F&M Bank Arena · at Austin Peay · Conference game
Closing line
APSU -10.5✓ JAX covered by 7.5
APSU -10.5✓ JAX covered by 7.5Closing total140.5Under by 1.5
 JAX | This season | APSU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-9 | Record | 5-5 |
| 3-9 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 4-8 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JAX 66–75 APSU · ✓ APSU (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 38 | 30 | 68 |
| APSU | 43 | 28 | 71 |
1st half: JAX 38, APSU 43 (APSU by 5). The model had APSU by 5.5 and a total of 66.2 (actual 81).
Team stats
| JAX | APSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-51 47% | Field goals | 24-60 40% |
| 9-21 43% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 11-20 55% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 40 9 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 17 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 12 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 37 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Evan Sterck G | 36 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 4-8 | 4-7 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 34 | 16 | 4 | 3 | 6-15 | 1-4 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 31 | 14 | 9 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Chris Arias G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Hayden Wood G | 21 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Charles Caporaso C | 12 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anakin Brown, Lamont Jackson, Simon Wheeler, Enrico Borio, Tito Deng, Allen Udemadu, Jaylen Jordon, Michael Harper Jr., Roman Loux
| APSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Collin Parker F | 31 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Tate McCubbin G | 31 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Zyree Collins PG | 31 | 23 | 3 | 0 | 9-15 | 1-2 |
| Rashaud Marshall F | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| Matt Enright PG | 18 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anton Brookshire PG | 25 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-3 |
| Ja'Corey Robinson G | 16 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Creighton Morisch F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Hansel Enmanuel PG | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Wagner G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Quan Lax, Terrell Gaines, Travis Torain
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketAPSU -10.5
ModelAPSU -9.3
Model edgeJAX +1.2
W JAX covered
Total
Market140.5
Model141.3
Model edgeOver 0.8
L Under
Projected score
JAX 66 · APSU 75.3
JAX 68 · APSU 71
Win probability
APSU 79%
1st half
Spread
APSU -5.5
APSU -5.0
Total
66.2
81 points
Projected score
JAX 30.4 · APSU 35.8
JAX 38 · APSU 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenAPSU -10.5
no move
CloseAPSU -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open140.5
no move
Close140.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
JAX +490 · APSU -675
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened APSU -10.5 · unchangedmodel APSU -9.5
model APSU -9.5
Opened 140.5 · unchangedmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% |
| APSU | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JAX 3–0 APSUJAX leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · JAX has won the last 3 meetings · JAX 3-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | APSU 44 @ JAX 68 | JAX -5.5 | JAX W |
| Jan 31, 2023-24 | APSU 43 @ JAX 63 | JAX +3.5 | JAX W |
| Feb 16, 2022-23 | JAX 60 @ APSU 56 | APSU +2.5 | JAX W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jacksonville
12 games played
Straight up
3-9
25% wins
Against the spread
3-9
25% covers · avg −5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MIA | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ HPU | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ VMI | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ GMU | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs BCU | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs PAC | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs FAMU | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ FIU | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ TA&M | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @FAMU | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ FSU | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 1 | @ LIP | L 57-76 | +12.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−3.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
+0.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−5.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
+8.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−12.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
−7.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
−17.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
−10.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−10.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−0.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−6.5
covered 3didn’t cover 9avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−7.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
−15.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−0.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
−10.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−14.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
+28.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
+7.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
+39.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−2.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−9.5
1
@LIP
LIPL 57-76
−14.5
over 4under 8avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Austin Peay
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +3.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ AF | W 74-54 | -1.5 | W +18.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 11 | @ WYO | L 65-79 | +5.5 | L −8.5 | 153.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNCG | W 69-63 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 18 | @ MISS | L 65-72 | +20.5 | W +13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | @ TLSA | L 75-84 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 25 | vs NIU | W 77-59 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 3 | @ KENT | L 84-96 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 7 | @ RGV | L 50-63 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 12 | vs ETSU | W 76-75 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 1 | vs UNF | W 102-83 | -15.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | O 185 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@AF
AFW 74-54
+18.5
11
@WYO
WYOL 65-79
−8.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGW 69-63
+7.5
18
@MISS
MISSL 65-72
+13.5
21
@TLSA
TLSAL 75-84
−0.5
25
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
+11.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 84-96
−3.5
7
@RGV
RGVL 50-63
−10.5
12
vsETSU
ETSUW 76-75
+4.5
1
vsUNF
UNFW 102-83
+3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +3.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@AF
AFW 74-54
−8.5
11
@WYO
WYOL 65-79
−9.5
15
@UNCG
UNCGW 69-63
−13.5
18
@MISS
MISSL 65-72
−8.5
21
@TLSA
TLSAL 75-84
+10.5
25
vsNIU
NIUW 77-59
−11.5
3
@KENT
KENTL 84-96
+26.5
7
@RGV
RGVL 50-63
−38.5
12
vsETSU
ETSUW 76-75
+7.5
1
vsUNF
UNFW 102-83
+22.5
over 4under 6avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jacksonville
3-9 overall · 0-1 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Lipscomb57–76
- L@ Florida St63–87
- L@ Florida A&M65–72
- L@ Texas A&M75–112
- L@ FIU65–88
2 days since their last game.
Austin Peay
5-5 overall · 1-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs North Florida102–83
- Wvs ETSU76–75
- L@ UT Rio Grande50–63
- L@ Kent State84–96
- Wvs N Illinois77–59
2 days since their last game.