Delta Center · at Jazz
LineNo line yet
Total—
 DET | This season | UTAH |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 1-5 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 1-5 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects DET 118–108 · win probability DET 77%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Winner
Line
—
no line yet
Total
—
model 225.8
Model edge
—
No market line yet
Public
—
No split yet for this game
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 212-225 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: DET has more of the edges
DET 7, UTAH 1 · 2026-27 so far
DETBigUTAH offense vs DET defense
Offense 20th of 30 against a defense 1st, on the model’s ratings
DETBigTurnovers
Turnover rate: DET 15.6%, UTAH 17.0%. Forced: DET 17.1%, UTAH 13.3%
DETBigThree-pointers
DET hits 36.3% and allows 32.5%; UTAH hits 32.6% and allows 37.6%. Threes are 43.3% and 41.7% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
DET has played the 17th-hardest schedule, UTAH the 4th. A record against a soft schedule means less
DETBigShooting
Effective FG%: DET 53.1 and allows 48.8; UTAH 51.0 and allows 53.9
DETBigDET offense vs UTAH defense
Offense 17th of 30 against a defense 27th, on the model’s ratings
DETBigRecent form
Last 5: DET 4-1 ATS, margin +8.0; UTAH 1-4 ATS, margin -8.2
Context
Tempo
About 102 possessions: DET plays 100.9 a game (29th fastest), UTAH 104.0 (12th). Faster games mean more points
DETSmallFree throws
Free throw rate: DET 28.9, UTAH 31.6. Allowed: DET 28.1, UTAH 33.8
UTAHSmallHome court
UTAH at home. This season: UTAH 1-4 at home, DET 3-1 away
Even
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: DET 27.2%, UTAH 25.7%. Defensive: DET 72.8%, UTAH 77.1%
Even
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: DET 100%, UTAH 100%. Transfers in: DET 0, UTAH 0. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edge
Spread
Market—
ModelDET -10.5
Model edge—
Total
Market—
Model225.8
Model edge—
Projected score
DET 118.2 · UTAH 107.6
Win probability
DET 77%
1st half
Spread
DET -6.1
Total
113.2
Projected score
DET 59.6 · UTAH 53.5
Market
Open → current
Spread
Open—
no open
Now—
Opening line not available
Total
Open—
no open
Now—
Moneyline
—
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2026-27, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DETlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
| UTAHlast 6 | 1-5 17% | 1-5 17% | 2-4 33% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
DET 4–6 UTAHUTAH leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · DET 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 26, 2025-26 | DET 129 @ UTAH 131 | UTAH +9.5 | UTAH W |
| Nov 5, 2025-26 | UTAH 103 @ DET 114 | DET -9.5 | DET W |
| Mar 3, 2024-25 | DET 134 @ UTAH 106 | UTAH +10.5 | DET W |
| Dec 19, 2024-25 | UTAH 126 @ DET 119 | DET -4.5 | UTAH W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | DET 148 @ UTAH 154 | UTAH -8.5 | DET W |
ATS History · 2026-27
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Pistons
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +5.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −11.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
20
vs
BOS
BOSW 121-113
+9.5
23
@
MIA
MIAW 128-111
+14.5
25
@
PHI
PHIW 106-93
+11.5
27
@
NY
NYL 97-111
−9.5
28
vs
CHA
CHAW 97-89
+0.5
30
@
BKN
BKNW 110-94
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
20
vsBOS
BOSW 121-113
+13.5
23
@MIA
MIAW 128-111
+3.5
25
@PHI
PHIW 106-93
−29.5
27
@NY
NYL 97-111
−12.5
28
vsCHA
CHAW 97-89
−26.5
30
@BKN
BKNW 110-94
−18.5
over 2under 4avg −11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Jazz
6 games played
Straight up
1-5
17% wins
Against the spread
1-5
17% covers · avg −5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
21
@
MEM
MEML 103-123
−18.5
23
vs
NO
NOW 120-119
−0.5
25
vs
LAL
LALL 123-132
−2.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−3.5
28
vs
SA
SAL 111-117
+7.5
31
vs
POR
PORL 90-112
−15.5
covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
21
@MEM
MEML 103-123
−14.5
23
vsNO
NOW 120-119
+0.5
25
vsLAL
LALL 123-132
+17.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 105-110
−22.5
28
vsSA
SAL 111-117
−4.5
31
vsPOR
PORL 90-112
−30.5
over 2under 4avg −9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Pistons has the better starters
Position by position: Pistons 3, Jazz 0, even 2
PistonsBetterJazz
G C. Cunningham22.2 pts · 5.5 reb · 7.2 ast
Score 47
←DETBig
G K. George21.7 pts · 3.8 reb · 6.3 ast
Score 8
G A. Thompson8.8 pts · 7.4 reb · 5 ast
Score 79
←DETBig
G A. Bailey13.3 pts · 7.8 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 11
F D. Robinson16.8 pts · 2 reb · 2.2 ast
Score 77
←DETBig
G D. Peterson13.3 pts · 4.3 reb · 2.8 ast
Score 17
F P. Reed13.8 pts · 7 reb · 2 ast
Score 97
=Even
F L. Markkanen15.4 pts · 5.4 reb · 1.6 ast
Score 94
F J. Collins9.2 pts · 7.2 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 30
=Even
C J. Hayes8 pts · 6.6 reb · 2.4 ast
Score 36
PistonsBetterJazz
DET offense17th of 30 · -0.6
←DETSmall
UTAH defense27th of 30 · -6.0
DET defense1st of 30 · +7.1
←DETBig
UTAH offense20th of 30 · -1.2
Backcourt+10.1 · 2 players
←DETBig
Backcourt-20.5 · 3 players
Frontcourt+19.7 · 3 players
←DETBig
Frontcourt+15.0 · 2 players
Bench+22.1 · 5 players
←DETBig
Bench+2.1 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestDET betterUTAH betterNEW no NBA numbers yet
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
PistonsGuards
C. Cunningham34 minA. Thompson26 minD. Jenkins25 minE. Harkless21 minK. Huerter21 minJ. Green19 min
Forwards
D. Robinson30 minP. Reed27 minJ. Collins27 minT. Prince24 minR. Holland16 minT. Smith8 min
Centers
I. Jones5 min
Out
I. JoeOutJ. DurenOut
JazzGuards
K. George32 minA. Bailey31 minD. Peterson30 minI. Collier19 minS. Mykhailiuk17 minJ. Okogie16 min
Forwards
L. Markkanen29 minB. Hinson20 minB. Sensabaugh16 minK. Filipowski8 minH. Ingram4 min
Centers
J. Hayes26 minM. Bamba19 minT. Bradley11 min
Out
J. JacksonOut
Matchup stats
2026-27 · rank among 30 teams
Scoring
Points per game
DET109.8 #21UTAH108.7 #24Points per possession
DET1.09 #18UTAH1.05 #25Pace (possessions)
DET100.9 #29UTAH104.0 #12Shooting
Effective FG%
DET53.1 #17UTAH51.0 #243-point %
DET36.3 #9UTAH32.6 #233-point attempt rate
DET43.3 #13UTAH41.7 #21Free throw rate
DET28.9 #14UTAH31.6 #10Possessions
Turnover rate
DET15.6 #17UTAH17.0 #25Offensive rebound rate
DET27.2 #17UTAH25.7 #22Assists per game
DET26.7 #15UTAH26.2 #19Defense
Points allowed
DET101.8 #1UTAH118.8 #25Points allowed per possession
DET1.01 #1UTAH1.14 #25Opponent effective FG%
DET48.8 #2UTAH53.9 #18Opponent 3-point %
DET32.5 #10UTAH37.6 #25Turnovers forced
DET17.1 #6UTAH13.3 #28Defensive rebound rate
DET72.8 #15UTAH77.1 #4Steals per game
DET9.0 #12UTAH6.2 #29Blocks per game
DET6.7 #4UTAH6.5 #5| DET | UTAH | |
|---|---|---|
| Scoring | ||
| 109.8 #21 | Points per game | 108.7 #24 |
| 1.09 #18 | Points per possession | 1.05 #25 |
| 100.9 #29 | Pace (possessions) | 104.0 #12 |
| Shooting | ||
| 53.1 #17 | Effective FG% | 51.0 #24 |
| 36.3 #9 | 3-point % | 32.6 #23 |
| 43.3 #13 | 3-point attempt rate | 41.7 #21 |
| 28.9 #14 | Free throw rate | 31.6 #10 |
| Possessions | ||
| 15.6 #17 | Turnover rate | 17.0 #25 |
| 27.2 #17 | Offensive rebound rate | 25.7 #22 |
| 26.7 #15 | Assists per game | 26.2 #19 |
| Defense | ||
| 101.8 #1 | Points allowed | 118.8 #25 |
| 1.01 #1 | Points allowed per possession | 1.14 #25 |
| 48.8 #2 | Opponent effective FG% | 53.9 #18 |
| 32.5 #10 | Opponent 3-point % | 37.6 #25 |
| 17.1 #6 | Turnovers forced | 13.3 #28 |
| 72.8 #15 | Defensive rebound rate | 77.1 #4 |
| 9.0 #12 | Steals per game | 6.2 #29 |
| 6.7 #4 | Blocks per game | 6.5 #5 |
Pistons
5-1 overall · 5-1 in conference · Eastern Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- W@ Nets110–94
- Wvs Hornets97–89
- L@ Knicks97–111
- W@ 76ers106–93
- W@ Heat128–111
A week or more of rest.
Jazz
1-5 overall · 1-5 in conference · Western Conference
Last five, 2026-27
- Lvs Trail Blazers90–112
- Lvs Spurs111–117
- Lvs Grizzlies105–110
- Lvs Lakers123–132
- Wvs Pelicans120–119
A week or more of rest.