Allen Arena · at Lipscomb · Conference game
Closing line
LIP -18.5✓ UNF covered by 10.5
LIP -18.5✓ UNF covered by 10.5Closing total172.5Under by 16.5
 UNF | This season | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| 0-12 | Record | 6-6 |
| 7-5 | ATS | 8-4 |
| 9-3 | O/U | 7-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UNF 75–91 LIP · ✓ LIP (93%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNF | 35 | 39 | 74 |
| LIP | 38 | 44 | 82 |
1st half: UNF 35, LIP 38 (LIP by 3). The model had LIP by 9.7 and a total of 77.6 (actual 73).
Team stats
| UNF | LIP | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-70 39% | Field goals | 27-71 38% |
| 16-46 35% | 3-pointers | 13-36 36% |
| 4-4 100% | Free throws | 15-22 68% |
| 46 13 off | Rebounds | 48 18 off |
| 13 | Assists | 17 |
| 1 | Steals | 3 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| UNF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kamrin Oriol G | 36 | 19 | 3 | 4 | 6-17 | 5-14 |
| Kent Jackson G | 33 | 19 | 6 | 2 | 7-14 | 5-9 |
| BJ Plummer G | 32 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 3-11 | 1-6 |
| Nestor Dyachok F | 21 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Trey Cady G | 20 | 7 | 8 | 1 | 2-11 | 1-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dalton Gayman F | 22 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-5 |
| Dante Oliver G | 22 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
| Mason Lee G | 14 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Mason Watkins, Alex Vargo, Gabe Jacobs, Arden Begaj, Taylor Thompson, Devin Hines
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 35 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Grant Asman F | 30 | 12 | 15 | 1 | 5-13 | 0-6 |
| Titas Sargiunas F | 30 | 19 | 1 | 2 | 7-10 | 3-5 |
| Ross Candelino G | 24 | 8 | 8 | 3 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Charlie Williams C | 17 | 14 | 0 | 1 | 5-11 | 3-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ethan Duncan G | 22 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Kennedy Okpara F | 20 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-4 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Cole Middleton F | 10 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 4-9 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Josh Scott, Or Ashkenazi, Devyn Martin, Luke Jack, Luke Carter, Miles White, Logan Suber
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIP -18.5
ModelLIP -16.5
Model edgeUNF +2.0
W UNF covered
Total
Market172.5
Model165.8
Model edgeUnder 6.8
W Under
Projected score
UNF 74.6 · LIP 91.1
UNF 74 · LIP 82
Win probability
LIP 93%
1st half
Spread
LIP -9.7
LIP -3.0
Total
77.6
73 points
Projected score
UNF 33.9 · LIP 43.7
UNF 35 · LIP 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIP -17.5
1 → LIP
CloseLIP -18.5
1 pt toward LIP
Total
Open171.5
▲ 1
Close172.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UNF +1100 · LIP -2100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIP -17.5 · closed LIP -18.5 · moved 1 toward LIPmodel LIP -16.5
model LIP -16.5
Opened 171.5 · closed 172.5 · moved 1 upmodel 166
model 166
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UNF | 0-10 0% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| LIP | 6-4 60% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UNF 2–3 LIPLIP leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · UNF 2-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | LIP 96 @ UNF 64 | UNF +5.5 | LIP W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | LIP 76 @ UNF 85 | UNF +2.5 | UNF W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | UNF 114 @ LIP 111 | LIP -7.5 | UNF W |
| Mar 1, 2021-22 | UNF 65 @ LIP 74 | LIP -3.5 | LIP W |
| Jan 29, 2021-22 | LIP 77 @ UNF 74 | UNF -2 | LIP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Florida
12 games played
Straight up
0-12
0% wins
Against the spread
7-5
58% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-3
75% overs · avg +6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ FLA | L 64-104 | +43.5 | W +3.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Nov 12 | @ TENN | L 66-99 | +41.5 | W +8.5 | 155.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 19 | @ WOF | L 78-86 | +10.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs USM | L 83-92 | +9.5 | W +0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs PV | L 82-85 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 2 | vs SIUE | L 63-72 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 153.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | @ GONZ | L 58-109 | +42.5 | L −8.5 | 166.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 13 | @ DAY | L 61-84 | +30.5 | W +7.5 | 159.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 18 | @ CHSO | L 90-113 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 163.5 | O 203 |
| Dec 21 | @ MIA | L 67-105 | +37.5 | L −0.5 | 171.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 28 | vs COLU | L 82-90 | +11.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 1 | @ APSU | L 83-102 | +15.5 | L −3.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@FLA
FLAL 64-104
+3.5
12
@TENN
TENNL 66-99
+8.5
19
@WOF
WOFL 78-86
+2.5
22
vsUSM
USML 83-92
+0.5
23
vsPV
PVL 82-85
+0.5
2
vsSIUE
SIUEL 63-72
−1.5
7
@GONZ
GONZL 58-109
−8.5
13
@DAY
DAYL 61-84
+7.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 90-113
−12.5
21
@MIA
MIAL 67-105
−0.5
28
vsCOLU
COLUL 82-90
+3.5
1
@APSU
APSUL 83-102
−3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 5avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@FLA
FLAL 64-104
−1.5
12
@TENN
TENNL 66-99
+9.5
19
@WOF
WOFL 78-86
+2.5
22
vsUSM
USML 83-92
+20.5
23
vsPV
PVL 82-85
+6.5
2
vsSIUE
SIUEL 63-72
−18.5
7
@GONZ
GONZL 58-109
+0.5
13
@DAY
DAYL 61-84
−14.5
18
@CHSO
CHSOL 90-113
+39.5
21
@MIA
MIAL 67-105
+0.5
28
vsCOLU
COLUL 82-90
+9.5
1
@APSU
APSUL 83-102
+22.5
over 9under 3avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lipscomb
12 games played
Straight up
6-6
50% wins
Against the spread
8-4
67% covers · avg +4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-5
58% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VAN | L 61-105 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 9 | @ MER | L 77-92 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNCA | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ BEL | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | vs WCU | W 83-62 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 26 | @ MRSH | W 90-67 | +7.5 | W +30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ SEMO | W 88-77 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs TNTC | W 83-80 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 7 | vs AAMU | W 92-58 | -11.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 16 | @ DUKE | L 73-97 | +32.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 29 | @ CIN | L 62-89 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 1 | vs JAX | W 76-57 | -12.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
−17.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
−11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
+1.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
+5.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
+15.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
+30.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+14.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
−7.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+22.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+8.5
29
@CIN
CINL 62-89
−13.5
1
vsJAX
JAXW 76-57
+6.5
covered 8didn’t cover 4avg +4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
+11.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
+11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
−25.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
−15.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
−6.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
−0.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+11.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
+10.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+3.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+18.5
29
@CIN
CINL 62-89
+0.5
1
vsJAX
JAXW 76-57
−14.5
over 7under 5avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Florida
0-12 overall · 0-1 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Austin Peay83–102
- Lvs Columbia82–90
- L@ Miami67–105
- L@ Charleston So90–113
- L@ Dayton61–84
2 days since their last game.
Lipscomb
6-6 overall · 1-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Jacksonville76–57
- L@ Cincinnati62–89
- L@ Duke73–97
- Wvs Alabama A&M92–58
- Wvs Tennessee Tech83–80
2 days since their last game.