Moody Center · at Texas · Conference game
Closing line
VAN -3.5✓ TEX covered by 19.5
VAN -3.5✓ TEX covered by 19.5Closing total163.5Under by 19.5
| VAN | This season | TEX |
|---|---|---|
| 16-0 | Record | 9-6 |
| 10-6 | ATS | 8-7 |
| 9-7 | O/U | 10-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VAN 86–83 TEX · ✗ VAN (61%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 37 | 27 | 64 |
| TEX | 42 | 38 | 80 |
1st half: VAN 37, TEX 42 (TEX by 5). The model had VAN by 2.1 and a total of 79.0 (actual 79).
Team stats
| VAN | TEX | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-60 37% | Field goals | 27-51 53% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 7-17 41% |
| 11-15 73% | Free throws | 19-22 86% |
| 24 10 off | Rebounds | 42 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 4 | Blocks | 2 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| VAN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Tanner G | 34 | 17 | 3 | 2 | 5-15 | 3-7 |
| Duke Miles G | 32 | 21 | 3 | 4 | 7-16 | 3-5 |
| Tyler Nickel F | 30 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 2-5 |
| AK Okereke F | 28 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Devin McGlockton F | 23 | 9 | 7 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Harris F | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Jalen Washington F | 15 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mike James G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jayden Leverett C | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chandler Bing F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylon Dean-Vines G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: George Kimble III, Mason Nicholson, Coleson Messer, Miles Keeffe, Frankie Collins
| TEX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Pope G | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Dailyn Swain G | 34 | 14 | 9 | 7 | 5-8 | 0-1 |
| Matas Vokietaitis C | 32 | 22 | 7 | 0 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Tramon Mark G | 31 | 21 | 4 | 3 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| Camden Heide F | 28 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chendall Weaver G | 23 | 6 | 9 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Lassina Traore F | 8 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Simeon Wilcher G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Declan Duru Jr., Lewis Obiorah, Anthon McDermott, Brandon Taylor, Nic Codie, John Clark, Cole Bott
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketVAN -3.5
ModelVAN -3.3
Model edgeTEX +0.3
W TEX covered
Total
Market163.5
Model168.8
Model edgeOver 5.3
L Under
Projected score
VAN 86 · TEX 82.8
VAN 64 · TEX 80
Win probability
VAN 61%
1st half
Spread
VAN -2.1
TEX -5.0
Total
79.0
79 points
Projected score
VAN 40.5 · TEX 38.5
VAN 37 · TEX 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVAN -7.5
4 → TEX
CloseVAN -3.5
4 pts toward TEX
Total
Open166.5
▼ 3
Close163.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
VAN -192 · TEX +160
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VAN -7.5 · closed VAN -3.5 · moved 4 toward TEXmodel VAN -3.5
model VAN -3.5
Opened 166.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 3 downmodel 169
model 169
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VAN | 10-0 100% | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% |
| TEX | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VAN 1–1 TEXSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · VAN 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 12, 2024-25 | TEX 79 vs VAN 72 | VAN -2.5 | TEX W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | TEX 78 @ VAN 86 | VAN -3.5 | VAN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Vanderbilt
16 games played
Straight up
16-0
100% wins
Against the spread
10-6
63% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +3.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIP | W 105-61 | -26.5 | W +17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCF | W 105-93 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 166.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 12 | vs EKU | W 92-62 | -28.5 | W +1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs UAPB | W 104-75 | -41.5 | L −12.5 | 172.5 | O 179 |
| Nov 20 | vs TXSO | W 109-74 | -36.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 26 | vs WKU | W 83-78 | -18.5 | L −13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs VCU | W 89-74 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 161.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 28 | vs SMC | W 96-71 | -4.5 | W +20.5 | 149.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | vs SMU | W 88-69 | -10.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 13 | vs CARK | W 83-72 | -36.5 | L −25.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 17 | @ MEM | W 77-70 | -9.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ WAKE | W 98-67 | -5.5 | W +25.5 | 164.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 29 | vs NHVN | W 96-53 | -39.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ SC | W 83-71 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 155.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 7 | vs ALA | W 96-90 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 176.5 | O 186 |
| Jan 10 | vs LSU | W 84-73 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+17.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+1.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
−12.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
−1.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−13.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+8.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+20.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
+8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−25.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−2.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+25.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
+2.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+2.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
covered 10didn’t cover 6avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIP
LIPW 105-61
+11.5
8
@UCF
UCFW 105-93
+31.5
12
vsEKU
EKUW 92-62
−14.5
15
vsUAPB
UAPBW 104-75
+6.5
20
vsTXSO
TXSOW 109-74
+18.5
26
vsWKU
WKUW 83-78
−7.5
27
vsVCU
VCUW 89-74
+1.5
28
vsSMC
SMCW 96-71
+17.5
3
vsSMU
SMUW 88-69
−8.5
13
vsCARK
CARKW 83-72
−3.5
17
@MEM
MEMW 77-70
−12.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEW 98-67
+0.5
29
vsNHVN
NHVNW 96-53
+3.5
3
@SC
SCW 83-71
−1.5
7
vsALA
ALAW 96-90
+9.5
10
vsLSU
LSUW 84-73
−2.5
over 9under 7avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Texas
15 games played
Straight up
9-6
60% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg −1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-5
67% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs DUKE | L 60-75 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 8 | vs LAF | W 97-60 | -25.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs FDU | W 93-58 | -31.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs KC | W 71-55 | -31.5 | L −15.5 | 159.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 18 | vs RID | W 99-65 | -30.5 | W +3.5 | 143.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 24 | vs ASU | L 86-87 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 26 | vs NCSU | W 102-97 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 161.5 | O 199 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVA | L 69-88 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 8 | vs SOU | W 95-69 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 158.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 12 | @ CONN | L 63-71 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 16 | vs LEM | W 95-53 | -29.5 | W +12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 22 | vs UMES | W 94-71 | -33.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 3 | vs MSST | L 98-101 | -9.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 199 |
| Jan 6 | @ TENN | L 71-85 | +12.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 10 | @ALA | W 92-88 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 177.5 | O 180 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−4.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+11.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
+3.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−15.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+3.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
−7.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+6.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
−22.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+3.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
+3.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
+12.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
−10.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
−12.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
−1.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+15.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-75
−18.5
8
vsLAF
LAFW 97-60
+3.5
12
vsFDU
FDUW 93-58
−7.5
15
vsKC
KCW 71-55
−33.5
18
vsRID
RIDW 99-65
+20.5
24
vsASU
ASUL 86-87
+19.5
26
vsNCSU
NCSUW 102-97
+37.5
3
vsUVA
UVAL 69-88
+2.5
8
vsSOU
SOUW 95-69
+5.5
12
@CONN
CONNL 63-71
−11.5
16
vsLEM
LEMW 95-53
−4.5
22
vsUMES
UMESW 94-71
+26.5
3
vsMSST
MSSTL 98-101
+41.5
6
@TENN
TENNL 71-85
+2.5
10
@ALA
ALAW 92-88
+2.5
over 10under 5avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Vanderbilt
16-0 overall · 3-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs LSU84–73
- Wvs Alabama96–90
- W@ South Carolina83–71
- Wvs New Haven96–53
- W@ Wake Forest98–67
4 days since their last game.
Texas
9-6 overall · 1-2 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Alabama92–88
- L@ Tennessee71–85
- Lvs Mississippi St98–101
- Wvs MD Eastern94–71
- Wvs Le Moyne95–53
4 days since their last game.