Baptist Health Arena · at E Kentucky · Conference game
Closing line
APSU -2.5✓ APSU covered by 5.5
APSU -2.5✓ APSU covered by 5.5Closing total151.5Over by 20.5
| APSU | This season | EKU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-6 | Record | 5-14 |
| 9-8 | ATS | 8-11 |
| 5-12 | O/U | 11-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: APSU 77–74 EKU · ✓ APSU (58%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APSU | 42 | 48 | 90 |
| EKU | 36 | 46 | 82 |
1st half: APSU 42, EKU 36 (APSU by 6). The model had APSU by 1.5 and a total of 70.8 (actual 78).
Team stats
| APSU | EKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-45 53% | Field goals | 25-72 35% |
| 7-15 47% | 3-pointers | 8-30 27% |
| 35-38 92% | Free throws | 24-27 89% |
| 33 5 off | Rebounds | 38 21 off |
| 17 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 3 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 23 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| APSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashaud Marshall F | 37 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Zyree Collins PG | 34 | 11 | 3 | 6 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Collin Parker F | 26 | 25 | 6 | 2 | 9-14 | 3-5 |
| Tate McCubbin G | 25 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Matt Enright PG | 14 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anton Brookshire PG | 28 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 1-5 | 0-4 |
| Travis Torain F | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Ja'Corey Robinson G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Creighton Morisch F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Wagner, Quan Lax, Terrell Gaines, Hansel Enmanuel
| EKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montavious Myrick F | 29 | 16 | 11 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Turner Buttry G | 26 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| Jayden Harris F | 18 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. G | 18 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Cooper F | 13 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| MJ Williams G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 6 | 3-11 | 0-2 |
| Tyler Jackson G | 22 | 19 | 1 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-6 |
| Austin Ball F | 20 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-9 | 1-7 |
| Jackson Holt G | 14 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 5-8 | 3-6 |
| Yvens Paul F | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Coles, Mason Miles, Asa White
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAPSU -2.5
ModelAPSU -2.3
Model edgeEKU +0.2
L APSU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model151.1
Model edgeUnder 0.4
L Over
Projected score
APSU 76.7 · EKU 74.4
APSU 90 · EKU 82
Win probability
APSU 58%
1st half
Spread
APSU -1.5
APSU -6.0
Total
70.8
78 points
Projected score
APSU 36.1 · EKU 34.6
APSU 42 · EKU 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPSU -2.5
no move
CloseAPSU -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open150.5
▲ 1
Close151.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
APSU -135 · EKU +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APSU -2.5 · unchangedmodel APSU -2.5 matches the line
model APSU -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 150.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| APSU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| EKU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
APSU 3–3 EKUSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · APSU 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 15, 2025-26 | EKU 72 @ APSU 74 | APSU -7.5 | EKU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | APSU 82 @ EKU 88 | EKU -7.5 | APSU W |
| Jan 16, 2024-25 | EKU 90 @ APSU 97 | APSU +2.5 | APSU W |
| Feb 28, 2023-24 | EKU 79 @ APSU 83 | APSU +2.5 | APSU W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | APSU 59 @ EKU 69 | EKU -4.5 | EKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Austin Peay
17 games played
Straight up
11-6
65% wins
Against the spread
9-8
53% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-12
29% overs · avg −2.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ AF | W 74-54 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | @ WYO | L 65-79 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNCG | W 69-63 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 18 | @ MISS | L 65-72 | +20.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ TLSA | L 75-84 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs NIU | W 77-59 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 3 | @ KENT | L 84-96 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ RGV | L 50-63 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 12 | vs ETSU | W 76-75 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 1 | vs UNF | W 102-83 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
| Jan 3 | vs JAX | W 71-68 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | @ FGCU | W 82-71 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 10 | @ STET | W 81-69 | -9.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 15 | vsEKU | W 74-72 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | @ LIP | L 78-82 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 22 | vsFGCU | W 83-62 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 23 | vsSTET | W 73-65 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@AF
AFW 74-54
+18.5
11
@WYO
WYOL 65-79
−8.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGW 69-63
+7.5
18
@MISS
MISSL 65-72
+13.5
21
@TLSA
TLSAL 75-84
−0.5
25
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
+11.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 84-96
−3.5
7
@RGV
RGVL 50-63
−10.5
12
vsETSU
ETSUW 76-75
+4.5
1
vsUNF
UNFW 102-83
+3.5
3
vsJAX
JAXW 71-68
−7.5
8
@FGCU
FGCUW 82-71
+14.5
10
@STET
STETW 81-69
+2.5
15
vsEKU
EKUW 74-72
−5.5
17
@LIP
LIPL 78-82
−1.5
22
vsFGCU
FGCUW 83-62
+14.5
23
vsSTET
STETW 73-65
−8.5
covered 9didn’t cover 8avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@AF
AFW 74-54
−8.5
11
@WYO
WYOL 65-79
−9.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGW 69-63
−13.5
18
@MISS
MISSL 65-72
−8.5
21
@TLSA
TLSAL 75-84
+10.5
25
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
−11.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 84-96
+26.5
7
@RGV
RGVL 50-63
−38.5
12
vsETSU
ETSUW 76-75
+7.5
1
vsUNF
UNFW 102-83
+22.5
3
vsJAX
JAXW 71-68
−1.5
8
@FGCU
FGCUW 82-71
−0.5
10
@STET
STETW 81-69
−0.5
15
vsEKU
EKUW 74-72
−7.5
17
@LIP
LIPL 78-82
+4.5
22
vsFGCU
FGCUW 83-62
−10.5
23
vsSTET
STETW 73-65
−10.5
over 5under 12avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
E Kentucky
19 games played
Straight up
5-14
26% wins
Against the spread
8-11
42% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-8
58% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | vs WKU | L 79-87 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | @ VAN | L 62-92 | +28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @KENT | L 78-93 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 22 | vs MER | L 83-95 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | @ NKU | L 71-82 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs WOF | L 77-83 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | @ ILST | L 78-89 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 10 | @ EIU | W 68-59 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | vs M-OH | L 69-79 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 17 | @ JXST | W 62-59 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 21 | @ WICH | L 57-88 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 1 | @ QUC | L 89-91 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ WGA | L 76-88 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 8 | vs UNA | W 88-80 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 10 | vs CARK | W 79-75 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | @APSU | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs BELL | W 89-69 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | @UNF | L 85-87 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 24 | @JAX | L 76-81 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
vsWKU
WKUL 79-87
−6.5
12
@VAN
VANL 62-92
−1.5
18
@KENT
KENTL 78-93
−4.5
22
vsMER
MERL 83-95
−16.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−6.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 77-83
−4.5
3
@ILST
ILSTL 78-89
+1.5
10
@EIU
EIUW 68-59
+2.5
13
vsM-OH
M-OHL 69-79
−4.5
17
@JXST
JXSTW 62-59
+5.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 57-88
−16.5
1
@QUC
QUCL 89-91
+2.5
3
@WGA
WGAL 76-88
−13.5
8
vsUNA
UNAW 88-80
+2.5
10
vsCARK
CARKW 79-75
+5.5
15
@APSU
APSUL 72-74
+5.5
17
vsBELL
BELLW 89-69
+14.5
22
@UNF
UNFL 85-87
−10.5
24
@JAX
JAXL 76-81
−3.5
covered 8didn’t cover 11avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
vsWKU
WKUL 79-87
+3.5
12
@VAN
VANL 62-92
−14.5
18
@KENT
KENTL 78-93
+9.5
22
vsMER
MERL 83-95
+14.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−3.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 77-83
+6.5
3
@ILST
ILSTL 78-89
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUW 68-59
−22.5
13
vsM-OH
M-OHL 69-79
−10.5
17
@JXST
JXSTW 62-59
−21.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 57-88
−3.5
1
@QUC
QUCL 89-91
+15.5
3
@WGA
WGAL 76-88
+7.5
8
vsUNA
UNAW 88-80
+19.5
10
vsCARK
CARKW 79-75
−2.5
15
@APSU
APSUL 72-74
−7.5
17
vsBELL
BELLW 89-69
+1.5
22
@UNF
UNFL 85-87
+5.5
24
@JAX
JAXL 76-81
+14.5
over 11under 8avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Austin Peay
11-6 overall · 7-1 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Stetson73–65
- Wvs FGCU83–62
- L@ Lipscomb78–82
- Wvs E Kentucky74–72
- W@ Stetson81–69
5 days since their last game.
E Kentucky
5-14 overall · 3-5 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Jacksonville76–81
- L@ North Florida85–87
- Wvs Bellarmine89–69
- L@ Austin Peay72–74
- Wvs C Arkansas79–75
4 days since their last game.