Thomas & Mack Center · at UNLV · Conference game
Closing line
UNLV -12.5✓ SJSU covered by 5.5
UNLV -12.5✓ SJSU covered by 5.5Closing total149.5Over by 7.5
 SJSU | This season | UNLV |
|---|---|---|
| 5-17 | Record | 10-12 |
| 11-11 | ATS | 10-12 |
| 12-10 | O/U | 13-9 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SJSU 72–81 UNLV · ✓ UNLV (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 41 | 34 | 75 |
| UNLV | 45 | 37 | 82 |
1st half: SJSU 41, UNLV 45 (UNLV by 4). The model had UNLV by 5.3 and a total of 71.5 (actual 86).
Team stats
| SJSU | UNLV | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-63 38% | Field goals | 30-61 49% |
| 11-24 46% | 3-pointers | 7-22 32% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 15-21 71% |
| 34 11 off | Rebounds | 43 13 off |
| 16 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 4 |
| 4 | Blocks | 7 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 16 | Fouls | 14 |
| 14 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pasha Goodarzi G | 40 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 5-12 | 3-7 |
| Colby Garland G | 40 | 23 | 5 | 2 | 10-25 | 3-6 |
| Adrian Myers G | 39 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 0-8 | 0-4 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 36 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Overstreet F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 26 | 9 | 8 | 0 | 2-7 | 2-3 |
| Japhet Moupadele F | 14 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 3-4 |
Did not play: Christian Wise, Jermaine Washington, Yaphet Moundi, JaVaughn Hannah, Douglas Langford, Damase Coly, Eren Karakaya, Jaden Goodall, Ben Roseborough
| UNLV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dra Gibbs-Lawhorn G | 40 | 24 | 4 | 5 | 10-19 | 4-8 |
| Kimani Hamilton F | 36 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 6-9 | 3-4 |
| Walter Brown F | 35 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Issac Williamson G | 23 | 9 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-4 |
| Emmanuel Stephen C | 15 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyrin Jones F | 24 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 6-8 | 0-0 |
| Al Green G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Howie Fleming Jr. G | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jacob Bannarbie F | 5 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Naas Cunningham F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Myles Che, Mason Abittan, Ladji Dembele, Jalen Cunningham, Xavier Brumfield
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNLV -12.5
ModelUNLV -9.2
Model edgeSJSU +3.3
W SJSU covered
Total
Market149.5
Model152.8
Model edgeOver 3.3
W Over
Projected score
SJSU 71.8 · UNLV 81
SJSU 75 · UNLV 82
Win probability
UNLV 79%
1st half
Spread
UNLV -5.3
UNLV -4.0
Total
71.5
86 points
Projected score
SJSU 33.1 · UNLV 38.4
SJSU 41 · UNLV 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNLV -12.5
no move
CloseUNLV -12.5
No change since the open
Total
Open154.5
▼ 5
Close149.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
SJSU +650 · UNLV -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNLV -12.5 · unchangedmodel UNLV -9
model UNLV -9
Opened 154.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 5 downmodel 153
model 153
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SJSU | 1-9 10% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| UNLV | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
SJSU 2–7 UNLVUNLV leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UNLV has won the last 5 meetings · SJSU 4-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 17, 2025-26 | UNLV 76 @ SJSU 62 | SJSU +7.5 | UNLV W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | UNLV 77 @ SJSU 71 | SJSU +2.5 | UNLV W |
| Jan 4, 2024-25 | SJSU 73 @ UNLV 79 | UNLV -10.5 | SJSU W |
| Mar 2, 2023-24 | SJSU 50 @ UNLV 68 | UNLV -13.5 | UNLV W |
| Jan 27, 2023-24 | UNLV 77 @ SJSU 65 | SJSU +3.5 | UNLV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San José St
22 games played
Straight up
5-17
23% wins
Against the spread
11-11
50% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-10
55% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UTAH | L 75-84 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | @ UCSB | L 74-85 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ MSU | L 60-79 | +24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | vs SOU | W 80-66 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 25 | vs TLSA | L 51-81 | +5.5 | L −24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs LUC | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs UCI | L 63-72 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 5 | vs USD | W 86-69 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 9 | vs LBSU | W 89-83 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs STAN | L 82-86 | +8.5 | W +4.5 | 145.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNM | L 65-88 | +16.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 30 | vs SDSU | L 68-81 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 3 | @ USU | L 78-96 | +22.5 | W +4.5 | 151.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 6 | vs FRES | L 55-70 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 10 | @ GCU | L 58-76 | +16.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 13 | vs AF | W 70-62 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 128.5 | O 132 |
| Jan 17 | vsUNLV | L 62-76 | +7.5 | L −6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @ NEV | L 54-87 | +16.5 | L −16.5 | 137.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 24 | @ WYO | L 62-66 | +13.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 27 | vs BOIS | L 58-89 | +12.5 | L −18.5 | 141.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 31 | vsUNM | L 80-90 | +15.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 7 | @ CSU | L 57-65 | +15.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
+5.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
+8.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−24.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
+10.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−5.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
−1.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+4.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
−6.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
−1.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+4.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−13.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 58-76
−1.5
13
vsAF
AFW 70-62
+2.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVL 62-76
−6.5
20
@NEV
NEVL 54-87
−16.5
24
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
+9.5
27
vsBOIS
BOISL 58-89
−18.5
31
vsUNM
UNML 80-90
+5.5
7
@CSU
CSUL 57-65
+7.5
covered 11didn’t cover 11avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
−4.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
−4.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−17.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
−22.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−4.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
9
vsLBSU
LBSUW 89-83
+30.5
13
vsSTAN
STANL 82-86
+22.5
20
@UNM
UNML 65-88
+0.5
30
vsSDSU
SDSUL 68-81
+7.5
3
@USU
USUL 78-96
+22.5
6
vsFRES
FRESL 55-70
−24.5
10
@GCU
GCUL 58-76
−7.5
13
vsAF
AFW 70-62
+3.5
17
vsUNLV
UNLVL 62-76
−8.5
20
@NEV
NEVL 54-87
+3.5
24
@WYO
WYOL 62-66
−13.5
27
vsBOIS
BOISL 58-89
+5.5
31
vsUNM
UNML 80-90
+21.5
7
@CSU
CSUL 57-65
−16.5
over 12under 10avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNLV
22 games played
Straight up
10-12
45% wins
Against the spread
10-12
45% covers · avg −2.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-9
59% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs UTM | L 81-86 | -16.5 | L −21.5 | 146.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 8 | vs UTC | W 101-69 | -7.5 | W +24.5 | 155.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 11 | vs MONT | L 93-102 | -10.5 | L −19.5 | 157.5 | O 195 |
| Nov 16 | @ MEM | W 92-78 | +9.5 | W +23.5 | 163.5 | O 170 |
| Nov 20 | vs JOES | W 99-85 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 24 | vs MD | L 67-74 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 25 | vs ALA | L 76-115 | +13.5 | L −25.5 | 181.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 27 | vs RUTG | L 65-80 | -4.5 | L −19.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 7 | @STAN | W 75-74 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 13 | vs TNST | L 60-63 | -12.5 | L −15.5 | 161.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 20 | vsFRES | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | U 156 |
| Jan 3 | vsAF | W 67-39 | -14.5 | W +13.5 | 142.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 6 | @WYO | L 66-98 | +4.5 | L −27.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 9 | @CSU | L 62-70 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 13 | vsBOIS | W 89-85 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 174 |
| Jan 17 | @SJSU | W 76-62 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | U 138 |
| Jan 20 | @USU | W 86-76 | +15.5 | W +25.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 24 | vsSDSU | L 71-82 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 27 | vsUNM | L 61-89 | +3.5 | L −24.5 | 155.5 | U 150 |
| Jan 30 | @NEV | L 76-89 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | O 165 |
| Feb 3 | @FRES | L 96-98 | -1.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 7 | vsGCU | W 80-78 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
−21.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+24.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
−19.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+23.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+3.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−4.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
−25.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−19.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
+10.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−15.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
+3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
+13.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
−27.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−1.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+5.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
+6.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+25.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUL 71-82
−7.5
27
vsUNM
UNML 61-89
−24.5
30
@NEV
NEVL 76-89
−5.5
3
@FRES
FRESL 96-98
−3.5
7
vsGCU
GCUW 80-78
+4.5
covered 10didn’t cover 12avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUTM
UTML 81-86
+20.5
8
vsUTC
UTCW 101-69
+14.5
11
vsMONT
MONTL 93-102
+37.5
16
@MEM
MEMW 92-78
+6.5
20
vsJOES
JOESW 99-85
+22.5
24
vsMD
MDL 67-74
−23.5
25
vsALA
ALAL 76-115
+9.5
27
vsRUTG
RUTGL 65-80
−8.5
7
@STAN
STANW 75-74
−15.5
13
vsTNST
TNSTL 60-63
−38.5
20
vsFRES
FRESW 84-72
−3.5
3
vsAF
AFW 67-39
−36.5
6
@WYO
WYOL 66-98
+9.5
9
@CSU
CSUL 62-70
−19.5
13
vsBOIS
BOISW 89-85
+23.5
17
@SJSU
SJSUW 76-62
−8.5
20
@USU
USUW 86-76
+5.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUL 71-82
+3.5
27
vsUNM
UNML 61-89
−5.5
30
@NEV
NEVL 76-89
+17.5
3
@FRES
FRESL 96-98
+40.5
7
vsGCU
GCUW 80-78
+9.5
over 13under 9avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San José St
5-17 overall · 1-11 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Colorado St57–65
- Lvs New Mexico80–90
- Lvs Boise St58–89
- L@ Wyoming62–66
- L@ Nevada54–87
3 days since their last game.
UNLV
10-12 overall · 6-6 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Grand Canyon80–78
- L@ Fresno St96–98
- L@ Nevada76–89
- Lvs New Mexico61–89
- Lvs San Diego St71–82
3 days since their last game.