Gentry Center · at Tennessee St · Conference game
Closing line
SEMO -1.5✓ SEMO covered by 7.5
SEMO -1.5✓ SEMO covered by 7.5Closing total151.5Over by 21.5
| SEMO | This season | TNST |
|---|---|---|
| 2-7 | Record | 4-4 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 6-2 |
| 6-3 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SEMO 76–78 TNST · ✗ TNST (57%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMO | 44 | 47 | 91 |
| TNST | 37 | 45 | 82 |
1st half: SEMO 44, TNST 37 (SEMO by 7). The model had TNST by 1.0 and a total of 72.2 (actual 81).
Team stats
| SEMO | TNST | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-52 58% | Field goals | 25-59 42% |
| 9-20 45% | 3-pointers | 6-15 40% |
| 22-29 76% | Free throws | 26-36 72% |
| 39 9 off | Rebounds | 28 9 off |
| 16 | Assists | 9 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 19 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 25 | Fouls | 21 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| SEMO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marqueas Bell G | 36 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 8-9 | 0-0 |
| Braxton Stacker G | 33 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| BJ Ward G | 29 | 14 | 1 | 2 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Landren Blocker G | 11 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| David Idada C | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brendan Terry F | 31 | 9 | 5 | 5 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Luke Almodovar G | 26 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 3-6 |
| Troy Cole Jr. G | 12 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Elliot Lowndes F | 11 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
| Blaize Sagna G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| PJ Farmer G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jay Reynolds, Saxton Hoepker, Trace Sadler
| TNST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dante Harris G | 37 | 9 | 1 | 5 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Antoine Lorick III F | 35 | 19 | 10 | 1 | 7-9 | 0-0 |
| Travis Harper II G | 29 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 7-13 | 5-9 |
| Aaron Nkrumah G | 26 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 2-11 | 0-3 |
| Jalen Pitre F | 10 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Carlous Williams F | 17 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Kavien Jones F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jabrion Spikes G | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 0-1 |
| Khalil London G | 14 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-0 |
| Damon Howard Jr. G | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayden Jones, Jean Lafleur, Ogien Ayo, Maddux Bodenhamer, JC Brooks, Alex Garcia
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTNST -1.5
3 → SEMO
CloseSEMO -1.5
3 pts toward SEMO
Total
Open150.5
▲ 1
Close151.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
SEMO -135 · TNST +114
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TNST -1.5 · closed SEMO -1.5 · moved 3 toward SEMOmodel TNST -2
model TNST -2
Opened 150.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 1 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SEMO -1.5 | TNST -2.0 | TNST +3.5 | L SEMO covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 154.2 | Over 2.7 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | SEMO 76.1 · TNST 78.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | TNST -1.0 | SEMO -7.0 |
| 1H total | 72.2 | 81 |
| 1H projected score | SEMO 35.6 · TNST 36.6 | SEMO 44 · TNST 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SEMOlast 9 | 2-7 22% | 3-6 33% | 6-3 67% |
| TNSTlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 6-2 75% | 3-5 38% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SEMO 6–3 TNSTSEMO leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · SEMO has won the last 2 meetings · SEMO 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | TNST 87 @ SEMO 89 | SEMO -4.5 | TNST W |
| Jan 2, 2024-25 | SEMO 67 @ TNST 65 | TNST -2.5 | SEMO W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | TNST 77 @ SEMO 74 | SEMO +4.5 | SEMO W |
| Mar 2, 2022-23 | SEMO 91 vs TNST 83 | TNST +1.5 | SEMO W |
| Feb 9, 2022-23 | SEMO 65 @ TNST 85 | TNST +1.5 | TNST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SE Missouri
9 games played
Straight up
2-7
22% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ SLU | L 67-92 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 7 | @ MIZ | L 84-89 | +25.5 | W +20.5 | 157.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 15 | vs STMN | L 72-84 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 18 | @ IOWA | L 70-99 | +23.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 25 | vs CP | W 84-68 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 170.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 26 | @ NAU | L 72-79 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 153.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 29 | vs LIP | L 77-88 | -3.5 | L −14.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 6 | @ UTC | W 74-70 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Dec 18 | @ TNTC | L 74-85 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@SLU
SLUL 67-92
−5.5
7
@MIZ
MIZL 84-89
+20.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-84
−9.5
18
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-99
−5.5
25
vsCP
CPW 84-68
+14.5
26
@NAU
NAUL 72-79
−4.5
29
vsLIP
LIPL 77-88
−14.5
6
@UTC
UTCW 74-70
+7.5
18
@TNTC
TNTCL 74-85
−13.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SLU
SLUL 67-92
+5.5
7
@MIZ
MIZL 84-89
+15.5
15
vsSTMN
STMNL 72-84
+3.5
18
@IOWA
IOWAL 70-99
+21.5
25
vsCP
CPW 84-68
−18.5
26
@NAU
NAUL 72-79
−2.5
29
vsLIP
LIPL 77-88
+11.5
6
@UTC
UTCW 74-70
−5.5
18
@TNTC
TNTCL 74-85
+3.5
over 6under 3avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Tennessee St
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −9.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 8 | @ BEL | L 79-87 | +13.5 | W +5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | @ WKU | L 82-95 | +12.5 | L −0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 20 | @ TENN | L 60-89 | +31.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 25 | @ UNCA | W 75-73 | +5.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | @UTC | W 70-64 | +8.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 3 | @ AAMU | L 53-80 | -4.5 | L −31.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNLV | W 63-60 | +12.5 | W +15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 18 | vs UTM | W 78-71 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+5.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
−0.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
+2.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
+7.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
+14.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−31.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
+15.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+4.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
8
@BEL
BELL 79-87
+7.5
16
@WKU
WKUL 82-95
+9.5
20
@TENN
TENNL 60-89
−8.5
25
@UNCA
UNCAW 75-73
−16.5
30
@UTC
UTCW 70-64
−21.5
3
@AAMU
AAMUL 53-80
−14.5
13
@UNLV
UNLVW 63-60
−38.5
18
vsUTM
UTMW 78-71
+7.5
over 3under 5avg −9.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SE Missouri
2-7 overall · 0-1 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Tennessee Tech74–85
- W@ Chattanooga74–70
- Lvs Lipscomb77–88
- L@ N Arizona72–79
- Wvs Cal Poly84–68
2 days since their last game.
Tennessee St
4-4 overall · 1-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs UT Martin78–71
- W@ UNLV63–60
- L@ Alabama A&M53–80
- W@ Chattanooga70–64
- W@ UNC Asheville75–73
2 days since their last game.