Don Haskins Center · at UTEP · Conference game
Closing line
MTSU -3.5✓ UTEP covered by 6.5
MTSU -3.5✓ UTEP covered by 6.5Closing total137.5Over by 25.5
| MTSU | This season | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| 6-5 | Record | 1-10 |
| 6-5 | ATS | 3-8 |
| 4-7 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MTSU 72–66 UTEP · ✗ MTSU (67%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 44 | 29 | 7 | 80 |
| UTEP | 37 | 36 | 10 | 83 |
1st half: MTSU 44, UTEP 37 (MTSU by 7). The model had MTSU by 3.2 and a total of 64.6 (actual 81).
Team stats
| MTSU | UTEP | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 25-58 43% |
| 9-25 36% | 3-pointers | 8-19 42% |
| 15-17 88% | Free throws | 25-36 69% |
| 32 7 off | Rebounds | 38 13 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 5 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 28 | Fouls | 16 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| MTSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alec Oglesby G | 39 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-8 | 2-7 |
| Kamari Lands G | 37 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 2-5 |
| Chris Loofe F | 27 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 6-6 | 1-1 |
| Jahvin Carter G | 27 | 6 | 8 | 7 | 2-10 | 0-3 |
| Torey Alston F | 20 | 8 | 5 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sean Smith G | 30 | 16 | 1 | 4 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Tre Green G | 15 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-5 |
| Luka Jovanovic C | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| James Dent Jr. G | 11 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Jarred Hall F | 5 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Charvez Ambrose, Jax Howard, Brandon Oloumou, Savon Wykle, Marcus Whitlock Jr.
| UTEP | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jamal West Jr. F | 43 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 6-15 | 0-1 |
| Kaseem Watson F | 43 | 23 | 7 | 0 | 7-15 | 5-8 |
| KJ Thomas G | 41 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Elijah Jones F | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 8-12 | 2-3 |
| Cassius Brooks G | 18 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| LA Hayes G | 30 | 10 | 10 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-3 |
| Mouhamed Mbaye C | 5 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| C.J. Smith F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Hernandez G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bobby Montgomery Jr. G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: David Tubek, Trey Horton III, Tyreese Watson, Caleb Blackwell
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMTSU -3.5
ModelMTSU -5.1
Model edgeMTSU +1.6
L UTEP covered
Total
Market137.5
Model137.9
Model edgeOver 0.4
W Over
Projected score
MTSU 71.5 · UTEP 66.4
MTSU 80 · UTEP 83
Win probability
MTSU 67%
1st half
Spread
MTSU -3.2
MTSU -7.0
Total
64.6
81 points
Projected score
MTSU 33.9 · UTEP 30.7
MTSU 44 · UTEP 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMTSU -3.5
no move
CloseMTSU -3.5
No change since the open
Total
Open136.5
▲ 1
Close137.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MTSU -185 · UTEP +154
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MTSU -3.5 · unchangedmodel MTSU -5
model MTSU -5
Opened 136.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 1 upmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTSU | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
| UTEP | 1-9 10% | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 8 since 2021-22
MTSU 6–2 UTEPMTSU leads · 8 games since 2021-22 · MTSU has won the last 3 meetings · MTSU 5-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | MTSU 76 @ UTEP 75 | UTEP -2.5 | MTSU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | UTEP 68 @ MTSU 71 | MTSU -3.5 | UTEP W |
| Feb 17, 2023-24 | UTEP 90 @ MTSU 96 | MTSU -0.5 | MTSU W |
| Jan 18, 2023-24 | MTSU 59 @ UTEP 73 | UTEP -5.5 | UTEP W |
| Mar 4, 2022-23 | MTSU 65 @ UTEP 77 | UTEP -0.5 | UTEP W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
MTSU
11 games played
Straight up
6-5
55% wins
Against the spread
6-5
55% covers · avg +5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-7
36% overs · avg −6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12 | @ EVAN | W 77-72 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 19 | @ MICH | L 61-86 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 23 | vs MUR | W 90-87 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs GW | L 79-92 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 158.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs MCN | L 62-72 | +9.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 1 | vs UAB | W 76-61 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 7 | vs BEL | L 62-83 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 17 | vs KENN | W 68-67 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 29 | @ HOU | L 60-69 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 2 | vs LT | W 88-51 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 134.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vs SHSU | W 68-67 | -4.5 | L −3.5 | 156.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+7.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
+2.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+9.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
−3.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−0.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
+16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−17.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−2.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
+16.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+30.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−3.5
covered 6didn’t cover 5avg +5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
12
@EVAN
EVANW 77-72
+8.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 61-86
−12.5
23
vsMUR
MURW 90-87
+15.5
24
vsGW
GWL 79-92
+12.5
25
vsMCN
MCNL 62-72
−13.5
1
vsUAB
UABW 76-61
−16.5
7
vsBEL
BELL 62-83
−8.5
17
vsKENN
KENNW 68-67
−25.5
29
@HOU
HOUL 60-69
−9.5
2
vsLT
LTW 88-51
+4.5
4
vsSHSU
SHSUW 68-67
−21.5
over 4under 7avg −6 ptslonger = bigger margin
UTEP
11 games played
Straight up
1-10
9% wins
Against the spread
3-8
27% covers · avg −5.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11 | vs LMU | L 58-71 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 15 | @ USU | L 51-75 | +16.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 24 | vs W&M | L 63-74 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vsUAB | L 59-75 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 7 | @ SEA | L 68-75 | +12.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | @ HAW | L 61-66 | +12.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 21 | vs NORF | L 71-72 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 22 | vs NDSU | W 76-66 | +2.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 29 | @LT | L 63-75 | +2.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
| Jan 2 | @ MOST | L 55-79 | +3.5 | L −20.5 | 131.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 4 | @ FIU | L 64-76 | +6.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 140 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−14.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−7.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−8.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−7.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+5.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
+7.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
−11.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+12.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
−9.5
2
@MOST
MOSTL 55-79
−20.5
4
@FIU
FIUL 64-76
−5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 8avg −5.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
11
vsLMU
LMUL 58-71
−15.5
15
@USU
USUL 51-75
−23.5
24
vsW&M
W&ML 63-74
−22.5
25
vsUAB
UABL 59-75
−12.5
7
@SEA
SEAL 68-75
+6.5
13
@HAW
HAWL 61-66
−11.5
21
vsNORF
NORFL 71-72
+6.5
22
vsNDSU
NDSUW 76-66
+2.5
29
@LT
LTL 63-75
+7.5
2
@MOST
MOSTL 55-79
+2.5
4
@FIU
FIUL 64-76
−12.5
over 5under 6avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
MTSU
6-5 overall · 3-0 in conference · Conference USA
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sam Houston68–67
- Wvs Louisiana Tech88–51
- L@ Houston60–69
- Wvs Kennesaw St68–67
- Lvs Belmont62–83
4 days since their last game.
UTEP
1-10 overall · 0-3 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ FIU64–76
- L@ Missouri St55–79
- L@ Louisiana Tech63–75
- Wvs N Dakota St76–66
- Lvs Norfolk St71–72
4 days since their last game.