Madison Square Garden · at Knicks
LineNo line yet
Total—
 MEM | This season | NY |
|---|---|---|
| 6-0 | Record | 2-4 |
| 6-0 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 1-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects NY 116–108 · win probability NY 72%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 223.4
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: MEM has more of the edges
MEM 5, NY 3 · 2026-27 so far
Context
Schedule so far
MEM has played the 30th-hardest schedule, NY the 13th. A record against a soft schedule means less
MEMBigShooting
Effective FG%: MEM 55.9 and allows 49.2; NY 49.5 and allows 53.1
MEMBigThree-pointers
MEM hits 41.7% and allows 30.0%; NY hits 35.2% and allows 35.5%. Threes are 42.1% and 43.2% of their shots
MEMBigRecent form
Last 5: MEM 5-0 ATS, margin +14.2; NY 1-4 ATS, margin +0.4
MEMBigNY offense vs MEM defense
Offense 23rd of 30 against a defense 13th, on the model’s ratings
NYSmallMEM offense vs NY defense
Offense 11th of 30 against a defense 3rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: MEM plays 103.6 a game (13th fastest), NY 101.0 (28th). Faster games mean more points
NYSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: MEM 25.3, NY 24.5. Allowed: MEM 31.4, NY 25.9
MEMSmallTurnovers
Turnover rate: MEM 15.4%, NY 15.2%. Forced: MEM 15.7%, NY 13.2%
NYSmallHome court
NY at home. This season: NY 1-2 at home, MEM 4-0 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: MEM 30.6%, NY 30.3%. Defensive: MEM 75.0%, NY 78.7%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: MEM 100%, NY 100%. Transfers in: MEM 0, NY 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelNY -8.3
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model223.4
Model edge—
Projected score
MEM 107.6 · NY 115.9
Win probability
NY 72%
1st half
Spread
NY -4.5
Total
112.1
Projected score
MEM 53.8 · NY 58.3
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MEMlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 6-0 100% | 2-4 33% |
| NYlast 6 | 2-4 33% | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MEM 4–6 NYNY leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · NY has won the last 6 meetings · MEM 4-6 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 1, 2025-26 | NY 130 @ MEM 119 | MEM +13.5 | MEM W |
| Nov 11, 2025-26 | MEM 120 @ NY 133 | NY -10.5 | NY W |
| Feb 28, 2024-25 | NY 114 @ MEM 113 | MEM -2.5 | NY W |
| Jan 27, 2024-25 | MEM 106 @ NY 143 | NY -4.5 | NY W |
| Feb 6, 2023-24 | MEM 113 @ NY 123 | NY -13.5 | MEM W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grizzlies
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-0
100% covers · avg +14.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −8.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
vs
UTAH
UTAHW 123-103
+18.5
23
@
GS
GSW 111-108
+7.5
25
@
SAC
SACW 123-112
+7.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
+3.5
29
@
POR
PORW 124-103
+28.5
31
vsSAC
SACW 136-105
+23.5
covered 6didn’t cover 0avg +14.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
vsUTAH
UTAHW 123-103
−14.5
23
@GS
GSW 111-108
−17.5
25
@SAC
SACW 123-112
+0.5
26
@UTAH
UTAHW 110-105
−22.5
29
@POR
PORW 124-103
−6.5
31
vsSAC
SACW 136-105
+11.5
over 2under 4avg −8.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Knicks
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-5
17% overs · avg −11.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
PHI
PHIL 100-106
−10.5
23
@
BOS
BOSL 103-107
−1.5
25
vs
ORL
ORLL 102-111
−15.5
27
vs
DET
DETW 111-97
+9.5
28
@
CHI
CHIW 133-127
−1.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−2.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsPHI
PHIL 100-106
−25.5
23
@BOS
BOSL 103-107
−10.5
25
vsORL
ORLL 102-111
−11.5
27
vsDET
DETW 111-97
−12.5
28
@CHI
CHIW 133-127
+26.5
30
@PHI
PHIL 93-98
−33.5
over 1under 5avg −11.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Knicks has the better starters
Position by position: Grizzlies 0, Knicks 1, even 4
GrizzliesBetterKnicks
G T. Jerome25.8 pts · 3.2 reb · 5.6 ast
Score 97
=Even
G J. Brunson25.5 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.2 ast
Score 86
F C. Boozer17.7 pts · 10.5 reb · 5.7 ast
Score 87
=Even
G J. Hart8.7 pts · 7.5 reb · 3.3 ast
Score 91
F C. Coward13 pts · 8.6 reb · 2.6 ast
Score 33
→NYBig
G M. Bridges6.2 pts · 2.8 reb · 2 ast
Score 75
F J. Wells12.2 pts · 3.3 reb · 1 ast
Score 85
=Even
F O. Anunoby16.2 pts · 5.8 reb · 2.7 ast
Score 73
C Z. Edey7 pts · 7 reb · 1 ast
Score 92
=Even
C K. Towns21.8 pts · 13.5 reb · 3.2 ast
Score 80
GrizzliesBetterKnicks
MEM offense11th of 30 · +1.3
→NYSmall
NY defense3rd of 30 · +5.2
MEM defense13th of 30 · +1.1
←MEMSmall
NY offense23rd of 30 · -1.8
Backcourt+16.5 · 1 player
→NYBig
Backcourt+35.0 · 3 players
Frontcourt+29.5 · 4 players
←MEMBig
Frontcourt+17.7 · 2 players
Bench-18.8 · 5 players
→NYBig
Bench+5.0 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestMEM betterNY betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
GrizzliesGuards
T. Jerome30 minJ. Mashack22 minJ. Small21 minC. Spencer19 minW. Clayton11 min
Forwards
C. Boozer31 minC. Coward28 minJ. Wells27 minJ. Grant24 minT. Hendricks19 minO. Prosper19 min
Centers
Z. Edey20 minI. Stewart18 minC. Cooper3 min
Out
S. PippenDay-To-DayQ. PostDay-To-Day
KnicksGuards
J. Brunson35 minJ. Hart33 minM. Bridges28 minL. Shamet24 minM. McBride19 minT. Kolek14 min
Forwards
O. Anunoby34 minD. Knecht10 minM. Diawara9 minP. Dadiet5 minT. NickelNew
Centers
K. Towns32 minJ. Wiseman15 minA. Drummond13 min
Out
J. AlvaradoOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
MEM121.2 #1NY107.0 #27Points per possession
MEM1.16 #4NY1.05 #24Pace (possessions)
MEM103.6 #13NY101.0 #28Shooting
Effective FG%
MEM55.9 #5NY49.5 #273-point %
MEM41.7 #1NY35.2 #133-point attempt rate
MEM42.1 #19NY43.2 #14Free throw rate
MEM25.3 #22NY24.5 #23Possessions
Turnover rate
MEM15.4 #16NY15.2 #14Offensive rebound rate
MEM30.6 #5NY30.3 #6Assists per game
MEM27.0 #13NY26.2 #18Defense
Points allowed
MEM106.0 #3NY107.7 #6Points allowed per possession
MEM1.03 #2NY1.07 #12Opponent effective FG%
MEM49.2 #3NY53.1 #14Opponent 3-point %
MEM30.0 #3NY35.5 #18Turnovers forced
MEM15.7 #15NY13.2 #29Defensive rebound rate
MEM75.0 #9NY78.7 #1Steals per game
MEM6.3 #28NY7.3 #23Blocks per game
MEM5.2 #11NY4.0 #28| MEM | NY | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 121.2 #1 | Points per game | 107.0 #27 |
| 1.16 #4 | Points per possession | 1.05 #24 |
| 103.6 #13 | Pace (possessions) | 101.0 #28 |
| Shooting | ||
| 55.9 #5 | Effective FG% | 49.5 #27 |
| 41.7 #1 | 3-point % | 35.2 #13 |
| 42.1 #19 | 3-point attempt rate | 43.2 #14 |
| 25.3 #22 | Free throw rate | 24.5 #23 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.4 #16 | Turnover rate | 15.2 #14 |
| 30.6 #5 | Offensive rebound rate | 30.3 #6 |
| 27.0 #13 | Assists per game | 26.2 #18 |
| Defense | ||
| 106.0 #3 | Points allowed | 107.7 #6 |
| 1.03 #2 | Points allowed per possession | 1.07 #12 |
| 49.2 #3 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.1 #14 |
| 30.0 #3 | Opponent 3-point % | 35.5 #18 |
| 15.7 #15 | Turnovers forced | 13.2 #29 |
| 75.0 #9 | Defensive rebound rate | 78.7 #1 |
| 6.3 #28 | Steals per game | 7.3 #23 |
| 5.2 #11 | Blocks per game | 4.0 #28 |
Grizzlies
6-0 overall · 6-0 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Wvs Kings136–105
- W@ Trail Blazers124–103
- W@ Jazz110–105
- W@ Kings123–112
- W@ Warriors111–108
A week or more of rest.
Knicks
2-4 overall · 2-4 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- L@ 76ers93–98
- W@ Bulls133–127
- Wvs Pistons111–97
- Lvs Magic102–111
- L@ Celtics103–107
A week or more of rest.