Show Me Center · at SE Missouri · Conference game
Closing line
SEMO -2.5✓ SEMO covered by 13.5
Closing total140.5Under by 24.5
| This season | SEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 12-4 | Record | 6-10 |
| 9-7 | ATS | 6-10 |
| 5-11 | O/U | 9-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UTM 71–73 SEMO · ✓ SEMO (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTM | 20 | 30 | 50 |
| SEMO | 40 | 26 | 66 |
1st half: UTM 20, SEMO 40 (SEMO by 20). The model had SEMO by 0.6 and a total of 67.4 (actual 60).
Team stats
| UTM | SEMO | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-49 33% | Field goals | 23-58 40% |
| 5-22 23% | 3-pointers | 11-32 34% |
| 13-22 59% | Free throws | 9-17 53% |
| 37 16 off | Rebounds | 33 14 off |
| 6 | Assists | 15 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 16 | Fouls | 18 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| UTM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrija Bukumirovic F | 29 | 4 | 14 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Filip Petkovski G | 28 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Afan Trnka G | 24 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Matas Deniusas F | 23 | 11 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Pedro Santos G | 21 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| AJ Hopkins F | 16 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Vladimir Khryapa F | 16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Luca Colceag F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lamine Niang C | 13 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Damien King G | 12 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Ty Price G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Ama Sow, Charlie King, Lucas Williams, James Bass, Enrique Moya, Will Hopkins, Filip Radakovic, Dragos Lungu
| SEMO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brendan Terry F | 28 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Braxton Stacker G | 27 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 5-11 | 2-7 |
| Luke Almodovar G | 24 | 22 | 0 | 0 | 8-13 | 6-10 |
| BJ Ward G | 20 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Landren Blocker G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Marqueas Bell G | 24 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Blaize Sagna G | 17 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-5 |
| Troy Cole Jr. G | 13 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| PJ Farmer G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Elliot Lowndes F | 10 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| David Idada C | 9 | 0 | 5 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jay Reynolds G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Saxton Hoepker, Trace Sadler
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSEMO -2.5
ModelSEMO -1.1
Model edgeUTM +1.4
L SEMO covered
Total
Market140.5
Model143.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
L Under
Projected score
UTM 71.4 · SEMO 72.5
UTM 50 · SEMO 66
Win probability
SEMO 54%
1st half
Spread
SEMO -0.6
SEMO -20.0
Total
67.4
60 points
Projected score
UTM 33.4 · SEMO 34
UTM 20 · SEMO 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSEMO -3.5
1 → UTM
CloseSEMO -2.5
1 pt toward UTM
Total
Open139.5
▲ 1
Close140.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
UTM +120 · SEMO -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SEMO -3.5 · closed SEMO -2.5 · moved 1 toward UTMmodel SEMO -1
model SEMO -1
Opened 139.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 1 upmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | |
| 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
UTM 6–2 SEMOUTM leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · UTM 6-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 30, 2024-25 | UTM 79 @ SEMO 90 | SEMO -3.5 | SEMO W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | SEMO 63 @ UTM 66 | UTM -2.5 | UTM W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | UTM 82 @ SEMO 72 | SEMO +6.5 | UTM W |
| Jan 25, 2023-24 | SEMO 58 @ UTM 84 | UTM -10.5 | UTM W |
| Jan 19, 2022-23 | UTM 80 @ SEMO 60 | SEMO -6.5 | UTM W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
UT Martin
16 games played
Straight up
12-4
75% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-11
31% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ | W 86-81 | +16.5 | W +21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 12 | @ | W 78-67 | +15.5 | W +26.5 | 144.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 73-87 | +19.5 | W +5.5 | 165.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 22 | vs | W 69-68 | -10.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs | L 60-70 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 2 | vs | W 73-56 | -3.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 74-64 | -6.5 | W +3.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | @ | L 54-83 | +8.5 | L −20.5 | 146.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 71-78 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 86-62 | -2.5 | W +21.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 67-60 | -13.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 65-61 | -10.5 | L −6.5 | 133.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 76-68 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 73-56 | -5.5 | W +11.5 | 137.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 15 | vs | W 65-59 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 17 | vs | W 69-55 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 147.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
UNLV
W 86-81
+21.5
12
@
BRAD
W 78-67
+26.5
18
@
FSU
L 73-87
+5.5
22
vs
PV
W 69-68
−9.5
23
vs
USM
L 60-70
−11.5
2
vs
CHSO
W 73-56
+13.5
7
vs
ALST
W 74-64
+3.5
10
@
SIU
L 54-83
−20.5
18
@
TNST
L 71-78
−4.5
20
@
TNTC
W 86-62
+21.5
1
vs
WIU
W 67-60
−6.5
3
vs
EIU
W 65-61
−6.5
8
@
MORE
W 76-68
+5.5
10
@
USI
W 73-56
+11.5
15
vs
SIUE
W 65-59
−1.5
17
vs
LIN
W 69-55
+11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@
UNLV
W 86-81
+20.5
12
@
BRAD
W 78-67
+0.5
18
@
FSU
L 73-87
−5.5
22
vs
PV
W 69-68
−18.5
23
vs
USM
L 60-70
−16.5
2
vs
CHSO
W 73-56
−18.5
7
vs
ALST
W 74-64
−6.5
10
@
SIU
L 54-83
−9.5
18
@
TNST
L 71-78
+7.5
20
@
TNTC
W 86-62
+2.5
1
vs
WIU
W 67-60
−13.5
3
vs
EIU
W 65-61
−7.5
8
@
MORE
W 76-68
+8.5
10
@
USI
W 73-56
−8.5
15
vs
SIUE
W 65-59
−7.5
17
vs
LIN
W 69-55
−23.5
over 5under 11avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
SE Missouri
16 games played
Straight up
6-10
38% wins
Against the spread
6-10
38% covers · avg −2.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-7
56% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ | L 67-92 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 7 | @ | L 84-89 | +25.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs | L 72-84 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | @ | L 70-99 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 84-68 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | @ | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 29 | vs | L 77-88 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 74-70 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 18 | @ | L 74-85 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | @ | W 91-82 | -1.5 | W +7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Jan 1 | vs | W 68-59 | -12.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 3 | vs | W 73-50 | -13.5 | W +9.5 | 147.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 8 | @ | W 84-76 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 146.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 10 | @ | L 69-71 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 15 | vs | L 76-88 | -6.5 | L −18.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 17 | vs | L 55-68 | -9.5 | L −22.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SLU
L 67-92
−5.5
7
@
MIZ
L 84-89
+20.5
15
vs
STMN
L 72-84
−9.5
18
@
IOWA
L 70-99
−5.5
25
vs
CP
W 84-68
+14.5
26
@
NAU
L 72-79
−4.5
29
vs
LIP
L 77-88
−14.5
6
@
UTC
W 74-70
+7.5
18
@
TNTC
L 74-85
−13.5
20
@
TNST
W 91-82
+7.5
1
vs
EIU
W 68-59
−3.5
3
vs
WIU
W 73-50
+9.5
8
@
USI
W 84-76
+0.5
10
@
MORE
L 69-71
−7.5
15
vs
LIN
L 76-88
−18.5
17
vs
SIUE
L 55-68
−22.5
covered 6didn’t cover 10avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@
SLU
L 67-92
+5.5
7
@
MIZ
L 84-89
+15.5
15
vs
STMN
L 72-84
+3.5
18
@
IOWA
L 70-99
+21.5
25
vs
CP
W 84-68
−18.5
26
@
NAU
L 72-79
−2.5
29
vs
LIP
L 77-88
+11.5
6
@
UTC
W 74-70
−5.5
18
@
TNTC
L 74-85
+3.5
20
@
TNST
W 91-82
+21.5
1
vs
EIU
W 68-59
−19.5
3
vs
WIU
W 73-50
−24.5
8
@
USI
W 84-76
+13.5
10
@
MORE
L 69-71
−4.5
15
vs
LIN
L 76-88
+9.5
17
vs
SIUE
L 55-68
−16.5
over 9under 7avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
UT Martin
12-4 overall · 7-1 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions69–55
- Wvs SIUE65–59
- W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles73–56
- W@ Morehead St76–68
- Wvs E Illinois65–61
3 days since their last game.
SE Missouri
6-10 overall · 4-4 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SIUE55–68
- Lvs Lindenwood Lions76–88
- L@ Morehead St69–71
- W@ Southern Indiana Screaming Eagles84–76
- Wvs W Illinois73–50
3 days since their last game.