Hooper Eblen Center · at Tennessee Tech · Conference game
Closing line
TNST -1.5✓ TNST covered by 10.5
TNST -1.5✓ TNST covered by 10.5Closing total155.5Over by 8.5
| TNST | This season | TNTC |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | Record | 3-7 |
| 6-3 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 6-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TNST 76–77 TNTC · ✗ TNTC (53%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNST | 44 | 44 | 88 |
| TNTC | 33 | 43 | 76 |
1st half: TNST 44, TNTC 33 (TNST by 11). The model had TNTC by 0.4 and a total of 71.7 (actual 77).
Team stats
| TNST | TNTC | |
|---|---|---|
| 34-70 49% | Field goals | 30-57 53% |
| 14-26 54% | 3-pointers | 7-21 33% |
| 6-7 86% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 35 14 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 24 | Assists | 20 |
| 13 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris G | 32 | 14 | 7 | 9 | 7-12 | 0-0 |
| Travis Harper II G | 32 | 29 | 1 | 1 | 9-15 | 9-14 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 28 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 2-10 | 2-5 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 22 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 6-10 | 1-2 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 22 | 11 | 15 | 3 | 5-8 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JC Brooks F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kavien Jones F | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 15 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Khalil London G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Alex Garcia F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ogien Ayo, Maddux Bodenhamer, Jabrion Spikes, Jayden Jones, Jean Lafleur, Carlous Williams
| TNTC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Malik Ferguson G | 27 | 10 | 1 | 3 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Mekhi Cameron G | 26 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Ty Owens G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 3 | 3-7 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Muntu G | 19 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Dani Pounds F | 17 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| JaJuan Nicholls F | 21 | 19 | 5 | 2 | 9-9 | 0-0 |
| Ja'Quavian Florence G | 18 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 0-7 | 0-2 |
| Jah'Kim Payne G | 17 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Grant Slatten G | 11 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| C.J. McPherson G | 11 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
| Mekhi Turner F | 8 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Jacobe Whitted F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Ayers, Hagan Preston, Owen Varnado, Maguire Evans
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTNST -1.5
ModelTNTC -0.9
Model edgeTNTC +2.5
L TNST covered
Total
Market155.5
Model153.1
Model edgeUnder 2.4
L Over
Projected score
TNST 76.1 · TNTC 77
TNST 88 · TNTC 76
Win probability
TNTC 53%
1st half
Spread
TNTC -0.4
TNST -11.0
Total
71.7
77 points
Projected score
TNST 35.6 · TNTC 36.1
TNST 44 · TNTC 33
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNTC -2.5
4 → TNST
CloseTNST -1.5
4 pts toward TNST
Total
Open151.5
▲ 4
Close155.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
TNST -115 · TNTC -105
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNTC -2.5 · closed TNST -1.5 · moved 4 toward TNSTmodel TNTC -1
model TNTC -1
Opened 151.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 4 upmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TNSTlast 9 | 4-5 44% | 6-3 67% | 4-5 44% |
| TNTC | 3-7 30% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
TNST 5–3 TNTCTNST leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · TNST 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | TNST 74 @ TNTC 77 | TNTC -1.5 | TNTC W |
| Jan 23, 2024-25 | TNTC 77 @ TNST 89 | TNST -3.5 | TNST W |
| Feb 13, 2023-24 | TNST 50 @ TNTC 70 | TNTC +4 | TNTC W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | TNTC 53 @ TNST 85 | TNST -7.5 | TNST W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | TNTC 53 @ TNST 67 | TNST -3.5 | TNST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tennessee St
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @ UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vs UTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 20 | vs SEMO | L 82-91 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
−7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
20
vsSEMO
SEMOL 82-91
+21.5
over 4under 5avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee Tech
10 games played
Straight up
3-7
30% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-4
60% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @WKU | L 70-82 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 7 | @ CLT | L 65-70 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 146.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 17 | vs WGA | L 59-61 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 19 | @ UPST | W 88-84 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 26 | @ UK | L 54-104 | +37.5 | L −12.5 | 157.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 29 | @ UGA | L 81-123 | +34.5 | L −7.5 | 160.5 | O 204 |
| Dec 3 | @ LIP | L 80-83 | +10.5 | W +7.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | @WGA | W 87-59 | +1.5 | W +29.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 18 | vsSEMO | W 85-74 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 20 | vsUTM | L 62-86 | +2.5 | L −21.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@WKU
WKUL 70-82
+2.5
7
@CLT
CLTL 65-70
+7.5
17
vsWGA
WGAL 59-61
−6.5
19
@UPST
UPSTW 88-84
+6.5
26
@UK
UKL 54-104
−12.5
29
@UGA
UGAL 81-123
−7.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 80-83
+7.5
6
@WGA
WGAW 87-59
+29.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 85-74
+13.5
20
vsUTM
UTML 62-86
−21.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@WKU
WKUL 70-82
−1.5
7
@CLT
CLTL 65-70
−11.5
17
vsWGA
WGAL 59-61
−32.5
19
@UPST
UPSTW 88-84
+21.5
26
@UK
UKL 54-104
+0.5
29
@UGA
UGAL 81-123
+43.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 80-83
+10.5
6
@WGA
WGAW 87-59
−4.5
18
vsSEMO
SEMOW 85-74
+3.5
20
vsUTM
UTML 62-86
+2.5
over 6under 4avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tennessee St
4-5 overall · 1-1 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs SE Missouri82–91
- Wvs UT Martin78–71
- W@ UNLV63–60
- L@ Alabama A&M53–80
- W@ Chattanooga70–64
A week or more of rest.
Tennessee Tech
3-7 overall · 1-1 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UT Martin62–86
- Wvs SE Missouri85–74
- W@ West Georgia87–59
- L@ Lipscomb80–83
- L@ Georgia81–123
A week or more of rest.