CFSB Center · at Murray St · Conference game
Closing line
MUR -7.5✓ MUR covered by 1.5
MUR -7.5✓ MUR covered by 1.5Closing total156.5Under by 3.5
 DRKE | This season | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| 4-5 | Record | 8-3 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 8-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DRKE 76–81 MUR · ✓ MUR (67%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKE | 30 | 42 | 72 |
| MUR | 36 | 45 | 81 |
1st half: DRKE 30, MUR 36 (MUR by 6). The model had MUR by 2.9 and a total of 73.5 (actual 66).
Team stats
| DRKE | MUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-58 45% | Field goals | 23-57 40% |
| 3-16 19% | 3-pointers | 9-26 35% |
| 17-23 74% | Free throws | 26-31 84% |
| 35 12 off | Rebounds | 34 11 off |
| 9 | Assists | 10 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 21 | Fouls | 20 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 8 | Fast-break points | 18 |
Players
| DRKE | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Quinn G | 33 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 7-17 | 1-2 |
| Owen Larson G | 31 | 3 | 8 | 3 | 0-5 | 0-1 |
| Okku Federiko F | 31 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 6-10 | 1-4 |
| Andrew Alia G | 29 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Wilguens Jr. Exacte F | 28 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaehshon Thomas G | 21 | 17 | 0 | 0 | 7-10 | 1-3 |
| Eli Shetlar G | 15 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-6 | 0-4 |
| Griffen Goodbary F | 9 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Braden Appelhans G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: LJ Rush, Bryson Bahl, Heri Bukinga, Isaiah Carr
| MUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Layne Taylor G | 32 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-8 |
| Fredrick King C | 27 | 16 | 11 | 3 | 6-13 | 0-1 |
| JJ Traynor F | 23 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Mason Miller F | 23 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Javon Jackson G | 20 | 11 | 0 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roman Domon G | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Mathis Courbon G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Brayden Shorter G | 16 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| KJ Tenner G | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Dylan Anderson F | 7 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Brock Vice F | 3 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tristian Ford, Lachlan Crate, Dillon Butler, Ben Shtolzberg
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMUR -7.5
ModelMUR -5.1
Model edgeDRKE +2.4
L MUR covered
Total
Market156.5
Model157.1
Model edgeOver 0.6
L Under
Projected score
DRKE 76 · MUR 81.1
DRKE 72 · MUR 81
Win probability
MUR 67%
1st half
Spread
MUR -2.9
MUR -6.0
Total
73.5
66 points
Projected score
DRKE 35.3 · MUR 38.2
DRKE 30 · MUR 36
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMUR -7.5
no move
CloseMUR -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open159.5
▼ 3
Close156.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
DRKE +270 · MUR -340
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MUR -7.5 · unchangedmodel MUR -5
model MUR -5
Opened 159.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 3 downmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DRKElast 9 | 4-5 44% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
| MUR | 7-3 70% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
DRKE 5–1 MURDRKE leads · 6 games since 2021-22 · DRKE 5-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 4, 2024-25 | DRKE 55 @ MUR 45 | MUR +4.5 | DRKE W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | MUR 66 @ DRKE 59 | DRKE -9.5 | MUR W |
| Feb 18, 2023-24 | MUR 72 @ DRKE 95 | DRKE -9.5 | DRKE W |
| Mar 3, 2022-23 | MUR 62 vs DRKE 74 | DRKE -10.5 | DRKE W |
| Feb 7, 2022-23 | DRKE 92 @ MUR 68 | MUR +3.5 | DRKE W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Drake
9 games played
Straight up
4-5
44% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +4.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NAU | W 77-71 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | O 148 |
| Nov 6 | vs RMU | L 79-81 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs SIUE | L 59-61 | -7.5 | L −9.5 | 142.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | @ COFC | W 71-62 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 153.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 28 | vs LSU | L 62-71 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs GT | W 84-74 | +4.5 | W +14.5 | 137.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 2 | vs WIU | W 108-57 | -17.5 | W +33.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 5 | vs UAB | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 148.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs NDSU | L 94-99 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | O 193 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
−2.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
−9.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−9.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
+16.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
+2.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+14.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+33.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
−10.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNAU
NAUW 77-71
+3.5
6
vsRMU
RMUL 79-81
+8.5
14
vsSIUE
SIUEL 59-61
−22.5
17
@COFC
COFCW 71-62
−20.5
28
vsLSU
LSUL 62-71
−18.5
29
vsGT
GTW 84-74
+20.5
2
vsWIU
WIUW 108-57
+26.5
5
vsUAB
UABL 69-74
−5.5
13
vsNDSU
NDSUL 94-99
+47.5
over 5under 4avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Murray St
11 games played
Straight up
8-3
73% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
8-3
73% overs · avg +9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OMA | W 85-77 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 7 | vs MVSU | W 108-60 | -38.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMU | L 91-102 | +10.5 | L −0.5 | 164.5 | O 193 |
| Nov 15 | vs NICH | W 99-79 | -14.5 | W +5.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 18 | vs LR | W 89-68 | -13.5 | W +7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 23 | vs MTSU | L 87-90 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 161.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 24 | vs MCN | L 60-73 | +2.5 | L −10.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 25 | vs GW | W 96-95 | +7.5 | W +8.5 | 167.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 2 | vs MORE | W 84-52 | -16.5 | W +15.5 | 158.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 6 | vs BELL | W 81-68 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs AKR | W 115-100 | +4.5 | W +19.5 | 168.5 | O 215 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+2.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+9.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
−0.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+5.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+7.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
−9.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−10.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+8.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
+15.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−3.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+19.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+8.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+8.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
+28.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+20.5
18
vsLR
LRW 89-68
+3.5
23
vsMTSU
MTSUL 87-90
+15.5
24
vsMCN
MCNL 60-73
−25.5
25
vsGW
GWW 96-95
+23.5
2
vsMORE
MOREW 84-52
−22.5
6
vsBELL
BELLW 81-68
−8.5
13
vsAKR
AKRW 115-100
+46.5
over 8under 3avg +9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Drake
4-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs N Dakota St94–99
- Lvs UAB69–74
- Wvs W Illinois108–57
- Wvs Georgia Tech84–74
- Lvs LSU62–71
5 days since their last game.
Murray St
8-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Akron115–100
- Wvs Bellarmine81–68
- Wvs Morehead St84–52
- Wvs G Washington96–95
- Lvs McNeese60–73
5 days since their last game.