John M. Belk Arena · at Davidson · Conference game
Closing line
SLU -8.5✓ SLU covered by 0.5
SLU -8.5✓ SLU covered by 0.5Closing total151.5Over by 21.5
| SLU | This season | DAV |
|---|---|---|
| 20-1 | Record | 12-8 |
| 13-8 | ATS | 10-10 |
| 11-10 | O/U | 9-11 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SLU 80–70 DAV · ✓ SLU (79%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLU | 41 | 50 | 91 |
| DAV | 46 | 36 | 82 |
1st half: SLU 41, DAV 46 (DAV by 5). The model had SLU by 5.7 and a total of 70.1 (actual 87).
Team stats
| SLU | DAV | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-59 51% | Field goals | 28-63 44% |
| 12-27 44% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 19-26 73% | Free throws | 16-21 76% |
| 41 12 off | Rebounds | 30 10 off |
| 16 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 5 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 6 |
Players
| SLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Robbie Avila C | 30 | 17 | 5 | 6 | 5-14 | 1-8 |
| Trey Green G | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 3-7 |
| Amari McCottry G | 27 | 14 | 9 | 3 | 6-7 | 1-1 |
| Dion Brown G | 24 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Quentin Jones G | 17 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Ishan Sharma F | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Brady Dunlap F | 22 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 6-7 | 6-6 |
| Kellen Thames G | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Paul Otieno F | 13 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Badara Diakite, Luke Laczkowski, Cam Hutson, Dylan Warlick, Jax Kerr, Isaac Holmes, Jaden Schertz, Kalu Anya
| DAV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Parker Friedrichsen G | 30 | 15 | 0 | 0 | 4-10 | 3-6 |
| Sam Brown G | 30 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2-12 | 1-7 |
| Josh Scovens F | 28 | 17 | 10 | 3 | 7-10 | 1-1 |
| Devin Brown G | 22 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 4-9 | 3-7 |
| Ian Platteeuw C | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roberts Blums G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-5 |
| Sean Logan F | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Hunter Adam G | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| JaQualon Roberts F | 8 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Manie Joses F | 8 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nick Coval G | 8 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: John Nowland, RJ Greer, Phillip Kavu, Joe Hurlburt, Brock Matheny
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSLU -8.5
ModelSLU -9.3
Model edgeSLU +0.8
W SLU covered
Total
Market151.5
Model149.7
Model edgeUnder 1.8
L Over
Projected score
SLU 79.5 · DAV 70.2
SLU 91 · DAV 82
Win probability
SLU 79%
1st half
Spread
SLU -5.7
DAV -5.0
Total
70.1
87 points
Projected score
SLU 37.9 · DAV 32.2
SLU 41 · DAV 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSLU -8.5
no move
CloseSLU -8.5
No change since the open
Total
Open147.5
▲ 4
Close151.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
SLU -485 · DAV +370
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SLU -8.5 · unchangedmodel SLU -9.5
model SLU -9.5
Opened 147.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 4 upmodel 149.5
model 149.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SLU | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| DAV | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
SLU 4–3 DAVSLU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · SLU has won the last 2 meetings · SLU 4-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2024-25 | DAV 75 vs SLU 83 | SLU -3.5 | SLU W |
| Feb 25, 2024-25 | SLU 57 @ DAV 56 | DAV -1.5 | SLU W |
| Jan 24, 2023-24 | DAV 84 @ SLU 61 | SLU -1.5 | DAV W |
| Feb 15, 2022-23 | DAV 65 @ SLU 78 | SLU -6.5 | SLU W |
| Jan 27, 2022-23 | SLU 74 @ DAV 70 | DAV +2.5 | SLU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Saint Louis
21 games played
Straight up
20-1
95% wins
Against the spread
13-8
62% covers · avg +6.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-10
52% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SEMO | W 92-67 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 6 | vs CHST | W 108-86 | -30.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 10 | vs LIN | W 109-66 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 165.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 15 | vs GCU | W 78-64 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 167.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 21 | vs PFW | W 91-60 | -19.5 | W +11.5 | 166.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 27 | vs SCU | W 71-70 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 158.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 28 | vs STAN | L 77-78 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 160.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 2 | @ LMU | W 91-70 | -7.5 | W +13.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 7 | vs CMU | W 107-65 | -24.5 | W +17.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 13 | vs SF | W 85-75 | -12.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs BCU | W 112-53 | -26.5 | W +32.5 | 157.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 21 | vs UNH | W 93-79 | -34.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 31 | vs JOES | W 102-79 | -19.5 | W +3.5 | 161.5 | O 181 |
| Jan 7 | @ VCU | W 71-62 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 171.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @ LAS | W 84-72 | -17.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 14 | vs FOR | W 78-56 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 154.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 17 | vs RICH | W 88-63 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 162.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 20 | @ DUQ | W 81-77 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 23 | @ SBU | W 97-62 | -8.5 | W +26.5 | 159.5 | U 159 |
| Jan 27 | vs GW | W 79-76 | -10.5 | L −7.5 | 167.5 | U 155 |
| Jan 30 | vs DAY | W 102-71 | -9.5 | W +21.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
−8.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+18.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
+5.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
+11.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−0.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−2.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+13.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+17.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
−2.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+32.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
−20.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+3.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
+10.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
−5.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
+4.5
17
vsRICH
RICHW 88-63
+10.5
20
@DUQ
DUQW 81-77
−4.5
23
@SBU
SBUW 97-62
+26.5
27
vsGW
GWW 79-76
−7.5
30
vsDAY
DAYW 102-71
+21.5
covered 13didn’t cover 8avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
+38.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+9.5
15
vsGCU
GCUW 78-64
−25.5
21
vsPFW
PFWW 91-60
−15.5
27
vsSCU
SCUW 71-70
−17.5
28
vsSTAN
STANL 77-78
−5.5
2
@LMU
LMUW 91-70
+10.5
7
vsCMU
CMUW 107-65
+11.5
13
vsSF
SFW 85-75
+4.5
17
vsBCU
BCUW 112-53
+7.5
21
vsUNH
UNHW 93-79
+14.5
31
vsJOES
JOESW 102-79
+19.5
7
@VCU
VCUW 71-62
−38.5
10
@LAS
LASW 84-72
+3.5
14
vsFOR
FORW 78-56
−20.5
17
vsRICH
RICHW 88-63
−11.5
20
@DUQ
DUQW 81-77
−7.5
23
@SBU
SBUW 97-62
−0.5
27
vsGW
GWW 79-76
−12.5
30
vsDAY
DAYW 102-71
+21.5
over 11under 10avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Davidson
20 games played
Straight up
12-8
60% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs WSU | W 85-69 | -4.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 11 | @ CLT | W 62-55 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 15 | vs BGSU | W 91-87 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 21 | vs BC | W 59-49 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 23 | vs USU | L 60-94 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 147.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 28 | vs NCAT | W 90-74 | -13.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 4 | vs CIT | W 79-63 | -18.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 7 | vs SMC | L 61-70 | +8.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 13 | vs MERC | W 80-47 | -11.5 | W +21.5 | 132.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 18 | vs TEM | L 63-68 | -5.5 | L −10.5 | 141.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 22 | @ KU | L 61-90 | +14.5 | L −14.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 30 | vsDUQ | L 83-89 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 3 | @JOES | W 62-56 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Jan 7 | @ LUC | W 79-64 | -1.5 | W +13.5 | 136.5 | O 143 |
| Jan 10 | vs URI | L 45-70 | -2.5 | L −27.5 | 134.5 | U 115 |
| Jan 14 | @GW | W 84-79 | +9.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 21 | vsFOR | W 68-63 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 24 | vsVCU | L 69-75 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 28 | @ GMU | L 52-60 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 31 | @RICH | W 79-54 | +1.5 | W +26.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+11.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
+8.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
−0.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
+11.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
−24.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+2.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
−2.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−0.5
13
vsMERC
MERCW 80-47
+21.5
18
vsTEM
TEML 63-68
−10.5
22
@KU
KUL 61-90
−14.5
30
vsDUQ
DUQL 83-89
−8.5
3
@JOES
JOESW 62-56
+4.5
7
@LUC
LUCW 79-64
+13.5
10
vsURI
URIL 45-70
−27.5
14
@GW
GWW 84-79
+14.5
21
vsFOR
FORW 68-63
+0.5
24
vsVCU
VCUL 69-75
−0.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−1.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 79-54
+26.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsWSU
WSUW 85-69
+0.5
11
@CLT
CLTW 62-55
−26.5
15
vsBGSU
BGSUW 91-87
+33.5
21
vsBC
BCW 59-49
−32.5
23
vsUSU
USUL 60-94
+6.5
28
vsNCAT
NCATW 90-74
+18.5
4
vsCIT
CITW 79-63
+4.5
7
vsSMC
SMCL 61-70
−6.5
13
vsMERC
MERCW 80-47
−5.5
18
vsTEM
TEML 63-68
−10.5
22
@KU
KUL 61-90
+11.5
30
vsDUQ
DUQL 83-89
+21.5
3
@JOES
JOESW 62-56
−21.5
7
@LUC
LUCW 79-64
+6.5
10
vsURI
URIL 45-70
−19.5
14
@GW
GWW 84-79
+12.5
21
vsFOR
FORW 68-63
−4.5
24
vsVCU
VCUL 69-75
−4.5
28
@GMU
GMUL 52-60
−22.5
31
@RICH
RICHW 79-54
−7.5
over 9under 11avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Saint Louis
20-1 overall · 9-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Dayton102–71
- Wvs G Washington79–76
- W@ St Bonaventure97–62
- W@ Duquesne81–77
- Wvs Richmond88–63
4 days since their last game.
Davidson
12-8 overall · 5-4 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Richmond79–54
- L@ George Mason52–60
- Lvs VCU69–75
- Wvs Fordham68–63
- W@ G Washington84–79
3 days since their last game.