Mississippi Coast Coliseum · Neutral site
Closing line
MISS -12.5✓ USM covered by 8.5
MISS -12.5✓ USM covered by 8.5Closing total138.5Under by 0.5
 USM | This season | MISS |
|---|---|---|
| 4-4 | Record | 5-4 |
| 3-5 | ATS | 2-7 |
| 5-3 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USM 67–81 MISS · ✓ MISS (89%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USM | 29 | 38 | 67 |
| MISS | 31 | 40 | 71 |
1st half: USM 29, MISS 31 (MISS by 2). The model had MISS by 8.5 and a total of 69.0 (actual 60).
Team stats
| USM | MISS | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 24-49 49% |
| 4-16 25% | 3-pointers | 5-17 29% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 28 4 off |
| 10 | Assists | 10 |
| 4 | Steals | 10 |
| 1 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 19 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| USM | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tylik Weeks F | 38 | 18 | 10 | 4 | 8-19 | 0-2 |
| Dylan Brumfield G | 36 | 8 | 2 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-1 |
| Curt Lewis G | 35 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Djahi Binet F | 31 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Taveras G | 29 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 9-13 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Brewer Carruth G | 13 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Tegra Izay C | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Chiante' Tramble G | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Fallou Diagne C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Robert Cowherd G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Felipe Patino, Chandler Watts, IJ Ezuma, Israel Hart, Dalyn Brandon, Jett Montgomery, EJ Paymon, Blake Lander
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AJ Storr G | 36 | 21 | 4 | 1 | 8-12 | 1-4 |
| Ilias Kamardine G | 33 | 4 | 6 | 2 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Malik Dia F | 25 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Corey Chest F | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Travis Perry G | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kezza Giffa G | 27 | 13 | 2 | 2 | 4-6 | 1-3 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 22 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| James Scott F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Koren Johnson G | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Day G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Hobert Grayson IV, Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Tylis Jordan
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMISS -13.5
1 → USM
CloseMISS -12.5
1 pt toward USM
Total
Open142.5
▼ 4
Close138.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
USM +650 · MISS -1000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MISS -13.5 · closed MISS -12.5 · moved 1 toward USMmodel MISS -14.5
model MISS -14.5
Opened 142.5 · closed 138.5 · moved 4 downmodel 147.5
model 147.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MISS -12.5 | MISS -14.3 | MISS +1.8 | L USM covered |
| Total | 138.5 | 147.4 | Over 8.9 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | USM 66.5 · MISS 80.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MISS -8.5 | MISS -2.0 |
| 1H total | 69.0 | 60 |
| 1H projected score | USM 30.3 · MISS 38.7 | USM 29 · MISS 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USMlast 8 | 4-4 50% | 3-5 38% | 5-3 63% |
| MISSlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 2-7 22% | 6-3 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
USM 0–2 MISSMISS leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · MISS has won the last 2 meetings · USM 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 14, 2024-25 | USM 46 vs MISS 77 | MISS -23.5 | MISS W |
| Dec 23, 2023-24 | USM 72 vs MISS 89 | MISS -9.5 | MISS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern Miss
8 games played
Straight up
4-4
50% wins
Against the spread
3-5
38% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-3
63% overs · avg +2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ BUF | L 79-85 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 153.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 9 | @ SC | L 79-83 | +17.5 | W +13.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 13 | @ GRAM | L 70-75 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 148.5 | U 145 |
| Nov 22 | vs UNF | W 92-83 | -9.5 | L −0.5 | 154.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 23 | vs UTM | W 70-60 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 3 | @ RAD | W 82-75 | +3.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | @ MIA | L 64-88 | +19.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 8 | vsGRAM | W 68-60 | -8.5 | L −0.5 | 142.5 | U 128 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
−2.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+13.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−2.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
−0.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
+11.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+10.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
−4.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−0.5
covered 3didn’t cover 5avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@BUF
BUFL 79-85
+10.5
9
@SC
SCL 79-83
+14.5
13
@GRAM
GRAML 70-75
−3.5
22
vsUNF
UNFW 92-83
+20.5
23
vsUTM
UTMW 70-60
−16.5
3
@RAD
RADW 82-75
+4.5
6
@MIA
MIAL 64-88
+6.5
8
vsGRAM
GRAMW 68-60
−14.5
over 5under 3avg +2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Ole Miss
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
2-7
22% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg −2.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vsMIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 6 | @ SJU | L 58-63 | +13.5 | W +8.5 | 151.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
+8.5
covered 2didn’t cover 7avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
6
@SJU
SJUL 58-63
−30.5
over 6under 3avg −2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern Miss
4-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Sun Belt Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Grambling68–60
- L@ Miami64–88
- W@ Radford82–75
- Wvs UT Martin70–60
- Wvs North Florida92–83
5 days since their last game.
Ole Miss
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ St John's58–63
- Lvs Miami66–75
- Lvs Utah74–75
- Lvs Iowa69–74
- Wvs Austin Peay72–65
A week or more of rest.