Moody Center · at Texas · Conference game
Closing line
TEX -3.5✓ TEX covered by 16.5
TEX -3.5✓ TEX covered by 16.5Closing total168.5Under by 14.5
 UGA | This season | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| 16-3 | Record | 10-8 |
| 9-10 | ATS | 10-8 |
| 10-9 | O/U | 11-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UGA 87–86 TEX · ✗ UGA (52%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | 37 | 30 | 67 |
| TEX | 30 | 57 | 87 |
1st half: UGA 37, TEX 30 (UGA by 7). The model had UGA by 0.5 and a total of 80.9 (actual 67).
Team stats
| UGA | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-51 43% | Field goals | 35-60 58% |
| 6-19 32% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 17-25 68% | Free throws | 9-12 75% |
| 25 11 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 17 |
| 7 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 14 | Fouls | 18 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| UGA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremiah Wilkinson G | 32 | 17 | 2 | 4 | 4-13 | 3-7 |
| Somto Cyril C | 25 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Ross G | 24 | 11 | 3 | 3 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Blue Cain G | 24 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Kanon Catchings F | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marcus Millender G | 28 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3-10 | 2-7 |
| Justin Abson F | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jake Wilkins F | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Kareem Stagg F | 13 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Dylan James F | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson McVey, Markel Jennings, Justin Bailey, Jaden Newell, Brandon Klatsky
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailyn Swain G | 39 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 12-16 | 2-4 |
| Tramon Mark G | 34 | 23 | 6 | 4 | 10-16 | 3-7 |
| Jordan Pope G | 31 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 4-8 | 1-3 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 22 | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Camden Heide F | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chendall Weaver G | 22 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Lassina Traore F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 15 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Nic Codie, John Clark, Brandon Taylor, Anthon McDermott, Cole Bott, Declan Duru Jr., Lewis Obiorah
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTEX -3.5
ModelUGA -0.6
Model edgeUGA +4.1
L TEX covered
Total
Market168.5
Model172.9
Model edgeOver 4.4
L Under
Projected score
UGA 86.8 · TEX 86.1
UGA 67 · TEX 87
Win probability
UGA 52%
1st half
Spread
UGA -0.5
UGA -7.0
Total
80.9
67 points
Projected score
UGA 40.7 · TEX 40.2
UGA 37 · TEX 30
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTEX -1.5
2 → TEX
CloseTEX -3.5
2 pts toward TEX
Total
Open170.5
▼ 2
Close168.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
UGA +136 · TEX -162
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TEX -1.5 · closed TEX -3.5 · moved 2 toward TEXmodel UGA -0.5
model UGA -0.5
Opened 170.5 · closed 168.5 · moved 2 downmodel 173
model 173
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UGA | 8-2 80% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| TEX | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UGA 1–0 TEXUGA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UGA 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | UGA 83 @ TEX 67 | TEX -5.5 | UGA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Georgia
19 games played
Straight up
16-3
84% wins
Against the spread
9-10
47% covers · avg +3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-9
53% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BELL | W 104-59 | -23.5 | W +21.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 5 | vs UMES | W 94-29 | -33.5 | W +31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 9 | vs MORE | W 120-81 | -28.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 201 |
| Nov 14 | vs GT | W 92-87 | -15.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 17 | vs FAMU | W 87-57 | -40.5 | L −10.5 | 170.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 21 | vs XAV | W 78-77 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 23 | vs CLEM | L 94-97 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 29 | vs TNTC | W 123-81 | -34.5 | W +7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 2 | @ FSU | W 107-73 | +1.5 | W +35.5 | 176.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 13 | vs CIN | W 84-65 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 18 | vs WCU | W 112-82 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 167.5 | O 194 |
| Dec 22 | vs WGA | W 103-74 | -36.5 | L −7.5 | 173.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 29 | vs LIU | W 89-74 | -30.5 | L −15.5 | 179.5 | U 163 |
| Jan 3 | vs AUB | W 104-100 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 173.5 | O 204 |
| Jan 6 | @ FLA | L 77-92 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 172.5 | U 169 |
| Jan 10 | @ SC | W 75-70 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 163.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 14 | vs MISS | L 95-97 | -10.5 | L −12.5 | 158.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 17 | vs ARK | W 90-76 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 181.5 | U 166 |
| Jan 20 | @ MIZ | W 74-72 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 163.5 | U 146 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+21.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
+31.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+10.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
−10.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−10.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−9.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
−1.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+7.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+35.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
+13.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
−2.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
−7.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−15.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
−2.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−5.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
+0.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
−12.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
+11.5
20
@MIZ
MIZW 74-72
+3.5
covered 9didn’t cover 10avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBELL
BELLW 104-59
+12.5
5
vsUMES
UMESW 94-29
−19.5
9
vsMORE
MOREW 120-81
+50.5
14
vsGT
GTW 92-87
+23.5
17
vsFAMU
FAMUW 87-57
−26.5
21
vsXAV
XAVW 78-77
−10.5
23
vsCLEM
CLEML 94-97
+38.5
29
vsTNTC
TNTCW 123-81
+43.5
2
@FSU
FSUW 107-73
+3.5
13
vsCIN
CINW 84-65
−8.5
18
vsWCU
WCUW 112-82
+26.5
22
vsWGA
WGAW 103-74
+3.5
29
vsLIU
LIUW 89-74
−16.5
3
vsAUB
AUBW 104-100
+30.5
6
@FLA
FLAL 77-92
−3.5
10
@SC
SCW 75-70
−18.5
14
vsMISS
MISSL 95-97
+33.5
17
vsARK
ARKW 90-76
−15.5
20
@MIZ
MIZW 74-72
−17.5
over 10under 9avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas
18 games played
Straight up
10-8
56% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-7
61% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vsUMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @ TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 14 | vs VAN | W 80-64 | +3.5 | W +19.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 17 | vs TA&M | L 70-74 | -4.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 21 | @ UK | L 80-85 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
+19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−8.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
14
vsVAN
VANW 80-64
−19.5
17
vsTA&M
TA&ML 70-74
−22.5
21
@UK
UKL 80-85
+12.5
over 11under 7avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Georgia
16-3 overall · 4-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Missouri74–72
- Wvs Arkansas90–76
- Lvs Ole Miss95–97
- W@ South Carolina75–70
- L@ Florida77–92
4 days since their last game.
Texas
10-8 overall · 2-4 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Kentucky80–85
- Lvs Texas A&M70–74
- Wvs Vanderbilt80–64
- W@ Alabama92–88
- L@ Tennessee71–85
3 days since their last game.