Williams Arena at Minges Coliseum · at East Carolina · Conference game
Closing line
TULN -1.5✓ TULN covered by 7.5
TULN -1.5✓ TULN covered by 7.5Closing total145.5Over by 3.5
| TULN | This season | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-4 | Record | 4-8 |
| 4-8 | ATS | 3-9 |
| 6-6 | O/U | 5-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TULN 75–73 ECU · ✓ TULN (55%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TULN | 37 | 42 | 79 |
| ECU | 39 | 31 | 70 |
1st half: TULN 37, ECU 39 (ECU by 2). The model had TULN by 1.0 and a total of 69.4 (actual 76).
Team stats
| TULN | ECU | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-53 47% | Field goals | 26-64 41% |
| 11-23 48% | 3-pointers | 6-20 30% |
| 18-27 67% | Free throws | 12-19 63% |
| 39 13 off | Rebounds | 35 14 off |
| 15 | Assists | 12 |
| 6 | Steals | 6 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 18 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| TULN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Asher Woods G | 38 | 19 | 5 | 4 | 6-15 | 2-4 |
| Rowan Brumbaugh G | 35 | 19 | 7 | 4 | 4-7 | 2-4 |
| Scotty Middleton F | 35 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 6-10 | 4-7 |
| Tyler Ringgold F | 33 | 16 | 5 | 3 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Curtis Williams Jr. G | 26 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-8 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josiah Moore G | 16 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Percy Daniels C | 12 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| KJ Greene G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Robert Moore, Vasilije Kuridza, Joseph Teich, Luke Rasmussen, Luke Cronin, Jake Shapiro, Davion Bradford
| ECU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Riley G | 40 | 21 | 7 | 2 | 8-19 | 2-4 |
| Tybo Bailey G | 35 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 4-14 | 2-7 |
| Corey Caulker G | 32 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 3-8 | 0-3 |
| Giovanni Emejuru C | 26 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Luke Davis F | 18 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Mbeng G | 18 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Reid Cason F | 12 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Demitri Gardner G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| Patrick D'Arcy G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Jake Baker, Daithi Quinn, Trevion LaBeaux, Vito Perkovic, Ladontae Felton, Jayshayne Woodard, Grant Smith, Eli DeLaurier
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTULN -1.5
ModelTULN -1.5
Model edge—
TULN covered
Total
Market145.5
Model148.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
TULN 74.8 · ECU 73.3
TULN 79 · ECU 70
Win probability
TULN 55%
1st half
Spread
TULN -1.0
ECU -2.0
Total
69.4
76 points
Projected score
TULN 35.2 · ECU 34.2
TULN 37 · ECU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTULN -1.5
no move
CloseTULN -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▲ 1
Close145.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
TULN -130 · ECU +110
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TULN -1.5 · unchangedmodel TULN -1.5 matches the line
model TULN -1.5 = line ✓
Opened 144.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 upmodel 148
model 148
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TULN | 6-4 60% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% |
| ECU | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 7 since 2021-22
TULN 3–4 ECUECU leads · 7 games since 2021-22 · TULN 2-5 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 6, 2024-25 | TULN 64 @ ECU 73 | ECU -5.5 | ECU W |
| Feb 19, 2024-25 | ECU 81 @ TULN 86 | TULN -1.5 | TULN W |
| Feb 18, 2023-24 | TULN 67 @ ECU 81 | ECU -2.5 | ECU W |
| Mar 3, 2022-23 | ECU 78 @ TULN 81 | TULN -12.5 | ECU W |
| Mar 1, 2022-23 | TULN 68 @ ECU 83 | ECU +6.5 | ECU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Tulane
12 games played
Straight up
8-4
67% wins
Against the spread
4-8
33% covers · avg −6.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-6
50% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SAM | W 85-72 | -7.5 | W +5.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 8 | vs TXST | W 79-71 | -12.5 | L −4.5 | 146.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 11 | @ UL | W 66-62 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 14 | vs NOLA | L 63-85 | -11.5 | L −33.5 | 153.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 21 | vs USU | L 75-96 | +8.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 23 | vs BC | W 93-90 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 28 | vs NICH | W 82-72 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Dec 2 | vs GRAM | W 65-63 | -11.5 | L −9.5 | 148.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 6 | vs AKR | L 71-88 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 162.5 | U 159 |
| Dec 13 | vs UCSD | L 67-93 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs LT | W 61-53 | -4.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 20 | vs PRST | W 63-61 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 124 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSAM
SAMW 85-72
+5.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 79-71
−4.5
11
@UL
ULW 66-62
−1.5
14
vsNOLA
NOLAL 63-85
−33.5
21
vsUSU
USUL 75-96
−12.5
23
vsBC
BCW 93-90
+5.5
28
vsNICH
NICHW 82-72
+1.5
2
vsGRAM
GRAMW 65-63
−9.5
6
vsAKR
AKRL 71-88
−10.5
13
vsUCSD
UCSDL 67-93
−20.5
17
vsLT
LTW 61-53
+3.5
20
vsPRST
PRSTW 63-61
−0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 8avg −6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSAM
SAMW 85-72
+2.5
8
vsTXST
TXSTW 79-71
+3.5
11
@UL
ULW 66-62
−7.5
14
vsNOLA
NOLAL 63-85
−5.5
21
vsUSU
USUL 75-96
+19.5
23
vsBC
BCW 93-90
+42.5
28
vsNICH
NICHW 82-72
+5.5
2
vsGRAM
GRAMW 65-63
−20.5
6
vsAKR
AKRL 71-88
−3.5
13
vsUCSD
UCSDL 67-93
+10.5
17
vsLT
LTW 61-53
−26.5
20
vsPRST
PRSTW 63-61
−21.5
over 6under 6avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
East Carolina
12 games played
Straight up
4-8
33% wins
Against the spread
3-9
25% covers · avg −8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-7
42% overs · avg +1.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs GASO | W 92-89 | -5.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 8 | @ RICH | L 72-87 | +5.5 | L −9.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 18 | @ UNCW | L 60-85 | +6.5 | L −18.5 | 145.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 21 | vs CHSO | L 65-77 | -13.5 | L −25.5 | 157.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs MSU | L 56-89 | +19.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs SBU | L 58-67 | +10.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 2 | vs UMES | W 68-56 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | vs UNCG | L 78-82 | -7.5 | L −11.5 | 139.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 11 | vs APP | L 54-67 | -4.5 | L −17.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 14 | vs BUF | W 73-70 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 17 | vs PRES | W 74-53 | -4.5 | W +16.5 | 131.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 22 | @ UNC | L 51-99 | +25.5 | L −22.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
−2.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
−9.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−18.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−25.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
−13.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
+1.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−0.5
6
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-82
−11.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 54-67
−17.5
14
vsBUF
BUFW 73-70
+1.5
17
vsPRES
PRESW 74-53
+16.5
22
@UNC
UNCL 51-99
−22.5
covered 3didn’t cover 9avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsGASO
GASOW 92-89
+29.5
8
@RICH
RICHL 72-87
+15.5
18
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-85
−0.5
21
vsCHSO
CHSOL 65-77
−15.5
25
vsMSU
MSUL 56-89
+4.5
27
vsSBU
SBUL 58-67
−19.5
2
vsUMES
UMESW 68-56
−3.5
6
vsUNCG
UNCGL 78-82
+20.5
11
vsAPP
APPL 54-67
−9.5
14
vsBUF
BUFW 73-70
−3.5
17
vsPRES
PRESW 74-53
−4.5
22
@UNC
UNCL 51-99
+5.5
over 5under 7avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Tulane
8-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Portland St63–61
- Wvs Louisiana Tech61–53
- Lvs UC San Diego67–93
- Lvs Akron71–88
- Wvs Grambling65–63
A week or more of rest.
East Carolina
4-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ North Carolina51–99
- Wvs Presbyterian74–53
- Wvs Buffalo73–70
- Lvs App State54–67
- Lvs UNC Greensboro78–82
A week or more of rest.