center · at SE Louisiana · Conference game
Closing line
SFA -3.5✓ SFA covered by 6.5
SFA -3.5✓ SFA covered by 6.5Closing total137.5Under by 1.5
| SFA | This season | SELA |
|---|---|---|
| 9-2 | Record | 3-9 |
| 9-2 | ATS | 6-6 |
| 3-8 | O/U | 6-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFA 70–67 SELA · ✓ SFA (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 37 | 36 | 73 |
| SELA | 31 | 32 | 63 |
1st half: SFA 37, SELA 31 (SFA by 6). The model had SFA by 1.9 and a total of 63.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| SFA | SELA | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-62 40% | Field goals | 23-57 40% |
| 8-26 31% | 3-pointers | 7-20 35% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 10-11 91% |
| 43 16 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 7 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 12 | Fouls | 17 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| SFA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lateef Patrick Jr. G | 31 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 6-16 | 3-8 |
| Chrishawn Christmas G | 30 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Keon Thompson G | 26 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 5-12 | 1-4 |
| Jerald Colonel F | 23 | 4 | 8 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Kam Burton G | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Narit Chotikavanic G | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-8 |
| Gediminas Alisas F | 17 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Ahamed Mohammed G | 14 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Eltramon Smith F | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Marcus Scurry G | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Christian Green, Tichyque Musaka, Bryceson Melvin, Harris Dar, Yohan Gutierrez
| SELA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Elyzee G | 37 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 4-16 | 1-6 |
| Makhi Myles F | 36 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 6-9 | 5-5 |
| Isaiah Gaines F | 27 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Peter Hemschemeier G | 27 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Ethan Pickett G | 26 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6-14 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| CJ Booker PG | 19 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ubong-Abasi Etim C | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Forrest G | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Kyle Edison G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaiden Lawrence G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Shoemaker F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Seth Jones, Cody Al-Naziat, Amir Chaney, Ahmed Essahaty
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSFA -3.5
ModelSFA -2.9
Model edgeSELA +0.6
L SFA covered
Total
Market137.5
Model136.3
Model edgeUnder 1.2
W Under
Projected score
SFA 69.6 · SELA 66.7
SFA 73 · SELA 63
Win probability
SFA 60%
1st half
Spread
SFA -1.9
SFA -6.0
Total
63.9
68 points
Projected score
SFA 32.9 · SELA 31
SFA 37 · SELA 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSFA -5.5
2 → SELA
CloseSFA -3.5
2 pts toward SELA
Total
Open136.5
▲ 1
Close137.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SFA -192 · SELA +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SFA -5.5 · closed SFA -3.5 · moved 2 toward SELAmodel SFA -3
model SFA -3
Opened 136.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 upmodel 136.5
model 136.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFA | 8-2 80% | 8-2 80% | 3-7 30% |
| SELA | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SFA 0–1 SELASELA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SFA 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 13, 2024-25 | SELA 66 @ SFA 59 | SFA -5.5 | SELA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SF Austin
11 games played
Straight up
9-2
82% wins
Against the spread
9-2
82% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-8
27% overs · avg −3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs ARST | W 90-65 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 155.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ RICE | W 81-69 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 14 | vs ACU | W 76-66 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 18 | @ FRES | L 78-80 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 21 | @ PEPP | W 63-60 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 29 | @ UTA | L 61-66 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | vs RGV | W 73-60 | -6.5 | W +6.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 7 | vs ULM | W 96-76 | -19.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 17 | vs AMCC | W 69-60 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 29 | @ ETAM | W 75-48 | -4.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 31 | @ NWST | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
+26.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+14.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
+3.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
−4.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
+1.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−3.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
+6.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+0.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
+2.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
+22.5
31
@NWST
NWSTW 74-64
+1.5
covered 9didn’t cover 2avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsARST
ARSTW 90-65
−0.5
11
@RICE
RICEW 81-69
+0.5
14
vsACU
ACUW 76-66
−0.5
18
@FRES
FRESL 78-80
+11.5
21
@PEPP
PEPPW 63-60
−25.5
29
@UTA
UTAL 61-66
−11.5
3
vsRGV
RGVW 73-60
−10.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 96-76
+29.5
17
vsAMCC
AMCCW 69-60
−10.5
29
@ETAM
ETAMW 75-48
−23.5
31
@NWST
NWSTW 74-64
−0.5
over 3under 8avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
SE Louisiana
12 games played
Straight up
3-9
25% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg −0.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MISS | L 58-88 | +21.5 | L −8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | @ UL | L 52-58 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 10 | @ GT | L 60-70 | +14.5 | W +4.5 | 133.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ MSST | L 68-75 | +27.5 | W +20.5 | 150.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 26 | @ UNCW | L 57-70 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 28 | vs GWEB | W 76-68 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 29 | vs NAVY | W 69-65 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 136.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | vsNWST | L 68-76 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 133.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 13 | @ HCU | W 74-71 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 132.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 15 | vsETAM | L 69-70 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 19 | @ LSU | L 65-78 | +24.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 30 | @ UIW | L 70-79 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MISS
MISSL 58-88
−8.5
7
@UL
ULL 52-58
−2.5
10
@GT
GTL 60-70
+4.5
15
@MSST
MSSTL 68-75
+20.5
26
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-70
−1.5
28
vsGWEB
GWEBW 76-68
+1.5
29
vsNAVY
NAVYW 69-65
+7.5
7
vsNWST
NWSTL 68-76
−15.5
13
@HCU
HCUW 74-71
+5.5
15
vsETAM
ETAML 69-70
−5.5
19
@LSU
LSUL 65-78
+11.5
30
@UIW
UIWL 70-79
−2.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MISS
MISSL 58-88
+2.5
7
@UL
ULL 52-58
−25.5
10
@GT
GTL 60-70
−3.5
15
@MSST
MSSTL 68-75
−7.5
26
@UNCW
UNCWL 57-70
−10.5
28
vsGWEB
GWEBW 76-68
+2.5
29
vsNAVY
NAVYW 69-65
−2.5
7
vsNWST
NWSTL 68-76
+10.5
13
@HCU
HCUW 74-71
+12.5
15
vsETAM
ETAML 69-70
+1.5
19
@LSU
LSUL 65-78
−1.5
30
@UIW
UIWL 70-79
+13.5
over 6under 6avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SF Austin
9-2 overall · 4-0 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ N'Western St74–64
- W@ East Texas A&M75–48
- Wvs Texas A&M-CC69–60
- Wvs UL Monroe96–76
- Wvs UT Rio Grande73–60
3 days since their last game.
SE Louisiana
3-9 overall · 1-3 in conference · Southland Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Incarnate Word70–79
- L@ LSU65–78
- Lvs East Texas A&M69–70
- W@ Hou Christian74–71
- Lvs N'Western St68–76
4 days since their last game.