John Glaser Arena · at La Salle · Conference game
Closing line
GMU -8.5✓ LAS covered by 3.5
GMU -8.5✓ LAS covered by 3.5Closing total134.5Over by 20.5
| GMU | This season | LAS |
|---|---|---|
| 11-1 | Record | 3-9 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 4-8 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GMU 72–65 LAS · ✓ GMU (75%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 35 | 45 | 80 |
| LAS | 42 | 33 | 75 |
1st half: GMU 35, LAS 42 (LAS by 7). The model had GMU by 4.7 and a total of 64.2 (actual 77).
Team stats
| GMU | LAS | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-56 48% | Field goals | 24-62 39% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 8-25 32% |
| 21-28 75% | Free throws | 19-27 70% |
| 36 8 off | Rebounds | 39 14 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 0 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 0 | Turnovers | 4 |
| 18 | Fouls | 22 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| GMU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kory Mincy G | 33 | 21 | 2 | 4 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Jahari Long G | 32 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Riley Allenspach F | 26 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 7-11 | 1-3 |
| Malik Presley G | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Masai Troutman G | 21 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Fatt Hill G | 28 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Emmanuel Kanga F | 18 | 17 | 8 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Stas Sivka F | 12 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Nick Ellington F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Devin Booker G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ben Woodward, T.J. Prosise, Brayden O'Connor, Dola Adebayo, Isaiah Skinn, Ryan-Preston Mendy
| LAS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaeden Marshall G | 35 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 4-11 | 4-8 |
| Jaden Johnson G | 26 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 2-6 | 0-1 |
| Josiah Harris F | 24 | 16 | 10 | 0 | 4-9 | 0-0 |
| Truth Harris G | 23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-9 | 0-7 |
| Rob Dockery G | 14 | 10 | 7 | 1 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jerome Brewer Jr. F | 31 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 8-13 | 3-6 |
| Ashton Walker G | 20 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Edwin Daniel F | 14 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Eric Acker G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bowyn Beatty F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Noah Collier, Damon Strand, Justin Archer, Josue Grullon, Nas Hart, Max Lipacis, Arlan Masharaliyev
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketGMU -8.5
ModelGMU -7.6
Model edgeLAS +0.9
W LAS covered
Total
Market134.5
Model136.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
GMU 72.3 · LAS 64.7
GMU 80 · LAS 75
Win probability
GMU 75%
1st half
Spread
GMU -4.7
LAS -7.0
Total
64.2
77 points
Projected score
GMU 34.4 · LAS 29.8
GMU 35 · LAS 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenGMU -7.5
1 → GMU
CloseGMU -8.5
1 pt toward GMU
Total
Open137.5
▼ 3
Close134.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
GMU -455 · LAS +350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened GMU -7.5 · closed GMU -8.5 · moved 1 toward GMUmodel GMU -7.5
model GMU -7.5
Opened 137.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 3 downmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GMU | 9-1 90% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| LAS | 1-9 10% | 2-8 20% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GMU 3–1 LASGMU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · GMU has won the last 3 meetings · GMU 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2024-25 | LAS 62 @ GMU 69 | GMU -12.5 | LAS W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | GMU 77 @ LAS 62 | LAS +3.5 | GMU W |
| Feb 18, 2022-23 | LAS 66 @ GMU 70 | GMU -4.5 | LAS W |
| Feb 5, 2021-22 | GMU 78 @ LAS 83 | LAS +2 | LAS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
George Mason
12 games played
Straight up
11-1
92% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WOF | W 70-46 | -14.5 | W +9.5 | 140.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 7 | vs WIN | W 96-90 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 146.5 | O 186 |
| Nov 15 | vs UNH | W 61-44 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 105 |
| Nov 18 | vs JAX | W 79-57 | -16.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs OHIO | W 92-69 | -7.5 | W +15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs FAU | W 74-65 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs JMU | W 82-66 | -12.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 2 | vs COR | W 99-81 | -10.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 6 | @ VT | L 62-73 | +4.5 | L −6.5 | 144.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 13 | vs ODU | W 73-61 | -16.5 | L −4.5 | 144.5 | U 134 |
| Dec 21 | vs L-MD | W 86-79 | -23.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 28 | vs PENN | W 83-79 | -16.5 | L −12.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
+9.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
−3.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−7.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
+5.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+15.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
+4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+3.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+7.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−6.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−4.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
−16.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
−12.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWOF
WOFW 70-46
−24.5
7
vsWIN
WINW 96-90
+39.5
15
vsUNH
UNHW 61-44
−39.5
18
vsJAX
JAXW 79-57
−0.5
24
vsOHIO
OHIOW 92-69
+18.5
25
vsFAU
FAUW 74-65
−4.5
29
vsJMU
JMUW 82-66
+6.5
2
vsCOR
CORW 99-81
+24.5
6
@VT
VTL 62-73
−9.5
13
vsODU
ODUW 73-61
−10.5
21
vsL-MD
L-MDW 86-79
+18.5
28
vsPENN
PENNW 83-79
+15.5
over 6under 6avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
La Salle
12 games played
Straight up
3-9
25% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs COPP | W 87-59 | -17.5 | W +10.5 | 139.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 8 | vs MONM | W 73-60 | -4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 11 | @ TEM | L 63-90 | +6.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 15 | vs PSU | L 69-83 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs VILL | L 55-70 | +12.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 28 | vs HOF | L 58-63 | +3.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @PENN | L 71-73 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 30 | vs MRMK | L 60-66 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 132.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 6 | vs DREX | W 69-64 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 129.5 | O 133 |
| Dec 13 | @ LIU | L 60-70 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 19 | @ HPU | L 72-84 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 21 | @ MICH | L 50-102 | +40.5 | L −11.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-59
+10.5
8
vsMONM
MONMW 73-60
+8.5
11
@TEM
TEML 63-90
−20.5
15
vsPSU
PSUL 69-83
−5.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 55-70
−2.5
28
vsHOF
HOFL 58-63
−1.5
29
@PENN
PENNL 71-73
−0.5
30
vsMRMK
MRMKL 60-66
−8.5
6
vsDREX
DREXW 69-64
+6.5
13
@LIU
LIUL 60-70
−7.5
19
@HPU
HPUL 72-84
+1.5
21
@MICH
MICHL 50-102
−11.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsCOPP
COPPW 87-59
+6.5
8
vsMONM
MONMW 73-60
−10.5
11
@TEM
TEML 63-90
+4.5
15
vsPSU
PSUL 69-83
+6.5
19
vsVILL
VILLL 55-70
−19.5
28
vsHOF
HOFL 58-63
−17.5
29
@PENN
PENNL 71-73
−5.5
30
vsMRMK
MRMKL 60-66
−6.5
6
vsDREX
DREXW 69-64
+3.5
13
@LIU
LIUL 60-70
−13.5
19
@HPU
HPUL 72-84
+6.5
21
@MICH
MICHL 50-102
−3.5
over 5under 7avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
George Mason
11-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn83–79
- Wvs Loyola MD86–79
- Wvs Old Dominion73–61
- L@ Virginia Tech62–73
- Wvs Cornell99–81
3 days since their last game.
La Salle
3-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan50–102
- L@ High Point72–84
- L@ Long Island60–70
- Wvs Drexel69–64
- Lvs Merrimack60–66
A week or more of rest.