State Farm Field House · Neutral site
Closing line
BYU -9.5✓ DAY covered by 5.5
BYU -9.5✓ DAY covered by 5.5Closing total150.5Over by 11.5
| BYU | This season | DAY |
|---|---|---|
| 5-1 | Record | 6-1 |
| 4-2 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 2-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BYU 84–69 DAY · ✓ BYU (90%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYU | 30 | 53 | 83 |
| DAY | 36 | 43 | 79 |
1st half: BYU 30, DAY 36 (DAY by 6). The model had BYU by 8.9 and a total of 71.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| BYU | DAY | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-56 52% | Field goals | 29-62 47% |
| 10-22 45% | 3-pointers | 15-33 45% |
| 15-18 83% | Free throws | 6-14 43% |
| 35 5 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 11 | Assists | 14 |
| 11 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| BYU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Richie Saunders G | 38 | 29 | 8 | 2 | 9-15 | 6-10 |
| Robert Wright III G | 35 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 9-16 | 2-4 |
| AJ Dybantsa F | 34 | 18 | 4 | 3 | 7-12 | 1-1 |
| Kennard Davis Jr. G | 32 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Keba Keita F | 23 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Khadim Mboup F | 17 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Mrus F | 11 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Dominique Diomande F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Aleksej Kostic G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Xavion Staton, Nate Pickens, Mihailo Boskovic, Brody Kozlowski, Jared McGregor, Dawson Baker
| DAY | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Javon Bennett G | 34 | 22 | 2 | 3 | 7-16 | 6-11 |
| Keonte Jones G | 32 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Amal L'Etang F | 31 | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5-13 | 2-7 |
| De'Shayne Montgomery G | 29 | 11 | 8 | 4 | 4-11 | 2-5 |
| Jordan Derkack G | 22 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Bryce Heard G | 23 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 6-7 | 4-5 |
| Jacob Conner F | 17 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Malcolm Thomas F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaiun Simon F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Makai Grant, Will Maxwell, Evan Dickey, Damon Friery, Adam Njie, Jaron McKie
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketBYU -9.5
ModelBYU -14.5
Model edgeBYU +5.0
L DAY covered
Total
Market150.5
Model152.7
Model edgeOver 2.2
W Over
Projected score
BYU 83.6 · DAY 69.1
BYU 83 · DAY 79
Win probability
BYU 90%
1st half
Spread
BYU -8.9
DAY -6.0
Total
71.5
66 points
Projected score
BYU 40.2 · DAY 31.3
BYU 30 · DAY 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenBYU -10.5
1 → DAY
CloseBYU -9.5
1 pt toward DAY
Total
Open150.5
no move
Close150.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BYU -520 · DAY +390
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened BYU -10.5 · closed BYU -9.5 · moved 1 toward DAYmodel BYU -14.5
model BYU -14.5
Opened 150.5 · unchangedmodel 152.5
model 152.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BYUlast 6 | 5-1 83% | 4-2 67% | 2-4 33% |
| DAYlast 7 | 6-1 86% | 3-4 43% | 2-5 29% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BYU 1–0 DAYBYU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · BYU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022-23 | BYU 79 vs DAY 75 | DAY -3.5 | BYU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
BYU
6 games played
Straight up
5-1
83% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +2.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −9.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
VILL
VILLW 71-66
−4.5
8
vs
HC
HCW 98-53
+6.5
11
vs
DEL
DELW 85-68
−18.5
15
vs
CONN
CONNL 84-86
+4.5
21
vs
WIS
WISW 98-70
+23.5
27
vs
MIA
MIAW 72-62
+2.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsVILL
VILLW 71-66
−16.5
8
vsHC
HCW 98-53
−14.5
11
vsDEL
DELW 85-68
−11.5
15
vsCONN
CONNL 84-86
+13.5
21
vsWIS
WISW 98-70
+2.5
27
vsMIA
MIAW 72-62
−31.5
over 2under 4avg −9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Dayton
7 games played
Straight up
6-1
86% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-5
29% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAN | W 88-48 | -25.5 | W +14.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 77-71 | -25.5 | L −19.5 | 154.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 11 | @ CIN | L 62-74 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 15 | vs BCU | W 91-82 | -21.5 | L −12.5 | 148.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 19 | @ MARQ | W 77-71 | +6.5 | W +12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs NCCU | W 74-55 | -29.5 | L −10.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 27 | vs GTWN | W 84-79 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
+14.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−19.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−6.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
−12.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
+12.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−10.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAN
CANW 88-48
−6.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 77-71
−6.5
11
@CIN
CINL 62-74
−11.5
15
vsBCU
BCUW 91-82
+24.5
19
@MARQ
MARQW 77-71
−3.5
22
vsNCCU
NCCUW 74-55
−17.5
27
vsGTWN
GTWNW 84-79
+17.5
over 2under 5avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
BYU
5-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Miami72–62
- Wvs Wisconsin98–70
- Lvs UConn84–86
- Wvs Delaware85–68
- Wvs Holy Cross98–53
1 day since their last game.
Dayton
6-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Georgetown84–79
- Wvs NC Central74–55
- W@ Marquette77–71
- Wvs Bethune91–82
- L@ Cincinnati62–74
1 day since their last game.