Allen Arena · at Lipscomb · Conference game
Closing line
LIP -12.5✓ LIP covered by 6.5
LIP -12.5✓ LIP covered by 6.5Closing total147.5Under by 14.5
 JAX | This season | LIP |
|---|---|---|
| 3-8 | Record | 5-6 |
| 3-8 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 7-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JAX 68–79 LIP · ✓ LIP (84%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 27 | 30 | 57 |
| LIP | 37 | 39 | 76 |
1st half: JAX 27, LIP 37 (LIP by 10). The model had LIP by 6.6 and a total of 69.0 (actual 64).
Team stats
| JAX | LIP | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-51 41% | Field goals | 28-55 51% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 10-23 43% |
| 8-12 67% | Free throws | 10-11 91% |
| 34 12 off | Rebounds | 26 6 off |
| 9 | Assists | 15 |
| 3 | Steals | 12 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 14 | Fouls | 13 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| JAX | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chris Lockett Jr. G | 31 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-6 |
| Donovan Rivers F | 30 | 10 | 10 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Evan Sterck G | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Enrico Borio F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Hayden Wood G | 11 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chris Arias G | 35 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Jaylen Jones G | 29 | 9 | 4 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-6 |
| Jason Thirdkill Jr. F | 17 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Charles Caporaso C | 10 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Roman Loux, Michael Harper Jr., Simon Wheeler, Lamont Jackson, Anakin Brown, Tito Deng, Allen Udemadu, Jaylen Jordon
| LIP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mateo Esmeraldo G | 34 | 9 | 7 | 6 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Titas Sargiunas F | 31 | 10 | 0 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Grant Asman F | 27 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Or Ashkenazi F | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Charlie Williams C | 12 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kennedy Okpara F | 20 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Cole Middleton F | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Ross Candelino G | 15 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-2 |
| Ethan Duncan G | 15 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Kellan Boylan F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devyn Martin, Luke Jack, Josh Scott, Luke Carter, Miles White, Logan Suber
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLIP -12.5
ModelLIP -11.2
Model edgeJAX +1.3
L LIP covered
Total
Market147.5
Model147.2
Model edgeUnder 0.3
W Under
Projected score
JAX 68 · LIP 79.2
JAX 57 · LIP 76
Win probability
LIP 84%
1st half
Spread
LIP -6.6
LIP -10.0
Total
69.0
64 points
Projected score
JAX 31.2 · LIP 37.8
JAX 27 · LIP 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLIP -11.5
1 → LIP
CloseLIP -12.5
1 pt toward LIP
Total
Open146.5
▲ 1
Close147.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
JAX +675 · LIP -1050
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LIP -11.5 · closed LIP -12.5 · moved 1 toward LIPmodel LIP -11
model LIP -11
Opened 146.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 1 upmodel 147
model 147
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JAX | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 3-7 30% |
| LIP | 5-5 50% | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JAX 2–3 LIPLIP leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · LIP has won the last 3 meetings · JAX 4-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | LIP 70 @ JAX 65 | JAX +4.5 | LIP W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | JAX 82 @ LIP 84 | LIP -11.5 | JAX W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | JAX 59 @ LIP 62 | LIP -4.5 | JAX W |
| Jan 7, 2022-23 | LIP 44 @ JAX 51 | JAX -3.5 | JAX W |
| Jan 27, 2021-22 | LIP 59 @ JAX 66 | JAX -2.5 | JAX W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jacksonville
11 games played
Straight up
3-8
27% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MIA | L 69-86 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 142.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 11 | @ HPU | L 64-85 | +17.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 15 | @ VMI | W 69-67 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 18 | @ GMU | L 57-79 | +16.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs BCU | W 69-64 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs PAC | L 53-68 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 135.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 2 | vs FAMU | W 85-82 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 6 | @ FIU | L 65-88 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 145.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 14 | @ TA&M | L 75-112 | +26.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 187 |
| Dec 17 | @FAMU | L 65-72 | -3.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 22 | @ FSU | L 63-87 | +23.5 | L −0.5 | 159.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+1.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−3.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
+0.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−5.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
+8.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−12.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
−7.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
−17.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
−10.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−10.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MIA
MIAL 69-86
+12.5
11
@HPU
HPUL 64-85
−7.5
15
@VMI
VMIW 69-67
−15.5
18
@GMU
GMUL 57-79
−0.5
24
vsBCU
BCUW 69-64
−10.5
25
vsPAC
PACL 53-68
−14.5
2
vsFAMU
FAMUW 85-82
+28.5
6
@FIU
FIUL 65-88
+7.5
14
@TA&M
TA&ML 75-112
+39.5
17
@FAMU
FAMUL 65-72
−2.5
22
@FSU
FSUL 63-87
−9.5
over 4under 7avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Lipscomb
11 games played
Straight up
5-6
45% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-4
64% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ VAN | L 61-105 | +26.5 | L −17.5 | 154.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 9 | @ MER | L 77-92 | +3.5 | L −11.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | @ UNCA | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @ BEL | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 22 | vs WCU | W 83-62 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 151.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 26 | @ MRSH | W 90-67 | +7.5 | W +30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 29 | @ SEMO | W 88-77 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 3 | vs TNTC | W 83-80 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 7 | vs AAMU | W 92-58 | -11.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 16 | @ DUKE | L 73-97 | +32.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 29 | @ CIN | L 62-89 | +13.5 | L −13.5 | 150.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
−17.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
−11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
+1.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
+5.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
+15.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
+30.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+14.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
−7.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+22.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+8.5
29
@CIN
CINL 62-89
−13.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@VAN
VANL 61-105
+11.5
9
@MER
MERL 77-92
+11.5
11
@UNCA
UNCAL 64-69
−25.5
19
@BEL
BELL 68-75
−15.5
22
vsWCU
WCUW 83-62
−6.5
26
@MRSH
MRSHW 90-67
−0.5
29
@SEMO
SEMOW 88-77
+11.5
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 83-80
+10.5
7
vsAAMU
AAMUW 92-58
+3.5
16
@DUKE
DUKEL 73-97
+18.5
29
@CIN
CINL 62-89
+0.5
over 7under 4avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jacksonville
3-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Florida St63–87
- L@ Florida A&M65–72
- L@ Texas A&M75–112
- L@ FIU65–88
- Wvs Florida A&M85–82
A week or more of rest.
Lipscomb
5-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Sun Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Cincinnati62–89
- L@ Duke73–97
- Wvs Alabama A&M92–58
- Wvs Tennessee Tech83–80
- W@ SE Missouri88–77
3 days since their last game.