E.A. Diddle Arena · at Western KY · Conference game
Closing line
WKU -6.5✓ WKU covered by 8.5
WKU -6.5✓ WKU covered by 8.5Closing total148.5Over by 10.5
 MOST | This season | WKU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-6 | Record | 8-6 |
| 7-6 | ATS | 8-6 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MOST 70–77 WKU · ✓ WKU (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 34 | 38 | 72 |
| WKU | 41 | 46 | 87 |
1st half: MOST 34, WKU 41 (WKU by 7). The model had WKU by 3.8 and a total of 69.1 (actual 75).
Team stats
| MOST | WKU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-57 42% | Field goals | 28-55 51% |
| 9-35 26% | 3-pointers | 7-16 44% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 24-29 83% |
| 30 12 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 18 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 18 | Fouls | 17 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| MOST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kobi Williams G | 37 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-12 | 2-12 |
| Keith Palek III F | 35 | 24 | 5 | 5 | 9-17 | 1-5 |
| Trey Williams Jr. G | 31 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 4-9 | 4-9 |
| Antwan Burnett G | 29 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Michael Osei-Bonsu F | 25 | 13 | 7 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zaxton King G | 21 | 5 | 1 | 3 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Darrion Sutton F | 18 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Boone F | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Melakih Cunningham, Collin Clark, Ryder Cheesman, Tyrique Brooks, Logan Epes, Amar Kuljuhovic
| WKU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Myers G | 29 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Teagan Moore G | 28 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-2 |
| Terrion Murdix G | 26 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Armelo Boone G | 25 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 5-13 | 1-3 |
| Noah Boyde C | 18 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Grant Newell F | 29 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 5-11 | 3-5 |
| LJ Hackman G | 18 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Blaise Keita F | 12 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Leeroy Odiahi F | 9 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Cam Haffner G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Lawson Rice, Cade Stinnett, Kade Unseld, Louie Semona III, Jack Edelen, Bryant Selebangue
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWKU -6.5
ModelWKU -6.6
Model edgeWKU +0.1
W WKU covered
Total
Market148.5
Model147.5
Model edgeUnder 1.0
L Over
Projected score
MOST 70.4 · WKU 77
MOST 72 · WKU 87
Win probability
WKU 72%
1st half
Spread
WKU -3.8
WKU -7.0
Total
69.1
75 points
Projected score
MOST 32.6 · WKU 36.5
MOST 34 · WKU 41
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWKU -6.5
no move
CloseWKU -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▲ 4
Close148.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
MOST +245 · WKU -305
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WKU -6.5 · unchangedmodel WKU -6.5 matches the line
model WKU -6.5 = line ✓
Opened 144.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 4 upmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MOST | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| WKU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Missouri St
13 games played
Straight up
7-6
54% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs ARST | L 85-86 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 15 | @ UTA | L 49-67 | +3.5 | L −14.5 | 143.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 22 | vs RGV | W 74-67 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs LIU | L 61-75 | -4.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | @ TLSA | L 74-98 | +7.5 | L −16.5 | 142.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 12 | @ XAV | L 57-75 | +18.5 | W +0.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 16 | vs ORU | W 63-62 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 23 | vs LIN | W 70-65 | -3.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ DEL | W 61-43 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 104 |
| Jan 2 | vs UTEP | W 79-55 | -3.5 | W +20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | vs NMSU | W 89-82 | -1.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 7 | @ KENN | L 80-90 | +6.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Jan 10 | vs FIU | W 79-71 | -2.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
−2.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−14.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
+3.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−18.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
−16.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
+0.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−3.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
+1.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
+16.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+20.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+5.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
−3.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
+5.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsARST
ARSTL 85-86
+18.5
15
@UTA
UTAL 49-67
−27.5
22
vsRGV
RGVW 74-67
−8.5
24
vsLIU
LIUL 61-75
−9.5
6
@TLSA
TLSAL 74-98
+29.5
12
@XAV
XAVL 57-75
−19.5
16
vsORU
ORUW 63-62
−21.5
23
vsLIN
LINW 70-65
−10.5
29
@DEL
DELW 61-43
−27.5
2
vsUTEP
UTEPW 79-55
+2.5
4
vsNMSU
NMSUW 89-82
+36.5
7
@KENN
KENNL 80-90
+17.5
10
vsFIU
FIUW 79-71
−3.5
over 5under 8avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Western KY
14 games played
Straight up
8-6
57% wins
Against the spread
8-6
57% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs TNTC | W 82-70 | -14.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 10 | @ EKU | W 87-79 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 162.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 16 | vs TNST | W 95-82 | -12.5 | W +0.5 | 167.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs VAN | L 78-83 | +18.5 | W +13.5 | 168.5 | U 161 |
| Nov 27 | vs USF | L 91-97 | +7.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
| Nov 28 | vs WICH | W 75-70 | +4.5 | W +9.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 6 | vs EVAN | W 80-79 | -11.5 | L −10.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 10 | @ MRSH | L 61-77 | +1.5 | L −14.5 | 159.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 19 | vsTLSA | L 81-82 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 29 | @ JXST | L 67-78 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | vs SHSU | W 102-91 | -5.5 | W +5.5 | 168.5 | O 193 |
| Jan 4 | vs LT | W 66-61 | -9.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 8 | @NMSU | L 64-80 | +2.5 | L −13.5 | 154.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 10 | @UTEP | W 68-56 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−2.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+6.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+0.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
+13.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+1.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
+9.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
−10.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−14.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+1.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
−13.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+5.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−4.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−13.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
+8.5
covered 8didn’t cover 6avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsTNTC
TNTCW 82-70
−1.5
10
@EKU
EKUW 87-79
+3.5
16
vsTNST
TNSTW 95-82
+9.5
26
vsVAN
VANL 78-83
−7.5
27
vsUSF
USFL 91-97
+20.5
28
vsWICH
WICHW 75-70
−10.5
6
vsEVAN
EVANW 80-79
+11.5
10
@MRSH
MRSHL 61-77
−21.5
19
vsTLSA
TLSAL 81-82
+4.5
29
@JXST
JXSTL 67-78
+2.5
2
vsSHSU
SHSUW 102-91
+24.5
4
vsLT
LTW 66-61
−18.5
8
@NMSU
NMSUL 64-80
−10.5
10
@UTEP
UTEPW 68-56
−20.5
over 7under 7avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Missouri St
7-6 overall · 4-1 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs FIU79–71
- L@ Kennesaw St80–90
- Wvs New Mexico St89–82
- Wvs UTEP79–55
- W@ Delaware61–43
4 days since their last game.
Western KY
8-6 overall · 3-2 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UTEP68–56
- L@ New Mexico St64–80
- Wvs Louisiana Tech66–61
- Wvs Sam Houston102–91
- L@ Jax State67–78
4 days since their last game.