Swisher Gymnasium · at Jacksonville · Conference game
Closing line
JAX -1.5✓ JAX covered by 3.5
JAX -1.5✓ JAX covered by 3.5Closing total142.5Over by 14.5
 EKU | This season | JAX |
|---|---|---|
| 5-13 | Record | 5-13 |
| 8-10 | ATS | 7-11 |
| 10-8 | O/U | 6-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EKU 72–73 JAX · ✓ JAX (56%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EKU | 37 | 31 | 8 | 76 |
| JAX | 33 | 35 | 13 | 81 |
1st half: EKU 37, JAX 33 (EKU by 4). The model had JAX by 0.9 and a total of 67.8 (actual 70).
Team stats
| EKU | JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-52 48% | Field goals | 27-52 52% |
| 6-17 35% | 3-pointers | 4-14 29% |
| 20-28 71% | Free throws | 23-30 77% |
| 29 12 off | Rebounds | 29 11 off |
| 10 | Assists | 8 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 22 | Fouls | 21 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| EKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Montavious Myrick F | 42 | 17 | 6 | 2 | 5-14 | 0-0 |
| Juan Cranford Jr. G | 36 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Turner Buttry G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Harris F | 25 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Yvens Paul F | 18 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| MJ Williams G | 33 | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4-10 | 1-5 |
| Jalen Cooper F | 22 | 8 | 4 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Austin Ball F | 18 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Asa White C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jackson Holt G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tyler Jackson, Trey Coles, Mason Miles
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Evan Sterck G | 39 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 5-7 | 0-2 |
| Hayden Wood G | 32 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 30 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 24 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Charles Caporaso C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 33 | 25 | 1 | 1 | 10-13 | 2-2 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 28 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 6-10 | 0-0 |
| Allen Udemadu F | 21 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Chris Arias G | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jaylen Jordon F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anakin Brown, Lamont Jackson, Simon Wheeler, Enrico Borio, Michael Harper Jr., Roman Loux, Tito Deng
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketJAX -1.5
ModelJAX -1.7
Model edgeJAX +0.2
W JAX covered
Total
Market142.5
Model144.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
EKU 71.5 · JAX 73.2
EKU 76 · JAX 81
Win probability
JAX 56%
1st half
Spread
JAX -0.9
EKU -4.0
Total
67.8
70 points
Projected score
EKU 33.5 · JAX 34.3
EKU 37 · JAX 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenEKU -1.5
3 → JAX
CloseJAX -1.5
3 pts toward JAX
Total
Open141.5
▲ 1
Close142.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
EKU +110 · JAX -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened EKU -1.5 · closed JAX -1.5 · moved 3 toward JAXmodel JAX -1.5 matches the line
model JAX -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 141.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144.5
model 144.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EKU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
| JAX | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
EKU 2–5 JAXJAX leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · JAX has won the last 4 meetings · EKU 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | EKU 67 @ JAX 78 | JAX -2.5 | JAX W |
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | EKU 55 @ JAX 59 | JAX -2.5 | JAX W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | JAX 82 @ EKU 75 | EKU -2.5 | JAX W |
| Mar 5, 2023-24 | JAX 67 @ EKU 65 | EKU -8.5 | JAX W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | JAX 59 @ EKU 75 | EKU -10.5 | EKU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Kentucky
18 games played
Straight up
5-13
28% wins
Against the spread
8-10
44% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-8
56% overs · avg +0.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | vs WKU | L 79-87 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 12 | @ VAN | L 62-92 | +28.5 | L −1.5 | 168.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 18 | @ KENT | L 78-93 | +10.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 22 | vs MER | L 83-95 | -4.5 | L −16.5 | 163.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 24 | @ NKU | L 71-82 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 156.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs WOF | L 77-83 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 3 | @ ILST | L 78-89 | +12.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 10 | @ EIU | W 68-59 | -6.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 13 | vs M-OH | L 69-79 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 158.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 17 | @ JXST | W 62-59 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 142.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 21 | @ WICH | L 57-88 | +14.5 | L −16.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 1 | @ QUC | L 89-91 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Jan 3 | @ WGA | L 76-88 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 8 | vs UNA | W 88-80 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 10 | vs CARK | W 79-75 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Jan 15 | @ APSU | L 72-74 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Jan 17 | vs BELL | W 89-69 | -5.5 | W +14.5 | 156.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | @ UNF | L 85-87 | -8.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
vsWKU
WKUL 79-87
−6.5
12
@VAN
VANL 62-92
−1.5
18
@KENT
KENTL 78-93
−4.5
22
vsMER
MERL 83-95
−16.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−6.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 77-83
−4.5
3
@ILST
ILSTL 78-89
+1.5
10
@EIU
EIUW 68-59
+2.5
13
vsM-OH
M-OHL 69-79
−4.5
17
@JXST
JXSTW 62-59
+5.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 57-88
−16.5
1
@QUC
QUCL 89-91
+2.5
3
@WGA
WGAL 76-88
−13.5
8
vsUNA
UNAW 88-80
+2.5
10
vsCARK
CARKW 79-75
+5.5
15
@APSU
APSUL 72-74
+5.5
17
vsBELL
BELLW 89-69
+14.5
22
@UNF
UNFL 85-87
−10.5
covered 8didn’t cover 10avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
vsWKU
WKUL 79-87
+3.5
12
@VAN
VANL 62-92
−14.5
18
@KENT
KENTL 78-93
+9.5
22
vsMER
MERL 83-95
+14.5
24
@NKU
NKUL 71-82
−3.5
29
vsWOF
WOFL 77-83
+6.5
3
@ILST
ILSTL 78-89
+12.5
10
@EIU
EIUW 68-59
−22.5
13
vsM-OH
M-OHL 69-79
−10.5
17
@JXST
JXSTW 62-59
−21.5
21
@WICH
WICHL 57-88
−3.5
1
@QUC
QUCL 89-91
+15.5
3
@WGA
WGAL 76-88
+7.5
8
vsUNA
UNAW 88-80
+19.5
10
vsCARK
CARKW 79-75
−2.5
15
@APSU
APSUL 72-74
−7.5
17
vsBELL
BELLW 89-69
+1.5
22
@UNF
UNFL 85-87
+5.5
over 10under 8avg +0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jacksonville
18 games played
Straight up
5-13
28% wins
Against the spread
7-11
39% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MIA | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ HPU | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ VMI | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ GMU | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs BCU | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs PAC | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs FAMU | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ FIU | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ TA&M | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @FAMU | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ FSU | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 1 | @ LIP | L 57-76 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 3 | @APSU | L 68-71 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 8 | vsQUC | L 51-77 | +4.5 | L −21.5 | 154.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 10 | vsWGA | W 75-43 | -1.5 | W +30.5 | 141.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 15 | @CARK | L 60-62 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 122 |
| Jan 17 | @UNA | W 90-68 | +1.5 | W +23.5 | 133.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 22 | vsBELL | L 70-77 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−3.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
+0.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−5.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
+8.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−12.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
−7.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
−17.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
−10.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−10.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−0.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−6.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
+7.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−21.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
+30.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
+5.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+23.5
22
vsBELL
BELLL 70-77
−11.5
covered 7didn’t cover 11avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−7.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
−15.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−0.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
−10.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−14.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
+28.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
+7.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
+39.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−2.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−9.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−14.5
3
@APSU
APSUL 68-71
−1.5
8
vsQUC
QUCL 51-77
−26.5
10
vsWGA
WGAW 75-43
−23.5
15
@CARK
CARKL 60-62
−14.5
17
@UNA
UNAW 90-68
+24.5
22
vsBELL
BELLL 70-77
+8.5
over 6under 12avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Kentucky
5-13 overall · 3-4 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Florida85–87
- Wvs Bellarmine89–69
- L@ Austin Peay72–74
- Wvs C Arkansas79–75
- Wvs North Alabama88–80
2 days since their last game.
Jacksonville
5-13 overall · 2-5 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Bellarmine70–77
- W@ North Alabama90–68
- L@ C Arkansas60–62
- Wvs West Georgia75–43
- Lvs Queens University Royals51–77
2 days since their last game.