Jeffery P. Hazell Athletics Center · at New Haven · Conference game
Closing line
NHVN -6.5✓ SFPA covered by 12.5
NHVN -6.5✓ SFPA covered by 12.5Closing total141.5Under by 1.5
 SFPA | This season | NHVN |
|---|---|---|
| 4-22 | Record | 10-15 |
| 12-14 | ATS | 14-11 |
| 14-12 | O/U | 8-17 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SFPA 66–74 NHVN · ✗ NHVN (76%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFPA | 41 | 32 | 73 |
| NHVN | 32 | 35 | 67 |
1st half: SFPA 41, NHVN 32 (SFPA by 9). The model had NHVN by 4.7 and a total of 65.4 (actual 73).
Team stats
| SFPA | NHVN | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-46 57% | Field goals | 24-53 45% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 10-31 32% |
| 17-17 100% | Free throws | 9-16 56% |
| 33 4 off | Rebounds | 20 4 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 4 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| SFPA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Payne Jr. G | 34 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Chris Moncrief G | 33 | 13 | 3 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Skylar Wicks G | 29 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-2 |
| Zion Russell G | 28 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 4-5 | 2-3 |
| Gestin Liberis F | 28 | 19 | 9 | 1 | 7-7 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ahmad Harrison G | 17 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Paris Papadatos G | 16 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-3 |
| Cameron Tweedy F | 9 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Russell G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Melvin Weaver III, Kam Wylie, Kofi Asare, Brandon Rabish, Ralph Martino Jr., Trey Weiand, Carson Rhodes, KJ Swain Jr., Ryen Gresko
| NHVN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jabri Fitzpatrick G | 39 | 22 | 0 | 2 | 9-15 | 2-6 |
| Andre Pasha F | 38 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Najimi George G | 37 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Stefano Faloppa F | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Kheni Briggs G | 13 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Teshaun Steele F | 22 | 4 | 8 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Aidan Losiewicz G | 14 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Kyle Kearson G | 11 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 3-4 |
| Maison Adeleye G | 6 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-2 |
Did not play: Matiss Ogle, Zoumana Traore, Tristan Burth, John Oladipo, Timothy Coleman, Nathan Narcisse, Vere Anthony, Owen Hotaling, Dior Kennedy, Justice Hanna, Dominick LaDuca, Jagger Bascombe
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNHVN -6.5
ModelNHVN -8.0
Model edgeNHVN +1.5
L SFPA covered
Total
Market141.5
Model139.6
Model edgeUnder 1.9
W Under
Projected score
SFPA 65.8 · NHVN 73.8
SFPA 73 · NHVN 67
Win probability
NHVN 76%
1st half
Spread
NHVN -4.7
SFPA -9.0
Total
65.4
73 points
Projected score
SFPA 30.3 · NHVN 35
SFPA 41 · NHVN 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNHVN -6.5
no move
CloseNHVN -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open141.5
no move
Close141.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
SFPA +260 · NHVN -325
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NHVN -6.5 · unchangedmodel NHVN -8
model NHVN -8
Opened 141.5 · unchangedmodel 139.5
model 139.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SFPA | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| NHVN | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SFPA 0–1 NHVNNHVN leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SFPA 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 31, 2025-26 | NHVN 81 @ SFPA 69 | SFPA -1.5 | NHVN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Francis Red Wolves
26 games played
Straight up
4-22
15% wins
Against the spread
12-14
46% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-12
54% overs · avg +5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ OU | L 66-102 | +31.5 | L −4.5 | 149.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 6 | @ TCU | L 63-104 | +27.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 11 | vs MSM | L 66-74 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 18 | @ LEH | L 62-79 | +10.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 24 | vs BEL | L 57-94 | +21.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TROY | L 64-74 | +21.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 1 | @ XAV | L 74-96 | +27.5 | W +5.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 7 | @ RAD | L 56-89 | +13.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 14 | @ TEM | L 67-95 | +20.5 | L −7.5 | 150.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 17 | @ FLA | L 61-102 | +44.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 20 | vs RMU | L 70-79 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | vs LEM | L 58-84 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 4 | vs FDU | W 85-82 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 8 | @ WAG | W 71-69 | +7.5 | W +9.5 | 144.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 10 | @ LIU | L 63-67 | +15.5 | W +11.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 17 | vs CCSU | L 90-98 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 188 |
| Jan 19 | vs STO | W 63-61 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 23 | vs CHST | W 81-60 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 31 | vsNHVN | L 69-81 | -1.5 | L −13.5 | 131.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 5 | @ MERC | L 89-98 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 187 |
| Feb 7 | @LEM | L 84-86 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 9 | @CHST | L 75-80 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Feb 12 | @FDU | L 59-66 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 141.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 14 | vsMERC | L 79-94 | +2.5 | L −12.5 | 138.5 | O 173 |
| Feb 19 | vsLIU | L 89-91 | +9.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 180 |
| Feb 21 | vsWAG | L 56-65 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
−4.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
−13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−1.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−6.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−15.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
+11.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+5.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−19.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
−7.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+3.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+4.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−20.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+5.5
8
@WAG
WAGW 71-69
+9.5
10
@LIU
LIUL 63-67
+11.5
17
vsCCSU
CCSUL 90-98
−1.5
19
vsSTO
STOW 63-61
+0.5
23
vsCHST
CHSTW 81-60
+17.5
31
vsNHVN
NHVNL 69-81
−13.5
5
@MERC
MERCL 89-98
−2.5
7
@LEM
LEML 84-86
+5.5
9
@CHST
CHSTL 75-80
−1.5
12
@FDU
FDUL 59-66
+0.5
14
vsMERC
MERCL 79-94
−12.5
19
vsLIU
LIUL 89-91
+7.5
21
vsWAG
WAGL 56-65
−7.5
covered 12didn’t cover 14avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@OU
OUL 66-102
+18.5
6
@TCU
TCUL 63-104
+13.5
11
vsMSM
MSML 66-74
−9.5
18
@LEH
LEHL 62-79
−10.5
24
vsBEL
BELL 57-94
−6.5
26
vsTROY
TROYL 64-74
−13.5
1
@XAV
XAVL 74-96
+17.5
7
@RAD
RADL 56-89
−9.5
14
@TEM
TEML 67-95
+11.5
17
@FLA
FLAL 61-102
+6.5
20
vsRMU
RMUL 70-79
+3.5
2
vsLEM
LEML 58-84
−9.5
4
vsFDU
FDUW 85-82
+23.5
8
@WAG
WAGW 71-69
−4.5
10
@LIU
LIUL 63-67
−18.5
17
vsCCSU
CCSUL 90-98
+43.5
19
vsSTO
STOW 63-61
−17.5
23
vsCHST
CHSTW 81-60
−2.5
31
vsNHVN
NHVNL 69-81
+18.5
5
@MERC
MERCL 89-98
+49.5
7
@LEM
LEML 84-86
+16.5
9
@CHST
CHSTL 75-80
+10.5
12
@FDU
FDUL 59-66
−16.5
14
vsMERC
MERCL 79-94
+34.5
19
vsLIU
LIUL 89-91
+31.5
21
vsWAG
WAGL 56-65
−30.5
over 14under 12avg +5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
New Haven
25 games played
Straight up
10-15
40% wins
Against the spread
14-11
56% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-17
32% overs · avg −3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CONN | L 55-79 | +42.5 | W +18.5 | 145.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 7 | vs COLU | L 53-71 | +7.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 8 | vs PSU | L 43-87 | +18.5 | L −25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 10 | @ UML | W 73-67 | +10.5 | W +16.5 | 142.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 15 | vs DSU | W 65-52 | -1.5 | W +11.5 | 130.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 18 | @ HALL | L 45-68 | +25.5 | W +2.5 | 129.5 | U 113 |
| Dec 6 | @ BC | L 63-67 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Dec 10 | @ NJIT | L 64-70 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 130.5 | O 134 |
| Dec 22 | @ FOR | L 47-65 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 127.5 | U 112 |
| Dec 29 | @ VAN | L 53-96 | +39.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 2 | @STO | W 70-55 | +1.5 | W +16.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 4 | @CCSU | L 61-72 | +7.5 | L −3.5 | 130.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 8 | @LEM | L 47-73 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 10 | vsFDU | W 65-55 | -1.5 | W +8.5 | 130.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 17 | vsWAG | W 80-74 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 129.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 19 | @CHST | W 62-56 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 129.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 23 | vsMERC | L 57-61 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 122.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 29 | @MERC | L 51-70 | +5.5 | L −13.5 | 122.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 31 | @SFPA | W 81-69 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 131.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 5 | @LIU | L 55-60 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 135.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 7 | vsCHST | L 57-63 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 127.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 12 | vsCCSU | L 76-81 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 128.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vsLIU | W 55-52 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 129.5 | U 107 |
| Feb 19 | vsSTO | W 64-51 | -2.5 | W +10.5 | 121.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 21 | @FDU | W 84-77 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 123.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
+18.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−10.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−25.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
+16.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
+11.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
+2.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+13.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
−8.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−4.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
−3.5
2
@STO
STOW 70-55
+16.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUL 61-72
−3.5
8
@LEM
LEML 47-73
−20.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 65-55
+8.5
17
vsWAG
WAGW 80-74
+4.5
19
@CHST
CHSTW 62-56
+7.5
23
vsMERC
MERCL 57-61
−2.5
29
@MERC
MERCL 51-70
−13.5
31
@SFPA
SFPAW 81-69
+13.5
5
@LIU
LIUL 55-60
+4.5
7
vsCHST
CHSTL 57-63
−11.5
12
vsCCSU
CCSUL 76-81
−1.5
14
vsLIU
LIUW 55-52
+9.5
19
vsSTO
STOW 64-51
+10.5
21
@FDU
FDUW 84-77
+9.5
covered 14didn’t cover 11avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CONN
CONNL 55-79
−11.5
7
vsCOLU
COLUL 53-71
−24.5
8
vsPSU
PSUL 43-87
−13.5
10
@UML
UMLW 73-67
−2.5
15
vsDSU
DSUW 65-52
−13.5
18
@HALL
HALLL 45-68
−16.5
6
@BC
BCL 63-67
+3.5
10
@NJIT
NJITL 64-70
+3.5
22
@FOR
FORL 47-65
−15.5
29
@VAN
VANL 53-96
+3.5
2
@STO
STOW 70-55
−3.5
4
@CCSU
CCSUL 61-72
+2.5
8
@LEM
LEML 47-73
−17.5
10
vsFDU
FDUW 65-55
−10.5
17
vsWAG
WAGW 80-74
+24.5
19
@CHST
CHSTW 62-56
−11.5
23
vsMERC
MERCL 57-61
−4.5
29
@MERC
MERCL 51-70
−1.5
31
@SFPA
SFPAW 81-69
+18.5
5
@LIU
LIUL 55-60
−20.5
7
vsCHST
CHSTL 57-63
−7.5
12
vsCCSU
CCSUL 76-81
+28.5
14
vsLIU
LIUW 55-52
−22.5
19
vsSTO
STOW 64-51
−6.5
21
@FDU
FDUW 84-77
+37.5
over 8under 17avg −3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Francis Red Wolves
4-22 overall · 4-11 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wagner56–65
- Lvs Long Island89–91
- Lvs Mercyhurst79–94
- L@ FDU59–66
- L@ Chicago St75–80
3 days since their last game.
New Haven
10-15 overall · 8-7 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ FDU84–77
- Wvs Stonehill64–51
- Wvs Long Island55–52
- Lvs C Connecticut76–81
- Lvs Chicago St57–63
3 days since their last game.