Reed Gym · at Idaho St · Conference game
Closing line
IDST -8.5✓ IDST covered by 4.5
IDST -8.5✓ IDST covered by 4.5Closing total153.5Over by 27.5
 SAC | This season | IDST |
|---|---|---|
| 1-8 | Record | 4-6 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 8-2 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SAC 70–78 IDST · ✓ IDST (76%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAC | 32 | 52 | 84 |
| IDST | 41 | 56 | 97 |
1st half: SAC 32, IDST 41 (IDST by 9). The model had IDST by 4.7 and a total of 69.1 (actual 73).
Team stats
| SAC | IDST | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-63 41% | Field goals | 32-65 49% |
| 5-19 26% | 3-pointers | 14-30 47% |
| 27-37 73% | Free throws | 19-27 70% |
| 35 10 off | Rebounds | 38 9 off |
| 7 | Assists | 19 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 23 | Fouls | 24 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| SAC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mikey Williams G | 35 | 34 | 3 | 2 | 13-23 | 3-7 |
| Prophet Johnson G | 34 | 14 | 9 | 1 | 5-14 | 1-4 |
| Jahni Summers G | 24 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Shaqir O'Neal F | 14 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Gardner F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Arman Madi G | 30 | 10 | 9 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-3 |
| Mark Lavrenov F | 22 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Teat G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Taj Glover G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Bronson G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zach Anderson, Romari Robinson, Jeremiah Nyarko, Davis Ambuehl, Bear Cherry
| IDST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamison Guerra PG | 33 | 24 | 3 | 6 | 6-9 | 4-5 |
| Lachlan Brewer G | 32 | 18 | 6 | 2 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Martin Kheil G | 31 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Connor Hollenbeck F | 27 | 16 | 2 | 3 | 5-9 | 4-7 |
| Evan Otten F | 15 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cheikh Sow G | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Caleb Van De Griend F | 19 | 12 | 10 | 4 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Louis Bond G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Blake Daberkow F | 6 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Gus Etchison G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Quin Patterson F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Landen Birley, Kasen Carpenter, Trey Arland, Jaedyn Brown
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIDST -11.5
3 → SAC
CloseIDST -8.5
3 pts toward SAC
Total
Open147.5
▲ 6
Close153.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
SAC +350 · IDST -455
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IDST -11.5 · closed IDST -8.5 · moved 3 toward SACmodel IDST -8
model IDST -8
Opened 147.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 6 upmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | IDST -8.5 | IDST -8.1 | SAC +0.4 | L IDST covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 147.5 | Under 6.0 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | SAC 69.7 · IDST 77.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | IDST -4.7 | IDST -9.0 |
| 1H total | 69.1 | 73 |
| 1H projected score | SAC 32.2 · IDST 36.9 | SAC 32 · IDST 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SAClast 9 | 1-8 11% | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% |
| IDST | 4-6 40% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
SAC 5–3 IDSTSAC leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · SAC 3-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | SAC 66 @ IDST 83 | IDST -10.5 | IDST W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | IDST 71 @ SAC 75 | SAC +5.5 | SAC W |
| Feb 8, 2023-24 | SAC 40 @ IDST 68 | IDST -5.5 | IDST W |
| Jan 13, 2023-24 | IDST 64 @ SAC 66 | SAC -2.5 | IDST W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | IDST 65 @ SAC 70 | SAC -3.5 | SAC W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Sacramento St
9 games played
Straight up
1-8
11% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs UCSB | L 87-92 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 14 | @ UCD | L 73-77 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | vs PRES | W 64-62 | -6.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | @ UCLA | L 48-79 | +27.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 21 | @ CAL | L 67-91 | +21.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 29 | @ PAC | L 54-68 | +10.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | @ BAY | L 88-110 | +29.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 198 |
| Dec 20 | @ CBU | L 67-74 | +14.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 22 | @ CSUN | L 88-100 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+2.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
+0.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−4.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−3.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
−2.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−3.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+7.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
+7.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
−3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsUCSB
UCSBL 87-92
+17.5
14
@UCD
UCDL 73-77
−1.5
16
vsPRES
PRESW 64-62
−24.5
18
@UCLA
UCLAL 48-79
−19.5
21
@CAL
CALL 67-91
+3.5
29
@PAC
PACL 54-68
−24.5
2
@BAY
BAYL 88-110
+39.5
20
@CBU
CBUL 67-74
−17.5
22
@CSUN
CSUNL 88-100
+23.5
over 4under 5avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Idaho St
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
8-2
80% covers · avg +4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg +3.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ USD | W 71-68 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 9 | @ SDSU | L 57-73 | +21.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | @ SEA | L 74-83 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 18 | @ SCU | L 55-64 | +14.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 26 | vs SHSU | L 81-84 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vsCSUN | W 82-50 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 148.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 3 | @ KC | W 68-59 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 6 | vs DEN | W 93-79 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 10 | @ UVU | L 69-73 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 141.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 21 | vsUCD | L 83-93 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 143.5 | O 176 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
+7.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
+5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+2.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
+5.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
−1.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
+30.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
+3.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+5.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+5.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
−15.5
covered 8didn’t cover 2avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@USD
USDW 71-68
−13.5
9
@SDSU
SDSUL 57-73
−5.5
15
@SEA
SEAL 74-83
+18.5
18
@SCU
SCUL 55-64
−22.5
26
vsSHSU
SHSUL 81-84
+22.5
28
vsCSUN
CSUNW 82-50
−16.5
3
@KC
KCW 68-59
−10.5
6
vsDEN
DENW 93-79
+29.5
10
@UVU
UVUL 69-73
+0.5
21
vsUCD
UCDL 83-93
+32.5
over 5under 5avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Sacramento St
1-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ CSU Northridge88–100
- L@ CA Baptist67–74
- L@ Baylor88–110
- L@ Pacific54–68
- L@ California67–91
A week or more of rest.
Idaho St
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Sky Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UC Davis83–93
- L@ Utah Valley69–73
- Wvs Denver93–79
- W@ Kansas City68–59
- Wvs CSU Northridge82–50
A week or more of rest.