Convocation Center (OH) · at Ohio
Closing line
OHIO -3.5✓ OHIO covered by 3.5
OHIO -3.5✓ OHIO covered by 3.5Closing total157.5Over by 11.5
 MRSH | This season | OHIO |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 2-6 |
| 4-4 | ATS | 3-5 |
| 3-5 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MRSH 78–82 OHIO · ✓ OHIO (64%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSH | 34 | 47 | 81 |
| OHIO | 40 | 48 | 88 |
1st half: MRSH 34, OHIO 40 (OHIO by 6). The model had OHIO by 2.3 and a total of 74.4 (actual 74).
Team stats
| MRSH | OHIO | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-63 48% | Field goals | 29-60 48% |
| 6-24 25% | 3-pointers | 10-24 42% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 20-29 69% |
| 40 13 off | Rebounds | 31 9 off |
| 14 | Assists | 13 |
| 2 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 22 | Fouls | 16 |
| 44 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| MRSH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jalen Speer G | 33 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| Wyatt Fricks F | 30 | 18 | 8 | 1 | 8-13 | 2-4 |
| Noah Otshudi G | 30 | 21 | 1 | 3 | 8-11 | 1-2 |
| Caleb Hollenbeck G | 29 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Matt Van Komen C | 24 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Wilson Dubinsky G | 19 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Shamarrie Hugie G | 11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Erich Harding F | 10 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Landen Joseph G | 9 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Drew Fuquay F | 5 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryce Slay, Grant Moore, Will Moore, Kaiden White, Kai Spears
| OHIO | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jackson Paveletzke G | 37 | 22 | 1 | 3 | 8-15 | 1-5 |
| Aidan Hadaway F | 34 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7-13 | 4-7 |
| Ajay Sheldon G | 26 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-7 | 3-6 |
| Javan Simmons F | 23 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| JJ Kelly G | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Elijah Elliott G | 25 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jalen Breath F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Dior Conners G | 7 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Kiir Kuany F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jesse Burris G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Zay Mosley, Carter Reese, Jordan Fisher, Chase Boals, Ayden Evans
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketOHIO -3.5
ModelOHIO -4.0
Model edgeOHIO +0.5
W OHIO covered
Total
Market157.5
Model159.0
Model edgeOver 1.5
W Over
Projected score
MRSH 77.5 · OHIO 81.5
MRSH 81 · OHIO 88
Win probability
OHIO 64%
1st half
Spread
OHIO -2.3
OHIO -6.0
Total
74.4
74 points
Projected score
MRSH 36.1 · OHIO 38.3
MRSH 34 · OHIO 40
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenOHIO -2.5
1 → OHIO
CloseOHIO -3.5
1 pt toward OHIO
Total
Open156.5
▲ 1
Close157.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MRSH +142 · OHIO -170
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened OHIO -2.5 · closed OHIO -3.5 · moved 1 toward OHIOmodel OHIO -4
model OHIO -4
Opened 156.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 upmodel 159
model 159
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MRSHlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% |
| OHIOlast 8 | 2-6 25% | 3-5 38% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MRSH 3–1 OHIOMRSH leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MRSH has won the last 3 meetings · MRSH 3-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | OHIO 70 @ MRSH 79 | MRSH +1.5 | MRSH W |
| Dec 9, 2023-24 | MRSH 74 @ OHIO 69 | OHIO -7.5 | MRSH W |
| Dec 3, 2022-23 | OHIO 69 @ MRSH 83 | MRSH -8.5 | MRSH W |
| Dec 15, 2021-22 | MRSH 65 @ OHIO 75 | OHIO -4 | OHIO W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marshall
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg +3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ MASS | W 78-72 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 8 | @ TOL | W 85-73 | +2.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 12 | vs ELON | W 96-89 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 15 | @ UVA | L 78-104 | +20.5 | L −5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 20 | vs UAPB | W 98-70 | -20.5 | W +7.5 | 164.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 23 | vs MERC | W 69-60 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 26 | vs LIP | L 67-90 | -7.5 | L −30.5 | 157.5 | U 157 |
| Dec 3 | @ UNCW | L 69-70 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | U 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
+10.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
+14.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
−1.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
−5.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+7.5
23
vsMERC
MERCW 69-60
−2.5
26
vsLIP
LIPL 67-90
−30.5
3
@UNCW
UNCWL 69-70
+7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@MASS
MASSW 78-72
−2.5
8
@TOL
TOLW 85-73
−2.5
12
vsELON
ELONW 96-89
+29.5
15
@UVA
UVAL 78-104
+26.5
20
vsUAPB
UAPBW 98-70
+3.5
23
vsMERC
MERCW 69-60
−18.5
26
vsLIP
LIPL 67-90
−0.5
3
@UNCW
UNCWL 69-70
−11.5
over 3under 5avg +3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ohio
8 games played
Straight up
2-6
25% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg −4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +0.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ARST | L 85-89 | -3.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 6 | vs ILST | W 72-68 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 11 | @ SMC | L 60-90 | +17.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 15 | @ LOU | L 81-106 | +31.5 | W +6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 19 | vs BCU | L 73-76 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 157.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs GMU | L 69-92 | +7.5 | L −15.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 25 | vs LMU | L 58-70 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Dec 3 | vs ME | W 79-57 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
−7.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
+2.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
−12.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+6.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−9.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
−15.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−8.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
+9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsARST
ARSTL 85-89
+14.5
6
vsILST
ILSTW 72-68
−21.5
11
@SMC
SMCL 60-90
+5.5
15
@LOU
LOUL 81-106
+12.5
19
vsBCU
BCUL 73-76
−8.5
24
vsGMU
GMUL 69-92
+18.5
25
vsLMU
LMUL 58-70
−16.5
3
vsME
MEW 79-57
−2.5
over 4under 4avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marshall
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ UNC Wilmington69–70
- Lvs Lipscomb67–90
- Wvs Mercyhurst69–60
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff98–70
- L@ Virginia78–104
3 days since their last game.
Ohio
2-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maine79–57
- Lvs LMU58–70
- Lvs George Mason69–92
- Lvs Bethune73–76
- L@ Louisville81–106
3 days since their last game.