The HTC Center · at Coastal · Conference game
Closing line
APP -1.5✓ CCU covered by 6.5
APP -1.5✓ CCU covered by 6.5Closing total133.5Under by 4.5
| APP | This season | CCU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-7 | Record | 7-9 |
| 10-5 | ATS | 7-9 |
| 5-10 | O/U | 8-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: APP 68–67 CCU · ✗ APP (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 32 | 30 | 62 |
| CCU | 26 | 41 | 67 |
1st half: APP 32, CCU 26 (APP by 6). The model had APP by 0.6 and a total of 63.3 (actual 58).
Team stats
| APP | CCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 36% | Field goals | 26-52 50% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 6-11 55% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 32 7 off |
| 5 | Assists | 11 |
| 3 | Steals | 2 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 9 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| APP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kasen Jennings G | 35 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 4-16 | 1-4 |
| Alonzo Dodd G | 35 | 21 | 6 | 3 | 8-16 | 1-7 |
| Michael Marcus Jr. F | 34 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Luke Wilson C | 32 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Tot G | 30 | 12 | 0 | 0 | 3-9 | 3-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jason Clarke Jr. G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Chad Moodie F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Andrin Njock F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jacari Brim G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Grant Clayton, Tre McKinnon, Ted Neal, KJ Vasser, Cameron O'Kelley, Eren Banks, Luke Ledford
| CCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rasheed Jones G | 38 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Joshua Beadle G | 38 | 25 | 7 | 5 | 9-17 | 4-7 |
| AJ Dancler G | 29 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Nadjrick Peat F | 21 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Reggie Hill F | 21 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Derrick Green F | 19 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Braeden MacVicar F | 16 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| DaJohn Craig G | 11 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Tristan Thompson G | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jerry Ngopot F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Keil, Devin Brown, Andre Mulibea, Charles Dunlap, Connor Martin
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAPP -1.5
ModelAPP -0.8
Model edgeCCU +0.7
W CCU covered
Total
Market133.5
Model134.9
Model edgeOver 1.4
L Under
Projected score
APP 67.9 · CCU 67.1
APP 62 · CCU 67
Win probability
APP 53%
1st half
Spread
APP -0.6
APP -6.0
Total
63.3
58 points
Projected score
APP 31.9 · CCU 31.3
APP 32 · CCU 26
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCCU -1.5
3 → APP
CloseAPP -1.5
3 pts toward APP
Total
Open134.5
▼ 1
Close133.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
APP -118 · CCU -102
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CCU -1.5 · closed APP -1.5 · moved 3 toward APPmodel APP -1
model APP -1
Opened 134.5 · closed 133.5 · moved 1 downmodel 135
model 135
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APP | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
| CCU | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
APP 8–1 CCUAPP leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · APP has won the last 5 meetings · APP 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2025-26 | CCU 49 @ APP 67 | APP -4.5 | APP W |
| Feb 13, 2024-25 | APP 64 @ CCU 46 | CCU +8.5 | APP W |
| Jan 8, 2024-25 | CCU 51 @ APP 74 | APP -7.5 | APP W |
| Jan 20, 2023-24 | CCU 59 @ APP 88 | APP -15.5 | APP W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | APP 70 @ CCU 45 | CCU +8.5 | APP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
App State
15 games played
Straight up
8-7
53% wins
Against the spread
10-5
67% covers · avg +0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-10
33% overs · avg −2.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CMU | L 66-82 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 9 | vs NCCU | W 76-54 | -10.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | @ OSU | L 53-75 | +23.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 16 | @ DART | W 85-77 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLT | W 65-63 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 132.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 24 | vs ELON | L 53-88 | -5.5 | L −40.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 26 | @ MER | L 67-75 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 30 | vs UNCA | L 55-67 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 11 | @ ECU | W 67-54 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs HPU | W 86-78 | +12.5 | W +20.5 | 144.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 18 | vsCCU | W 67-49 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | vs GAST | L 63-70 | -7.5 | L −14.5 | 137.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 31 | @ ODU | W 81-73 | +1.5 | W +9.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 3 | @ MRSH | L 81-88 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 8 | @GAST | W 52-50 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 102 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
−14.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
+11.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
+1.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+6.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
+0.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−40.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−1.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−10.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
+17.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+20.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
+13.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−14.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+9.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+0.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
+0.5
covered 10didn’t cover 5avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CMU
CMUL 66-82
+5.5
9
vsNCCU
NCCUW 76-54
−6.5
11
@OSU
OSUL 53-75
−19.5
16
@DART
DARTW 85-77
+21.5
21
vsCLT
CLTW 65-63
−4.5
24
vsELON
ELONL 53-88
−2.5
26
@MER
MERL 67-75
−0.5
30
vsUNCA
UNCAL 55-67
−15.5
11
@ECU
ECUW 67-54
−9.5
14
vsHPU
HPUW 86-78
+19.5
18
vsCCU
CCUW 67-49
−21.5
20
vsGAST
GASTL 63-70
−4.5
31
@ODU
ODUW 81-73
+17.5
3
@MRSH
MRSHL 81-88
+27.5
8
@GAST
GASTW 52-50
−38.5
over 5under 10avg −2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Coastal
16 games played
Straight up
7-9
44% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-8
50% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ WMU | L 71-76 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 11 | vs WIN | W 72-66 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 14 | @ JXST | L 67-74 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 139.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 21 | @ WIU | W 84-64 | -3.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs UND | W 75-58 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 23 | @ ILST | L 42-94 | +12.5 | L −39.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | vs AAMU | W 67-60 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | @ UPST | L 78-85 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @WIN | W 88-84 | +16.5 | W +20.5 | 153.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | @ GCU | L 61-82 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 18 | @APP | L 49-67 | +4.5 | L −13.5 | 137.5 | U 116 |
| Dec 20 | @ODU | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 22 | @ JOES | W 68-62 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 1 | vs GASO | L 81-82 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 157.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 3 | vsGAST | L 71-89 | -6.5 | L −24.5 | 148.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 8 | vsODU | L 66-70 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WMU
WMUL 71-76
−2.5
11
vsWIN
WINW 72-66
+8.5
14
@JXST
JXSTL 67-74
+0.5
21
@WIU
WIUW 84-64
+16.5
22
vsUND
UNDW 75-58
+13.5
23
@ILST
ILSTL 42-94
−39.5
30
vsAAMU
AAMUW 67-60
−0.5
3
@UPST
UPSTL 78-85
−4.5
6
@WIN
WINW 88-84
+20.5
13
@GCU
GCUL 61-82
−3.5
18
@APP
APPL 49-67
−13.5
20
@ODU
ODUW 76-74
+5.5
22
@JOES
JOESW 68-62
+13.5
1
vsGASO
GASOL 81-82
−2.5
3
vsGAST
GASTL 71-89
−24.5
8
vsODU
ODUL 66-70
−8.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WMU
WMUL 71-76
+0.5
11
vsWIN
WINW 72-66
−27.5
14
@JXST
JXSTL 67-74
+1.5
21
@WIU
WIUW 84-64
+9.5
22
vsUND
UNDW 75-58
−14.5
23
@ILST
ILSTL 42-94
−10.5
30
vsAAMU
AAMUW 67-60
−13.5
3
@UPST
UPSTL 78-85
+18.5
6
@WIN
WINW 88-84
+18.5
13
@GCU
GCUL 61-82
−0.5
18
@APP
APPL 49-67
−21.5
20
@ODU
ODUW 76-74
+2.5
22
@JOES
JOESW 68-62
−14.5
1
vsGASO
GASOL 81-82
+5.5
3
vsGAST
GASTL 71-89
+11.5
8
vsODU
ODUL 66-70
−15.5
over 8under 8avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
App State
8-7 overall · 3-2 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Georgia St52–50
- L@ Marshall81–88
- W@ Old Dominion81–73
- Lvs Georgia St63–70
- Wvs Coastal67–49
2 days since their last game.
Coastal
7-9 overall · 1-4 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Old Dominion66–70
- Lvs Georgia St71–89
- Lvs GA Southern81–82
- W@ Saint Joseph's68–62
- W@ Old Dominion76–74
2 days since their last game.