John Hurst Adams Gymnasium · Neutral site
Closing line
M-OH -10.5✓ M-OH covered by 0.5
M-OH -10.5✓ M-OH covered by 0.5Closing total150.5Over by 2.5
| M-OH | This season | UNCG |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 1-6 |
| 2-2 | ATS | 2-5 |
| 3-1 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: M-OH 80–74 UNCG · ✓ M-OH (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 34 | 48 | 82 |
| UNCG | 42 | 29 | 71 |
1st half: M-OH 34, UNCG 42 (UNCG by 8). The model had M-OH by 3.8 and a total of 72.5 (actual 76).
Team stats
| M-OH | UNCG | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-59 47% | Field goals | 23-54 43% |
| 11-34 32% | 3-pointers | 6-22 27% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 19-25 76% |
| 29 6 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 14 | Assists | 3 |
| 9 | Steals | 5 |
| 3 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 18 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 10 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| M-OH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eian Elmer G | 34 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-8 | 2-5 |
| Peter Suder G | 34 | 20 | 7 | 3 | 7-11 | 1-4 |
| Evan Ipsaro G | 33 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Brant Byers F | 24 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 3-6 | 3-6 |
| Antwone Woolfolk F | 17 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Almar Atlason F | 23 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 6-12 | 2-7 |
| Luke Skaljac G | 21 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Tyler Robbins F | 7 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Trey Perry G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| Kyle Waltz F | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Justin Kirby, Leshawn Stowers, Brady Ganley, Ethan Wright, Blake Anderson, Jackson Kotecki, Eli Yofan
| UNCG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lilian Marville G | 31 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-2 |
| Donald Whitehead Jr. G | 31 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-12 | 0-6 |
| Justin Neely F | 30 | 13 | 11 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-1 |
| KJ Younger G | 29 | 14 | 6 | 0 | 5-9 | 2-5 |
| Valentino Pinedo F | 16 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Assane Mandian G | 21 | 11 | 5 | 0 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Noah Norgaard G | 21 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Clinton Efinda F | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Domas Kauzonas F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Braylen Bowman, Chane Bynum, Landon King, Antwann Jones, Jordan Brown, Clyde Bailey II
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketM-OH -10.5
ModelM-OH -6.0
Model edgeUNCG +4.5
L M-OH covered
Total
Market150.5
Model154.8
Model edgeOver 4.3
W Over
Projected score
M-OH 80.4 · UNCG 74.4
M-OH 82 · UNCG 71
Win probability
M-OH 70%
1st half
Spread
M-OH -3.8
UNCG -8.0
Total
72.5
76 points
Projected score
M-OH 38.1 · UNCG 34.4
M-OH 34 · UNCG 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCG -10.5
21 → M-OH
CloseM-OH -10.5
21 pts toward M-OH
Total
Open149.5
▲ 1
Close150.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
M-OH -575 · UNCG +425
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCG -10.5 · closed M-OH -10.5 · moved 21 toward M-OHmodel M-OH -6
model M-OH -6
Opened 149.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155
model 155
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OHlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 2-2 50% | 3-1 75% |
| UNCGlast 7 | 1-6 14% | 2-5 29% | 4-3 57% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Miami OH
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-2
50% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +10.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
ODU
ODUW 87-72
−1.5
15
@
AF
AFW 76-61
+4.5
20
vs
MERC
MERCW 76-71
−10.5
23
vs
UAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsODU
ODUW 87-72
+5.5
15
@AF
AFW 76-61
−6.5
20
vsMERC
MERCW 76-71
+7.5
23
vsUAPB
UAPBW 111-84
+34.5
over 3under 1avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Greensboro
7 games played
Straight up
1-6
14% wins
Against the spread
2-5
29% covers · avg −6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +9.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ KSU | L 64-93 | +18.5 | L −10.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs ELON | L 90-92 | -4.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 12 | @ NCSU | L 64-110 | +30.5 | L −15.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 15 | vs APSU | L 63-69 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 20 | @ QUC | L 94-101 | +7.5 | W +0.5 | 150.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 23 | vs YSU | W 68-62 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 152.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 25 | vs DEL | L 60-73 | -1.5 | L −14.5 | 142.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
−10.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
−6.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
−15.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−7.5
20
@QUC
QUCL 94-101
+0.5
23
vsYSU
YSUW 68-62
+11.5
25
vsDEL
DELL 60-73
−14.5
covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@KSU
KSUL 64-93
+8.5
8
vsELON
ELONL 90-92
+39.5
12
@NCSU
NCSUL 64-110
+20.5
15
vsAPSU
APSUL 63-69
−13.5
20
@QUC
QUCL 94-101
+44.5
23
vsYSU
YSUW 68-62
−22.5
25
vsDEL
DELL 60-73
−9.5
over 4under 3avg +9.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Miami OH
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff111–84
- Wvs Mercyhurst76–71
- W@ Air Force76–61
- Wvs Old Dominion87–72
3 days since their last game.
UNC Greensboro
1-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Delaware60–73
- Wvs Youngstown St68–62
- L@ Queens University Royals94–101
- Lvs Austin Peay63–69
- L@ NC State64–110
1 day since their last game.