Burr Gymnasium · at Howard · Conference game
Closing line
HOW -14.5✓ MORG covered by 15.5
HOW -14.5✓ MORG covered by 15.5Closing total148.5Over by 6.5
 MORG | This season | HOW |
|---|---|---|
| 3-13 | Record | 8-8 |
| 7-9 | ATS | 9-7 |
| 7-9 | O/U | 5-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MORG 69–82 HOW · ✗ HOW (87%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MORG | 36 | 42 | 78 |
| HOW | 42 | 35 | 77 |
1st half: MORG 36, HOW 42 (HOW by 6). The model had HOW by 7.5 and a total of 70.5 (actual 78).
Team stats
| MORG | HOW | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-70 34% | Field goals | 21-68 31% |
| 7-21 33% | 3-pointers | 3-18 17% |
| 23-29 79% | Free throws | 32-40 80% |
| 40 18 off | Rebounds | 52 25 off |
| 11 | Assists | 10 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 24 | Fouls | 23 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| MORG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Elijah Davis G | 40 | 16 | 3 | 7 | 6-20 | 0-0 |
| Rob Lawson G | 39 | 24 | 4 | 1 | 8-16 | 3-5 |
| Alfred Worrell Jr. G | 31 | 23 | 1 | 2 | 4-16 | 3-10 |
| Christian Meeks F | 26 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Marland Harris F | 25 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Eugene Alvin F | 15 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Walter Peggs Jr. G | 12 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
| David Bumpass G | 11 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Dallas James C | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Manok Lual, Breon Barnett, Jayden Socka, Matar Wade, Trent Edwards, Christian Oliver
| HOW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Gillus G | 36 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2-8 | 0-1 |
| Bryce Harris G | 34 | 23 | 11 | 0 | 5-16 | 0-2 |
| Cedric Taylor III G | 34 | 29 | 6 | 2 | 8-20 | 1-5 |
| Ose Okojie G | 27 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Travelle Bryson G | 23 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alex Cotton G | 25 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 5-13 | 2-6 |
| Calvin Robins Jr. F | 9 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Danas Kazakevicius C | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Brown G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| BJ Powell G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ed Holland III G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Stefan Isailovic, Shane Frazier, Julian Johnson, River Smith, Jeremiah Johnson
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketHOW -14.5
ModelHOW -12.7
Model edgeMORG +1.8
W MORG covered
Total
Market148.5
Model150.6
Model edgeOver 2.1
W Over
Projected score
MORG 68.9 · HOW 81.7
MORG 78 · HOW 77
Win probability
HOW 87%
1st half
Spread
HOW -7.5
HOW -6.0
Total
70.5
78 points
Projected score
MORG 31.5 · HOW 39
MORG 36 · HOW 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOW -12.5
2 → HOW
CloseHOW -14.5
2 pts toward HOW
Total
Open143.5
▲ 5
Close148.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
MORG +850 · HOW -1450
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOW -12.5 · closed HOW -14.5 · moved 2 toward HOWmodel HOW -12.5
model HOW -12.5
Opened 143.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 5 upmodel 150.5
model 150.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MORG | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% |
| HOW | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
MORG 3–7 HOWHOW leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · MORG 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | MORG 91 vs HOW 90 | HOW -3.5 | MORG W |
| Feb 22, 2024-25 | HOW 87 @ MORG 81 | MORG +1.5 | HOW W |
| Jan 11, 2024-25 | MORG 95 @ HOW 100 | HOW -8.5 | MORG W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | MORG 65 vs HOW 78 | HOW -5.5 | HOW W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | MORG 72 @ HOW 78 | HOW -10.5 | MORG W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Morgan St
16 games played
Straight up
3-13
19% wins
Against the spread
7-9
44% covers · avg −4.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-9
44% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GTWN | L 70-87 | +27.5 | W +10.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMBC | L 79-81 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 15 | @ MERC | L 72-86 | +6.5 | L −7.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 18 | vs NCAT | L 73-79 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Nov 21 | @ ODU | L 56-88 | +11.5 | L −20.5 | 156.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 25 | vs DREX | L 66-71 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LONG | L 80-84 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 9 | @ DEP | L 49-92 | +21.5 | L −21.5 | 150.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 13 | vs NIA | W 81-73 | -1.5 | W +6.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 19 | @ CAL | L 50-97 | +26.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 21 | @ SF | L 64-94 | +25.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 23 | @ LMU | L 56-83 | +23.5 | L −3.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 3 | @ UMES | L 49-66 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | vs SCST | W 72-67 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 12 | vs NCCU | L 78-89 | +3.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ DSU | W 80-79 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+10.5
11
vsUMBC
UMBCL 79-81
+2.5
15
@MERC
MERCL 72-86
−7.5
18
vsNCAT
NCATL 73-79
−3.5
21
@ODU
ODUL 56-88
−20.5
25
vsDREX
DREXL 66-71
+0.5
6
vsLONG
LONGL 80-84
+1.5
9
@DEP
DEPL 49-92
−21.5
13
vsNIA
NIAW 81-73
+6.5
19
@CAL
CALL 50-97
−20.5
21
@SF
SFL 64-94
−4.5
23
@LMU
LMUL 56-83
−3.5
3
@UMES
UMESL 49-66
−10.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 72-67
+0.5
12
vsNCCU
NCCUL 78-89
−7.5
17
@DSU
DSUW 80-79
+4.5
covered 7didn’t cover 9avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GTWN
GTWNL 70-87
+2.5
11
vsUMBC
UMBCL 79-81
−2.5
15
@MERC
MERCL 72-86
+11.5
18
vsNCAT
NCATL 73-79
−9.5
21
@ODU
ODUL 56-88
−12.5
25
vsDREX
DREXL 66-71
−6.5
6
vsLONG
LONGL 80-84
+9.5
9
@DEP
DEPL 49-92
−9.5
13
vsNIA
NIAW 81-73
+13.5
19
@CAL
CALL 50-97
−4.5
21
@SF
SFL 64-94
+12.5
23
@LMU
LMUL 56-83
−5.5
3
@UMES
UMESL 49-66
−23.5
10
vsSCST
SCSTW 72-67
−8.5
12
vsNCCU
NCCUL 78-89
+25.5
17
@DSU
DSUW 80-79
+22.5
over 7under 9avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Howard
16 games played
Straight up
8-8
50% wins
Against the spread
9-7
56% covers · avg +2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-11
31% overs · avg −6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MIZ | L 67-88 | +20.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 9 | vs GRAM | L 70-73 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 152.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | vs ALCN | W 72-64 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 19 | @ STET | L 60-64 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 22 | vsNIA | W 80-70 | -4.5 | W +5.5 | 138.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | @ DUKE | L 56-93 | +43.5 | W +6.5 | 154.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ MSM | L 75-79 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 9 | vsNCAT | W 73-69 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 13 | vs HAMP | W 61-57 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 142.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 16 | @DREX | W 74-66 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 20 | @ UNCW | W 67-66 | +15.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | @ NU | L 60-80 | +19.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 3 | @SCST | L 57-58 | -8.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 10 | @UMES | L 57-69 | -2.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 12 | vsDSU | W 84-58 | -8.5 | W +17.5 | 129.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 17 | @NCCU | W 83-69 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−0.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−7.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
+1.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−5.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+5.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
+6.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
−1.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
+6.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
+6.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+14.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
+16.5
30
@NU
NUL 60-80
−0.5
3
@SCST
SCSTL 57-58
−9.5
10
@UMES
UMESL 57-69
−14.5
12
vsDSU
DSUW 84-58
+17.5
17
@NCCU
NCCUW 83-69
+11.5
covered 9didn’t cover 7avg +2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMIZ
MIZL 67-88
−3.5
9
vsGRAM
GRAML 70-73
−9.5
13
vsALCN
ALCNW 72-64
−18.5
19
@STET
STETL 60-64
−25.5
22
vsNIA
NIAW 80-70
+11.5
23
@DUKE
DUKEL 56-93
−5.5
29
@MSM
MSML 75-79
+7.5
9
vsNCAT
NCATW 73-69
−7.5
13
vsHAMP
HAMPW 61-57
−24.5
16
@DREX
DREXW 74-66
+1.5
20
@UNCW
UNCWW 67-66
−8.5
30
@NU
NUL 60-80
−8.5
3
@SCST
SCSTL 57-58
−29.5
10
@UMES
UMESL 57-69
−4.5
12
vsDSU
DSUW 84-58
+12.5
17
@NCCU
NCCUW 83-69
+10.5
over 5under 11avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Morgan St
3-13 overall · 2-2 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Delaware St80–79
- Lvs NC Central78–89
- Wvs SC State72–67
- L@ MD Eastern49–66
- L@ LMU56–83
A week or more of rest.
Howard
8-8 overall · 2-2 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ NC Central83–69
- Wvs Delaware St84–58
- L@ MD Eastern57–69
- L@ SC State57–58
- L@ Northwestern60–80
A week or more of rest.