Baptist Health Arena · at E Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
QUC -2.5✓ QUC covered by 14.5
QUC -2.5✓ QUC covered by 14.5Closing total165.5Over by 9.5
| QUC | This season | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| 16-12 | Record | 9-18 |
| 12-16 | ATS | 11-16 |
| 18-10 | O/U | 17-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: QUC 86–84 EKU · ✓ QUC (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 45 | 51 | 96 |
| EKU | 50 | 29 | 79 |
1st half: QUC 45, EKU 50 (EKU by 5). The model had QUC by 1.1 and a total of 79.3 (actual 95).
Team stats
| QUC | EKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-55 51% | Field goals | 25-57 44% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 30-38 79% | Free throws | 20-28 71% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 15 | Assists | 13 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 18 | Fouls | 24 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 20 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| QUC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Ashby G | 34 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Yoav Berman F | 31 | 24 | 4 | 6 | 7-14 | 2-6 |
| Carson Schwieger F | 30 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Nasir Mann G | 26 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Avantae Parker F | 15 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Watford G | 23 | 12 | 3 | 2 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Maban Jabriel G | 22 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 3-3 |
| Gus Larson F | 12 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Henry G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Crider G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kam Clark G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Reid Celestin F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Seamus Wilson, Matthew Walter, Saif-Allah Zatari, Jimma James, Danzelle Bullock Coles, Colby Christiansen, Jacob Brandly
| EKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Cooper F | 30 | 14 | 7 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-2 |
| Montavious Myrick F | 28 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| MJ Williams G | 27 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. G | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 4-9 | 2-7 |
| Tyler Jackson G | 22 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Turner Buttry G | 19 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Austin Ball F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Harris F | 13 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Jackson Holt G | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Yvens Paul F | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Asa White, Mason Miles, Trey Coles
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketQUC -2.5
ModelQUC -1.7
Model edgeEKU +0.8
L QUC covered
Total
Market165.5
Model169.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
W Over
Projected score
QUC 85.8 · EKU 84
QUC 96 · EKU 79
Win probability
QUC 56%
1st half
Spread
QUC -1.1
EKU -5.0
Total
79.3
95 points
Projected score
QUC 40.2 · EKU 39.1
QUC 45 · EKU 50
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenQUC -1.5
1 → QUC
CloseQUC -2.5
1 pt toward QUC
Total
Open167.5
▼ 2
Close165.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
QUC -142 · EKU +120
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened QUC -1.5 · closed QUC -2.5 · moved 1 toward QUCmodel QUC -1.5
model QUC -1.5
Opened 167.5 · closed 165.5 · moved 2 downmodel 170
model 170
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| QUC | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
| EKU | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 8-2 80% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
QUC 2–3 EKUEKU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · QUC 1-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | EKU 89 @ QUC 91 | QUC -4.5 | EKU W |
| Feb 15, 2024-25 | QUC 80 @ EKU 86 | EKU -2.5 | EKU W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | EKU 76 @ QUC 94 | QUC +4.5 | QUC W |
| Feb 9, 2022-23 | EKU 84 @ QUC 80 | QUC -0.5 | EKU W |
| Dec 31, 2022-23 | QUC 83 @ EKU 88 | EKU -1.5 | EKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Queens University Royals
28 games played
Straight up
16-12
57% wins
Against the spread
12-16
43% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-10
64% overs · avg +6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WIN | L 74-81 | +3.5 | L −3.5 | 163.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 8 | @ VILL | L 74-94 | +17.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ DUQ | L 81-87 | +12.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 15 | vs SHU | W 81-64 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 165.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNCG | W 101-94 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | @ FUR | L 79-90 | +8.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 28 | @ UVA | L 69-94 | +25.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | vs GWEB | W 107-74 | -14.5 | W +18.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 12 | vs SCST | W 102-78 | -18.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 14 | @ WAKE | L 73-111 | +18.5 | L −19.5 | 165.5 | O 184 |
| Dec 16 | @ ARK | L 80-108 | +23.5 | L −4.5 | 169.5 | O 188 |
| Dec 29 | @ AUB | L 65-106 | +25.5 | L −15.5 | 171.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 1 | vsEKU | W 91-89 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | vs BELL | W 98-76 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 169.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 8 | @ JAX | W 77-51 | -4.5 | W +21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | @ UNF | W 89-82 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 173.5 | U 171 |
| Jan 15 | @ FGCU | W 85-74 | +1.5 | W +12.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 17 | @ STET | W 87-81 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 162.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNA | W 87-62 | -12.5 | W +12.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 24 | @ WGA | L 66-74 | -7.5 | L −15.5 | 162.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 28 | vs CARK | L 90-100 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 158.5 | O 190 |
| Jan 31 | @BELL | L 75-78 | -5.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 5 | vsJAX | W 93-84 | -8.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 177 |
| Feb 7 | vsUNF | W 91-72 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 178.5 | U 163 |
| Feb 11 | vs APSU | L 87-95 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 161.5 | O 182 |
| Feb 14 | vs LIP | W 87-81 | -3.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Feb 18 | @UNA | W 85-78 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 21 | vsWGA | W 91-84 | -11.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 175 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWIN
WINL 74-81
−3.5
8
@VILL
VILLL 74-94
−2.5
11
@DUQ
DUQL 81-87
+6.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 81-64
+11.5
20
vsUNCG
UNCGW 101-94
−0.5
23
@FUR
FURL 79-90
−2.5
28
@UVA
UVAL 69-94
+0.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 107-74
+18.5
12
vsSCST
SCSTW 102-78
+5.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-111
−19.5
16
@ARK
ARKL 80-108
−4.5
29
@AUB
AUBL 65-106
−15.5
1
vsEKU
EKUW 91-89
−2.5
3
vsBELL
BELLW 98-76
+14.5
8
@JAX
JAXW 77-51
+21.5
10
@UNF
UNFW 89-82
−4.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUW 85-74
+12.5
17
@STET
STETW 87-81
−4.5
21
vsUNA
UNAW 87-62
+12.5
24
@WGA
WGAL 66-74
−15.5
28
vsCARK
CARKL 90-100
−15.5
31
@BELL
BELLL 75-78
−8.5
5
vsJAX
JAXW 93-84
+0.5
7
vsUNF
UNFW 91-72
+3.5
11
vsAPSU
APSUL 87-95
−10.5
14
vsLIP
LIPW 87-81
+2.5
18
@UNA
UNAW 85-78
−1.5
21
vsWGA
WGAW 91-84
−4.5
covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWIN
WINL 74-81
−8.5
8
@VILL
VILLL 74-94
+17.5
11
@DUQ
DUQL 81-87
+5.5
15
vsSHU
SHUW 81-64
−20.5
20
vsUNCG
UNCGW 101-94
+44.5
23
@FUR
FURL 79-90
+15.5
28
@UVA
UVAL 69-94
+2.5
3
vsGWEB
GWEBW 107-74
+19.5
12
vsSCST
SCSTW 102-78
+22.5
14
@WAKE
WAKEL 73-111
+18.5
16
@ARK
ARKL 80-108
+18.5
29
@AUB
AUBL 65-106
−0.5
1
vsEKU
EKUW 91-89
+15.5
3
vsBELL
BELLW 98-76
+4.5
8
@JAX
JAXW 77-51
−26.5
10
@UNF
UNFW 89-82
−2.5
15
@FGCU
FGCUW 85-74
−7.5
17
@STET
STETW 87-81
+5.5
21
vsUNA
UNAW 87-62
−13.5
24
@WGA
WGAL 66-74
−22.5
28
vsCARK
CARKL 90-100
+31.5
31
@BELL
BELLL 75-78
−10.5
5
vsJAX
JAXW 93-84
+30.5
7
vsUNF
UNFW 91-72
−15.5
11
vsAPSU
APSUL 87-95
+20.5
14
vsLIP
LIPW 87-81
+2.5
18
@UNA
UNAW 85-78
+6.5
21
vsWGA
WGAW 91-84
+13.5
over 18under 10avg +6 ptslonger = bigger margin
E Kentucky
27 games played
Straight up
9-18
33% wins
Against the spread
11-16
41% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-10
63% overs · avg +4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | vs WKU | L 79-87 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | @ VAN | L 62-92 | +28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ KENT | L 78-93 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 22 | vs MER | L 83-95 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | @ NKU | L 71-82 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs WOF | L 77-83 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | @ ILST | L 78-89 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 10 | @ EIU | W 68-59 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | vs M-OH | L 69-79 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 17 | @ JXST | W 62-59 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 21 | @ WICH | L 57-88 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 1 | @QUC | L 89-91 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @WGA | L 76-88 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 8 | vsUNA | W 88-80 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 10 | vsCARK | W 79-75 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | @APSU | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | vsBELL | W 89-69 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | @UNF | L 85-87 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 24 | @JAX | L 76-81 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 28 | vsAPSU | L 82-90 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 31 | @CARK | L 81-90 | +4.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 5 | vsFGCU | W 76-74 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 7 | vsSTET | W 100-88 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | O 188 |
| Feb 11 | @LIP | L 61-75 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 15 | @UNA | L 78-84 | -4.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 18 | vsWGA | W 81-80 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 21 | @BELL | W 95-92 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 187 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
vsWKU
WKUL 79-87
−6.5
12
@VAN
VANL 62-92
−1.5
18
@KENT
KENTL 78-93
−4.5
22
vsMER
MERL 83-95
−16.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−6.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 77-83
−4.5
3
@ILST
ILSTL 78-89
+1.5
10
@EIU
EIUW 68-59
+2.5
13
vsM-OH
M-OHL 69-79
−4.5
17
@JXST
JXSTW 62-59
+5.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 57-88
−16.5
1
@QUC
QUCL 89-91
+2.5
3
@WGA
WGAL 76-88
−13.5
8
vsUNA
UNAW 88-80
+2.5
10
vsCARK
CARKW 79-75
+5.5
15
@APSU
APSUL 72-74
+5.5
17
vsBELL
BELLW 89-69
+14.5
22
@UNF
UNFL 85-87
−10.5
24
@JAX
JAXL 76-81
−3.5
28
vsAPSU
APSUL 82-90
−5.5
31
@CARK
CARKL 81-90
−4.5
5
vsFGCU
FGCUW 76-74
+0.5
7
vsSTET
STETW 100-88
+2.5
11
@LIP
LIPL 61-75
−7.5
15
@UNA
UNAL 78-84
−10.5
18
vsWGA
WGAW 81-80
−6.5
21
@BELL
BELLW 95-92
+1.5
covered 11didn’t cover 16avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
vsWKU
WKUL 79-87
+3.5
12
@VAN
VANL 62-92
−14.5
18
@KENT
KENTL 78-93
+9.5
22
vsMER
MERL 83-95
+14.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−3.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 77-83
+6.5
3
@ILST
ILSTL 78-89
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUW 68-59
−22.5
13
vsM-OH
M-OHL 69-79
−10.5
17
@JXST
JXSTW 62-59
−21.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 57-88
−3.5
1
@QUC
QUCL 89-91
+15.5
3
@WGA
WGAL 76-88
+7.5
8
vsUNA
UNAW 88-80
+19.5
10
vsCARK
CARKW 79-75
−2.5
15
@APSU
APSUL 72-74
−7.5
17
vsBELL
BELLW 89-69
+1.5
22
@UNF
UNFL 85-87
+5.5
24
@JAX
JAXL 76-81
+14.5
28
vsAPSU
APSUL 82-90
+20.5
31
@CARK
CARKL 81-90
+19.5
5
vsFGCU
FGCUW 76-74
−4.5
7
vsSTET
STETW 100-88
+36.5
11
@LIP
LIPL 61-75
−24.5
15
@UNA
UNAL 78-84
+11.5
18
vsWGA
WGAW 81-80
+6.5
21
@BELL
BELLW 95-92
+33.5
over 17under 10avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Queens University Royals
16-12 overall · 12-4 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs West Georgia91–84
- W@ North Alabama85–78
- Wvs Lipscomb87–81
- Lvs Austin Peay87–95
- Wvs North Florida91–72
4 days since their last game.
E Kentucky
9-18 overall · 7-9 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Bellarmine95–92
- Wvs West Georgia81–80
- L@ North Alabama78–84
- L@ Lipscomb61–75
- Wvs Stetson100–88
4 days since their last game.