Western Hall · at W Illinois · Conference game
Closing line
UTM -10.5✓ UTM covered by 29.5
Closing total137.5Under by 9.5
| This season | WIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 13-5 | Record | 1-18 |
| 10-8 | ATS | 10-9 |
| 6-12 | O/U | 9-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTM 72–64 WIU · ✓ UTM (77%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTM | 38 | 46 | 84 |
| WIU | 20 | 24 | 44 |
1st half: UTM 38, WIU 20 (UTM by 18). The model had UTM by 5.1 and a total of 63.7 (actual 58).
Team stats
| UTM | WIU | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-60 52% | Field goals | 13-49 27% |
| 9-27 33% | 3-pointers | 6-24 25% |
| 13-17 76% | Free throws | 12-18 67% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 20 6 off |
| 22 | Assists | 7 |
| 13 | Steals | 4 |
| 6 | Blocks | 0 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 14 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UTM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Filip Petkovski G | 28 | 17 | 8 | 1 | 7-11 | 3-6 |
| Damien King G | 28 | 7 | 6 | 4 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Filip Radakovic G | 23 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Matas Deniusas F | 21 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Andrija Bukumirovic F | 19 | 14 | 0 | 3 | 6-9 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Pedro Santos G | 22 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Vladimir Khryapa F | 17 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| AJ Hopkins F | 16 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Luca Colceag F | 16 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Lamine Niang C | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: James Bass, Ty Price, Ama Sow, Charlie King, Enrique Moya, Will Hopkins, Lucas Williams, Afan Trnka, Dragos Lungu
| WIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goanar Biliew F | 33 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah Griffin F | 28 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Lucas Lorenzen G | 24 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-6 |
| Makai Kvamme G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 0-3 |
| Francis Okwuosah F | 15 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Danny Stephens F | 26 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Nick Hittle F | 12 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Antwaun Massey F | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyran Cook G | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-1 |
| Steven Tipton G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ifiok Peter F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jake Edwards, Karyiek Dixon, Jack Riley, Marcus Pigram
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUTM -10.5
ModelUTM -8.3
Model edgeWIU +2.2
L UTM covered
Total
Market137.5
Model135.8
Model edgeUnder 1.7
W Under
Projected score
UTM 72.1 · WIU 63.8
UTM 84 · WIU 44
Win probability
UTM 77%
1st half
Spread
UTM -5.1
UTM -18.0
Total
63.7
58 points
Projected score
UTM 34.4 · WIU 29.3
UTM 38 · WIU 20
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUTM -8.5
2 → UTM
CloseUTM -10.5
2 pts toward UTM
Total
Open135.5
▲ 2
Close137.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
UTM -575 · WIU +425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UTM -8.5 · closed UTM -10.5 · moved 2 toward UTMmodel UTM -8.5
model UTM -8.5
Opened 135.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 2 upmodel 136
model 136
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | |
| 0-10 0% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
UTM 4–2 WIUUTM leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · UTM has won the last 4 meetings · UTM 3-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2025-26 | WIU 60 @ UTM 67 | UTM -13.5 | WIU W |
| Feb 8, 2024-25 | WIU 70 @ UTM 81 | UTM -7.5 | UTM W |
| Jan 9, 2024-25 | UTM 85 @ WIU 83 | WIU -1.5 | UTM W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | UTM 62 @ WIU 59 | WIU -3.5 | UTM W |
| Jan 11, 2023-24 | WIU 73 @ UTM 64 | UTM -5.5 | WIU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Martin
18 games played
Straight up
13-5
72% wins
Against the spread
10-8
56% covers · avg +2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-12
33% overs · avg −5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | W 86-81 | +16.5 | W +21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 12 | @ | W 78-67 | +15.5 | W +26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 73-87 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 69-68 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 60-70 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 73-56 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 74-64 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 54-83 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 71-78 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 86-62 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 67-60 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 65-61 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 76-68 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 73-56 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 65-59 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 69-55 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 20 | @ | L 50-66 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Jan 29 | @ | W 76-68 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 129.5 | O 144 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
UNLV
W 86-81
+21.5
12
@
BRAD
W 78-67
+26.5
18
@
FSU
L 73-87
+5.5
22
vs
PV
W 69-68
−9.5
23
vs
USM
L 60-70
−11.5
2
vs
CHSO
W 73-56
+13.5
7
vs
ALST
W 74-64
+3.5
10
@
SIU
L 54-83
−20.5
18
@
TNST
L 71-78
−4.5
20
@
TNTC
W 86-62
+21.5
1
vs
WIU
W 67-60
−6.5
3
vs
EIU
W 65-61
−6.5
8
@
MORE
W 76-68
+5.5
10
@
USI
W 73-56
+11.5
15
vs
SIUE
W 65-59
−1.5
17
vs
LIN
W 69-55
+11.5
20
@
SEMO
L 50-66
−13.5
29
@
EIU
W 76-68
+4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 8avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
UNLV
W 86-81
+20.5
12
@
BRAD
W 78-67
+0.5
18
@
FSU
L 73-87
−5.5
22
vs
PV
W 69-68
−18.5
23
vs
USM
L 60-70
−16.5
2
vs
CHSO
W 73-56
−18.5
7
vs
ALST
W 74-64
−6.5
10
@
SIU
L 54-83
−9.5
18
@
TNST
L 71-78
+7.5
20
@
TNTC
W 86-62
+2.5
1
vs
WIU
W 67-60
−13.5
3
vs
EIU
W 65-61
−7.5
8
@
MORE
W 76-68
+8.5
10
@
USI
W 73-56
−8.5
15
vs
SIUE
W 65-59
−7.5
17
vs
LIN
W 69-55
−23.5
20
@
SEMO
L 50-66
−24.5
29
@
EIU
W 76-68
+14.5
over 6under 12avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
W Illinois
19 games played
Straight up
1-18
5% wins
Against the spread
10-9
53% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-10
47% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 75-80 | +16.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 58-77 | +30.5 | W +11.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 11 | @ | L 58-74 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 14 | @ | L 59-69 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 64-84 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 69-78 | +2.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Dec 2 | @ | L 57-108 | +17.5 | L −33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 69-66 | +7.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 76-92 | +12.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 22 | vs | L 61-66 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 1 | @ | L 60-67 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | @ | L 50-73 | +13.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 8 | vs | L 68-90 | +6.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 54-59 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 13 | @ | L 55-57 | +6.5 | W +4.5 | 132.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 17 | @ | L 79-86 | +10.5 | W +3.5 | 135.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 22 | @ | L 66-71 | +8.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 137 |
| Jan 23 | @ | L 64-96 | +6.5 | L −25.5 | 136.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 29 | vs | L 74-78 | +10.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
RAD
L 75-80
+11.5
7
@
IOWA
L 58-77
+11.5
11
@
CSUB
L 58-74
−8.5
14
@
CBU
L 59-69
+5.5
21
vs
CCU
L 64-84
−16.5
23
vs
UND
L 69-78
−6.5
2
@
DRKE
L 57-108
−33.5
13
@
UND
W 69-66
+10.5
18
@
LIN
L 76-92
−3.5
22
vs
SIUE
L 61-66
+1.5
1
@
UTM
L 60-67
+6.5
3
@
SEMO
L 50-73
−9.5
8
vs
TNST
L 68-90
−15.5
10
vs
TNTC
L 54-59
−1.5
13
@
EIU
L 55-57
+4.5
17
@
LR
L 79-86
+3.5
22
@
MORE
L 66-71
+3.5
23
@
USI
L 64-96
−25.5
29
vs
SEMO
L 74-78
+6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 9avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
RAD
L 75-80
+3.5
7
@
IOWA
L 58-77
−10.5
11
@
CSUB
L 58-74
−9.5
14
@
CBU
L 59-69
−12.5
21
vs
CCU
L 64-84
+9.5
23
vs
UND
L 69-78
+0.5
2
@
DRKE
L 57-108
+26.5
13
@
UND
W 69-66
−10.5
18
@
LIN
L 76-92
+21.5
22
vs
SIUE
L 61-66
−11.5
1
@
UTM
L 60-67
−13.5
3
@
SEMO
L 50-73
−24.5
8
vs
TNST
L 68-90
+12.5
10
vs
TNTC
L 54-59
−30.5
13
@
EIU
L 55-57
−20.5
17
@
LR
L 79-86
+29.5
22
@
MORE
L 66-71
−1.5
23
@
USI
L 64-96
+23.5
29
vs
SEMO
L 74-78
+9.5
over 9under 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Martin
13-5 overall · 8-2 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ E Illinois76–68
- L@ SE Missouri50–66
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions69–55
- Wvs SIUE65–59
- W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles73–56
2 days since their last game.
W Illinois
1-18 overall · 0-11 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SE Missouri74–78
- L@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles64–96
- L@ Morehead St66–71
- L@ Little Rock79–86
- L@ E Illinois55–57
2 days since their last game.