J. Lawrence Walkup Skydome · at N Arizona · Conference game
Closing line
IDST -4.5✓ NAU covered by 2.5
IDST -4.5✓ NAU covered by 2.5Closing total139.5Over by 20.5
| IDST | This season | NAU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-8 | Record | 3-10 |
| 9-4 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 8-5 | O/U | 4-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IDST 72–69 NAU · ✓ IDST (60%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 40 | 41 | 81 |
| NAU | 39 | 40 | 79 |
1st half: IDST 40, NAU 39 (IDST by 1). The model had IDST by 1.8 and a total of 65.8 (actual 79).
Team stats
| IDST | NAU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-52 56% | Field goals | 27-52 52% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 5-14 36% |
| 17-21 81% | Free throws | 20-26 77% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 24 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 14 |
| 4 | Steals | 8 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 21 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 35 | 16 | 8 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Martin Kheil G | 35 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-6 |
| Jamison Guerra PG | 34 | 22 | 2 | 6 | 9-16 | 2-3 |
| Lachlan Brewer G | 29 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Evan Otten F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 20 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-2 |
| Cheikh Sow G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Gus Etchison G | 6 | 10 | 0 | 1 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Louis Bond G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Landen Birley, Trey Arland, Jaedyn Brown, Kasen Carpenter, Quin Patterson
| NAU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brennan Peterson G | 34 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Chris Komin G | 34 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 5-6 | 3-3 |
| Ryan Abelman G | 29 | 6 | 7 | 3 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Traivar Jackson F | 23 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Shaw F | 10 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Karl Poom F | 29 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 8-12 | 1-2 |
| Arne Osojnik F | 23 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Kavon Bradford G | 16 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Erez Poran G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Oakland Fort, Zack Davidson, Walker Timme, JT Amundsen, Diego Campisano
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIDST -4.5
ModelIDST -2.8
Model edgeNAU +1.7
W NAU covered
Total
Market139.5
Model140.4
Model edgeOver 0.9
W Over
Projected score
IDST 71.6 · NAU 68.8
IDST 81 · NAU 79
Win probability
IDST 60%
1st half
Spread
IDST -1.8
IDST -1.0
Total
65.8
79 points
Projected score
IDST 33.8 · NAU 32
IDST 40 · NAU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIDST -4.5
no move
CloseIDST -4.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
▼ 1
Close139.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
IDST -205 · NAU +170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IDST -4.5 · unchangedmodel IDST -3
model IDST -3
Opened 140.5 · closed 139.5 · moved 1 downmodel 140.5
model 140.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
| NAU | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 2-8 20% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
IDST 6–3 NAUIDST leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · IDST 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | NAU 82 @ IDST 79 | IDST -6.5 | NAU W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | IDST 72 @ NAU 67 | NAU -3.5 | IDST W |
| Mar 9, 2023-24 | IDST 68 vs NAU 60 | NAU +4.5 | IDST W |
| Feb 29, 2023-24 | NAU 92 @ IDST 88 | IDST -7.5 | NAU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | IDST 81 @ NAU 79 | NAU -1.5 | IDST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Idaho St
13 games played
Straight up
5-8
38% wins
Against the spread
9-4
69% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-5
62% overs · avg +7.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USD | W 71-68 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 9 | @ SDSU | L 57-73 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEA | L 74-83 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 18 | @ SCU | L 55-64 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 26 | vs SHSU | L 81-84 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs CSUN | W 82-50 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ KC | W 68-59 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 6 | vs DEN | W 93-79 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ UVU | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCD | L 83-93 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
| Jan 1 | vs SAC | W 97-84 | -8.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 3 | vs PRST | L 87-93 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 8 | @ UNCO | L 72-85 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
+7.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
+5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+2.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
+5.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
−1.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
+30.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
+3.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+5.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
−15.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+4.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
−9.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
−8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 4avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
−13.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
−5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+18.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
−22.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
+22.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
−16.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
−10.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+29.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+0.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
+32.5
1
vsSAC
SACW 97-84
+27.5
3
vsPRST
PRSTL 87-93
+37.5
8
@UNCO
UNCOL 72-85
+1.5
over 8under 5avg +7.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
N Arizona
13 games played
Straight up
3-10
23% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg −2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-9
31% overs · avg −7.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs DRKE | L 71-77 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ ARIZ | L 49-84 | +35.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 24 | vs CP | W 93-87 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 26 | vs SEMO | W 79-72 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | vs SDST | L 62-75 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | @ NDSU | L 68-69 | +12.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 9 | @ ASU | L 48-73 | +16.5 | L −8.5 | 154.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 13 | @USD | L 69-78 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 18 | vs SUU | W 65-57 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 21 | @ UIW | L 66-90 | +6.5 | L −17.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 1 | @ MONT | L 64-78 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 3 | @ MTST | L 68-77 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 8 | vs WEB | L 65-78 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 143 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsDRKE
DRKEL 71-77
+2.5
11
@ARIZ
ARIZL 49-84
+0.5
24
vsCP
CPW 93-87
+7.5
26
vsSEMO
SEMOW 79-72
+4.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 62-75
−10.5
6
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-69
+11.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 48-73
−8.5
13
@USD
USDL 69-78
−4.5
18
vsSUU
SUUW 65-57
+2.5
21
@UIW
UIWL 66-90
−17.5
1
@MONT
MONTL 64-78
−8.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 68-77
+1.5
8
vsWEB
WEBL 65-78
−10.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsDRKE
DRKEL 71-77
+3.5
11
@ARIZ
ARIZL 49-84
−30.5
24
vsCP
CPW 93-87
+15.5
26
vsSEMO
SEMOW 79-72
−2.5
3
vsSDST
SDSTL 62-75
−11.5
6
@NDSU
NDSUL 68-69
−10.5
9
@ASU
ASUL 48-73
−33.5
13
@USD
USDL 69-78
−2.5
18
vsSUU
SUUW 65-57
−28.5
21
@UIW
UIWL 66-90
+15.5
1
@MONT
MONTL 64-78
−7.5
3
@MTST
MTSTL 68-77
+1.5
8
vsWEB
WEBL 65-78
−6.5
over 4under 9avg −7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Idaho St
5-8 overall · 1-2 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ N Colorado72–85
- Lvs Portland St87–93
- Wvs Sacramento St97–84
- Lvs UC Davis83–93
- L@ Utah Valley69–73
2 days since their last game.
N Arizona
3-10 overall · 0-3 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Weber St65–78
- L@ Montana St68–77
- L@ Montana64–78
- L@ Incarnate Word66–90
- Wvs Southern Utah65–57
2 days since their last game.