Strahan Arena at the University Events Center · at Texas St · Conference game
Closing line
MRSH -3.5✓ TXST covered by 7.5
MRSH -3.5✓ TXST covered by 7.5Closing total147.5Under by 7.5
| MRSH | This season | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| 12-7 | Record | 9-11 |
| 7-12 | ATS | 7-13 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 12-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRSH 76–74 TXST · ✗ MRSH (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 29 | 39 | 68 |
| TXST | 39 | 33 | 72 |
1st half: MRSH 29, TXST 39 (TXST by 10). The model had MRSH by 1.2 and a total of 70.0 (actual 68).
Team stats
| MRSH | TXST | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-62 45% | Field goals | 26-58 45% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 7-15 47% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 13-19 68% |
| 31 6 off | Rebounds | 41 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 8 | Blocks | 3 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| MRSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Speer G | 38 | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6-16 | 2-8 |
| Noah Otshudi G | 36 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 6-13 | 0-3 |
| Wyatt Fricks F | 35 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 7-12 | 2-5 |
| Matt Van Komen C | 17 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Hollenbeck G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Landen Joseph G | 24 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Erich Harding F | 23 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Kai Spears G | 9 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Shamarrie Hugie G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Slay G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Wilson Dubinsky G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Drew Fuquay F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Grant Moore, Will Moore, Kaiden White
| TXST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mark Drone G | 34 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 2-4 |
| Kaden Gumbs G | 33 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 4-9 | 2-3 |
| Kyndall Davis G | 32 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-5 |
| DJ Hall F | 17 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Tay Knox C | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Robert Fields C | 25 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Bolden G | 22 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-3 |
| Franck Emmou G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Makai Willis C | 11 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Jaelyn Lee G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Deke Thompson, Cameron Simpson, Dimp Pernell, Ky Pernell, Isaiah Barganier
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMRSH -3.5
ModelMRSH -1.9
Model edgeTXST +1.6
W TXST covered
Total
Market147.5
Model149.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
L Under
Projected score
MRSH 75.7 · TXST 73.9
MRSH 68 · TXST 72
Win probability
MRSH 56%
1st half
Spread
MRSH -1.2
TXST -10.0
Total
70.0
68 points
Projected score
MRSH 35.6 · TXST 34.4
MRSH 29 · TXST 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMRSH -3.5
no move
CloseMRSH -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▼ 1
Close147.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
MRSH -185 · TXST +154
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MRSH -3.5 · unchangedmodel MRSH -2
model MRSH -2
Opened 148.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 downmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% |
| TXST | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRSH 3–1 TXSTMRSH leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MRSH has won the last 2 meetings · MRSH 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | TXST 71 @ MRSH 77 | MRSH -1.5 | MRSH W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | MRSH 79 @ TXST 75 | TXST +1.5 | MRSH W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | TXST 71 vs MRSH 68 | MRSH -8.5 | TXST W |
| Jan 19, 2022-23 | MRSH 81 @ TXST 73 | TXST +5.5 | MRSH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marshall
19 games played
Straight up
12-7
63% wins
Against the spread
7-12
37% covers · avg +0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MASS | W 78-72 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | @ TOL | W 85-73 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 12 | vs ELON | W 96-89 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 15 | @ UVA | L 78-104 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 20 | vs UAPB | W 98-70 | -20.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs MERC | W 69-60 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIP | L 67-90 | -7.5 | L −30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 3 | @ UNCW | L 69-70 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 6 | @ OHIO | L 81-88 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 10 | vs WKU | W 77-61 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 13 | vs WRST | W 76-74 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ TROY | L 63-70 | +4.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | vs GAST | W 84-80 | -13.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 3 | vs APP | W 88-81 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | @ JMU | W 66-64 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 10 | @GAST | L 73-81 | -4.5 | L −12.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 14 | vs CCU | L 83-85 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 17 | vsJMU | W 77-72 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 22 | vs ULM | W 115-60 | -18.5 | W +36.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
+10.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
+14.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
−1.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
−5.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+7.5
23
vsMERC
MERCW 69-60
−2.5
26
vsLIP
LIPL 67-90
−30.5
3
@UNCW
UNCWL 69-70
+7.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 81-88
−3.5
10
vsWKU
WKUW 77-61
+14.5
13
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-74
−1.5
20
@TROY
TROYL 63-70
−2.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 84-80
−9.5
3
vsAPP
APPW 88-81
−0.5
7
@JMU
JMUW 66-64
+3.5
10
@GAST
GASTL 73-81
−12.5
14
vsCCU
CCUL 83-85
−11.5
17
vsJMU
JMUW 77-72
−1.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 115-60
+36.5
covered 7didn’t cover 12avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
−2.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
−2.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
+29.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
+26.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+3.5
23
vsMERC
MERCW 69-60
−18.5
26
vsLIP
LIPL 67-90
−0.5
3
@UNCW
UNCWL 69-70
−11.5
6
@OHIO
OHIOL 81-88
+11.5
10
vsWKU
WKUW 77-61
−21.5
13
vsWRST
WRSTW 76-74
+0.5
20
@TROY
TROYL 63-70
−22.5
31
vsGAST
GASTW 84-80
+12.5
3
vsAPP
APPW 88-81
+27.5
7
@JMU
JMUW 66-64
−22.5
10
@GAST
GASTL 73-81
+0.5
14
vsCCU
CCUL 83-85
+16.5
17
vsJMU
JMUW 77-72
−0.5
22
vsULM
ULMW 115-60
+14.5
over 10under 9avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas St
20 games played
Straight up
9-11
45% wins
Against the spread
7-13
35% covers · avg −3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-8
60% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BGSU | L 48-83 | +5.5 | L −29.5 | 146.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 8 | @ TULN | L 71-79 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 12 | vs UTSA | W 80-69 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 15 | vs TXSO | W 77-67 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 18 | vs ACU | W 63-49 | -1.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 112 |
| Nov 21 | vs LR | W 65-56 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 28 | vs SEA | L 52-66 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 29 | vs LEH | L 74-78 | -6.5 | L −10.5 | 135.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 3 | @ RICE | L 72-77 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 133.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs SOU | W 86-83 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 17 | vs ARST | L 70-89 | +4.5 | L −14.5 | 151.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vs USA | W 67-65 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 31 | @TROY | L 80-100 | +8.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ULM | W 84-79 | -10.5 | L −5.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 8 | @ USM | L 70-80 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 10 | @ARST | L 82-83 | +11.5 | W +10.5 | 156.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 14 | vs UL | W 59-54 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 133.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 17 | vsUSM | W 74-67 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 22 | @CCU | L 70-72 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 24 | @JMU | L 57-82 | +5.5 | L −19.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−29.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+4.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+8.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
+5.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
+12.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
+3.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−6.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
−10.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
−1.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
−0.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
−14.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−1.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
−11.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
−5.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
−7.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+10.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−3.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+4.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
−0.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−19.5
covered 7didn’t cover 13avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BGSU
BGSUL 48-83
−15.5
8
@TULN
TULNL 71-79
+3.5
12
vsUTSA
UTSAW 80-69
+1.5
15
vsTXSO
TXSOW 77-67
−0.5
18
vsACU
ACUW 63-49
−26.5
21
vsLR
LRW 65-56
−10.5
28
vsSEA
SEAL 52-66
−18.5
29
vsLEH
LEHL 74-78
+16.5
3
@RICE
RICEL 72-77
+15.5
10
vsSOU
SOUW 86-83
+26.5
17
vsARST
ARSTL 70-89
+7.5
20
vsUSA
USAW 67-65
−4.5
31
@TROY
TROYL 80-100
+34.5
3
@ULM
ULMW 84-79
+12.5
8
@USM
USML 70-80
+5.5
10
@ARST
ARSTL 82-83
+8.5
14
vsUL
ULW 59-54
−20.5
17
vsUSM
USMW 74-67
+0.5
22
@CCU
CCUL 70-72
+1.5
24
@JMU
JMUL 57-82
−4.5
over 12under 8avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marshall
12-7 overall · 5-3 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UL Monroe115–60
- Wvs James Madison77–72
- Lvs Coastal83–85
- L@ Georgia St73–81
- W@ James Madison66–64
6 days since their last game.
Texas St
9-11 overall · 4-6 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ James Madison57–82
- L@ Coastal70–72
- Wvs Southern Miss74–67
- Wvs Louisiana59–54
- L@ Arkansas St82–83
4 days since their last game.