McLeod Center · at Northern Iowa · Conference game
Closing line
UNI -2.5✓ BEL covered by 15.5
UNI -2.5✓ BEL covered by 15.5Closing total137.5Over by 5.5
 BEL | This season | UNI |
|---|---|---|
| 12-3 | Record | 11-3 |
| 8-7 | ATS | 9-5 |
| 7-8 | O/U | 3-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BEL 67–70 UNI · ✗ UNI (59%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| UNI | 32 | 33 | 65 |
1st half: BEL 36, UNI 32 (BEL by 4). The model had UNI by 1.4 and a total of 64.1 (actual 68).
Team stats
| BEL | UNI | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-50 60% | Field goals | 23-59 39% |
| 10-21 48% | 3-pointers | 12-36 33% |
| 8-15 53% | Free throws | 7-10 70% |
| 34 5 off | Rebounds | 26 8 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 3 | Steals | 2 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 6 | Turnovers | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| BEL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Lundblade G | 38 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Jabez Jenkins G | 38 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Drew Scharnowski F | 27 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 9-10 | 0-1 |
| Isaiah West G | 21 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Sam Orme F | 18 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Smiley G | 30 | 19 | 3 | 6 | 7-10 | 5-6 |
| Brigham Rogers F | 15 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Eoin Dillon F | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Win Miller G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
Did not play: Aidan Noyes, Cooper Haynes, Graydon Lemke, Jake Dykstra, Keith Robbins, Nic McClain
| UNI | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leon Bond III G | 39 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Trey Campbell G | 38 | 9 | 1 | 7 | 3-13 | 2-11 |
| Will Hornseth F | 26 | 8 | 1 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Ben Schwieger F | 17 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-4 |
| Kyle Pock F | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Max Weisbrod G | 28 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 4-7 | 4-7 |
| Ismael Diouf F | 17 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-4 |
| RJ Taylor G | 14 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Geon Hutchins G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Chase Courbat F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Hunter Jacobson, Tristan Smith, Levi Valdo, Cade Courbat, Redek Born, Marino Dubravcic, Jalen Wilson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNI -2.5
ModelUNI -2.5
Model edge—
BEL covered
Total
Market137.5
Model136.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
L Over
Projected score
BEL 67.1 · UNI 69.6
BEL 78 · UNI 65
Win probability
UNI 59%
1st half
Spread
UNI -1.4
BEL -4.0
Total
64.1
68 points
Projected score
BEL 31.3 · UNI 32.7
BEL 36 · UNI 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNI -2.5
no move
CloseUNI -2.5
No change since the open
Total
Open135.5
▲ 2
Close137.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
BEL +120 · UNI -142
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNI -2.5 · unchangedmodel UNI -2.5 matches the line
model UNI -2.5 = line ✓
Opened 135.5 · closed 137.5 · moved 2 upmodel 136.5
model 136.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BEL | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 6-4 60% |
| UNI | 7-3 70% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
BEL 3–4 UNIUNI leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · UNI has won the last 4 meetings · BEL 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | UNI 82 @ BEL 75 | BEL -0.5 | UNI W |
| Jan 1, 2024-25 | BEL 70 @ UNI 76 | UNI -5.5 | UNI W |
| Mar 8, 2023-24 | BEL 62 vs UNI 67 | UNI +1.5 | UNI W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | UNI 83 @ BEL 72 | BEL +1.5 | UNI W |
| Nov 29, 2023-24 | BEL 90 @ UNI 70 | UNI -7.5 | BEL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Belmont
15 games played
Straight up
12-3
80% wins
Against the spread
8-7
53% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-8
47% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs AF | W 79-63 | -15.5 | W +0.5 | 144.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 8 | vs TNST | W 87-79 | -13.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 15 | @ ORU | W 83-60 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 171.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 19 | vs LIP | W 75-68 | -12.5 | L −5.5 | 158.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 24 | vs SFPA | W 94-57 | -21.5 | W +15.5 | 157.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs TOL | W 87-72 | -4.5 | W +10.5 | 163.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 30 | @ COFC | W 96-73 | -2.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | O 169 |
| Dec 3 | vs RICH | L 76-84 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 7 | @ MTSU | W 83-62 | -3.5 | W +17.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | vs UIC | W 87-84 | -12.5 | L −9.5 | 154.5 | O 171 |
| Dec 16 | @ EVAN | W 83-78 | -8.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 19 | @ UCI | W 84-58 | +1.5 | W +27.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 29 | @ INST | L 80-81 | -7.5 | L −8.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 1 | vs BRAD | W 88-78 | -3.5 | W +6.5 | 153.5 | O 166 |
| Jan 4 | vs SIU | L 67-68 | -6.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
+0.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
−5.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
+15.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−5.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
+15.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
+10.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+20.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
−14.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
+17.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
−9.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
−3.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
+27.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
−8.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+6.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−7.5
covered 8didn’t cover 7avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsAF
AFW 79-63
−2.5
8
vsTNST
TNSTW 87-79
+7.5
15
@ORU
ORUW 83-60
−28.5
19
vsLIP
LIPW 75-68
−15.5
24
vsSFPA
SFPAW 94-57
−6.5
26
vsTOL
TOLW 87-72
−4.5
30
@COFC
COFCW 96-73
+16.5
3
vsRICH
RICHL 76-84
+3.5
7
@MTSU
MTSUW 83-62
−8.5
13
vsUIC
UICW 87-84
+16.5
16
@EVAN
EVANW 83-78
+13.5
19
@UCI
UCIW 84-58
−8.5
29
@INST
INSTL 80-81
+1.5
1
vsBRAD
BRADW 88-78
+12.5
4
vsSIU
SIUL 67-68
−23.5
over 7under 8avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northern Iowa
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
9-5
64% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-11
21% overs · avg −12.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CSUN | W 86-57 | -9.5 | W +19.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | vs SDST | W 65-58 | -10.5 | L −3.5 | 150.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 14 | vs FUR | W 70-54 | -9.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 18 | vs NIU | W 70-57 | -19.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 22 | @UCI | W 70-69 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 25 | vs LUC | W 72-51 | -8.5 | W +12.5 | 134.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 26 | vs TLSA | L 60-63 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs WICH | L 69-74 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | O 143 |
| Dec 13 | vs OAK | W 75-63 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 17 | @UIC | W 60-54 | -5.5 | W +0.5 | 133.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 22 | @ SMC | L 58-63 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 132.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 29 | vs VAL | W 58-48 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 131.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 1 | vsINST | W 75-66 | -10.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 4 | @EVAN | W 62-48 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 131.5 | U 110 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
+19.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−3.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
+6.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−6.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+3.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
+12.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−5.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
−6.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
+3.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
+0.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
+6.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
+1.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
−1.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
+9.5
covered 9didn’t cover 5avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCSUN
CSUNW 86-57
−10.5
9
vsSDST
SDSTW 65-58
−27.5
14
vsFUR
FURW 70-54
−17.5
18
vsNIU
NIUW 70-57
−19.5
22
@UCI
UCIW 70-69
+0.5
25
vsLUC
LUCW 72-51
−11.5
26
vsTLSA
TLSAL 60-63
−14.5
6
vsWICH
WICHL 69-74
+7.5
13
vsOAK
OAKW 75-63
−11.5
17
@UIC
UICW 60-54
−19.5
22
@SMC
SMCL 58-63
−11.5
29
vsVAL
VALW 58-48
−25.5
1
vsINST
INSTW 75-66
+5.5
4
@EVAN
EVANW 62-48
−21.5
over 3under 11avg −12.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Belmont
12-3 overall · 3-2 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs S Illinois67–68
- Wvs Bradley88–78
- L@ Indiana St80–81
- W@ UC Irvine84–58
- W@ Evansville83–78
3 days since their last game.
Northern Iowa
11-3 overall · 4-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Evansville62–48
- Wvs Indiana St75–66
- Wvs Valparaiso58–48
- L@ Saint Mary's58–63
- W@ UIC60–54
3 days since their last game.