Madison Square Garden · at St John's
Closing line
SJU -13.5✓ MISS covered by 8.5
SJU -13.5✓ MISS covered by 8.5Closing total151.5Under by 30.5
 MISS | This season | SJU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-3 | Record | 4-3 |
| 1-7 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 6-2 | O/U | 4-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MISS 69–87 SJU · ✓ SJU (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISS | 25 | 33 | 58 |
| SJU | 33 | 30 | 63 |
1st half: MISS 25, SJU 33 (SJU by 8). The model had SJU by 10.6 and a total of 73.0 (actual 58).
Team stats
| MISS | SJU | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-55 36% | Field goals | 17-50 34% |
| 2-16 13% | 3-pointers | 4-22 18% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 25-35 71% |
| 36 13 off | Rebounds | 38 15 off |
| 9 | Assists | 8 |
| 11 | Steals | 13 |
| 3 | Blocks | 10 |
| 20 | Turnovers | 20 |
| 26 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| MISS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ilias Kamardine G | 33 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 6-13 | 2-5 |
| AJ Storr G | 15 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-6 | 0-2 |
| Travis Perry G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| James Scott F | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Augusto Cassia F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malik Dia F | 27 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 7-13 | 0-1 |
| Corey Chest F | 25 | 6 | 10 | 2 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Kezza Giffa G | 24 | 10 | 1 | 2 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Koren Johnson G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Patton Pinkins G | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Hobert Grayson IV G | 9 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Eduardo Klafke G | 7 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zach Day G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Max Smith, Niko Bundalo, Tylis Jordan
| SJU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oziyah Sellers G | 39 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Zuby Ejiofor F | 35 | 15 | 9 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-2 |
| Dylan Darling G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bryce Hopkins F | 23 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Joson Sanon G | 19 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dillon Mitchell F | 23 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Ian Jackson G | 19 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-11 | 1-6 |
| Sadiku Ibine Ayo F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-1 |
| Ruben Prey F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Lefteris Liotopoulos G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Casper Pohto G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Imran Suljanovic, Fotis Konstantinidis, Kelvin Odih, Handje Tamba
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJU -12.5
1 → SJU
CloseSJU -13.5
1 pt toward SJU
Total
Open154.5
▼ 3
Close151.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
MISS +700 · SJU -1100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJU -12.5 · closed SJU -13.5 · moved 1 toward SJUmodel SJU -18
model SJU -18
Opened 154.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 downmodel 156
model 156
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | SJU -13.5 | SJU -17.9 | SJU +4.4 | L MISS covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 155.9 | Over 4.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | MISS 69 · SJU 86.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | SJU -10.6 | SJU -8.0 |
| 1H total | 73.0 | 58 |
| 1H projected score | MISS 31.2 · SJU 41.8 | MISS 25 · SJU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MISSlast 8 | 5-3 63% | 1-7 13% | 6-2 75% |
| SJUlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 5-2 71% | 4-3 57% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Ole Miss
8 games played
Straight up
5-3
63% wins
Against the spread
1-7
13% covers · avg −6.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SELA | W 88-58 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 7 | vs ULM | W 86-65 | -37.5 | L −16.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 11 | vs MEM | W 83-77 | -9.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 14 | vs CSUB | W 82-60 | -23.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 18 | vs APSU | W 72-65 | -20.5 | L −13.5 | 145.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 25 | vs IOWA | L 69-74 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 140.5 | O 143 |
| Nov 26 | vs UTAH | L 74-75 | -10.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIA | L 66-75 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+8.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
−16.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
−3.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
−1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−13.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
−0.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
−11.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 7avg −6.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSELA
SELAW 88-58
+2.5
7
vsULM
ULMW 86-65
+1.5
11
vsMEM
MEMW 83-77
+7.5
14
vsCSUB
CSUBW 82-60
+1.5
18
vsAPSU
APSUW 72-65
−8.5
25
vsIOWA
IOWAL 69-74
+2.5
26
vsUTAH
UTAHL 74-75
+4.5
2
vsMIA
MIAL 66-75
−4.5
over 6under 2avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
St John's
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-3
57% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs QUIN | W 108-74 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 156.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 8 | vs ALA | L 96-103 | -4.5 | L −11.5 | 172.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 15 | vs W&M | W 93-60 | -28.5 | W +4.5 | 179.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 20 | vs BUCK | W 97-49 | -28.5 | W +19.5 | 158.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 24 | vs ISU | L 82-83 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 158.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 25 | vs BAY | W 96-81 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 159.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 74-85 | -4.5 | L −15.5 | 166.5 | U 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+7.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
−11.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
+4.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
+19.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+1.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+9.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−15.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUIN
QUINW 108-74
+25.5
8
vsALA
ALAL 96-103
+26.5
15
vsW&M
W&MW 93-60
−26.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 97-49
−12.5
24
vsISU
ISUL 82-83
+6.5
25
vsBAY
BAYW 96-81
+17.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 74-85
−7.5
over 4under 3avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Ole Miss
5-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Miami66–75
- Lvs Utah74–75
- Lvs Iowa69–74
- Wvs Austin Peay72–65
- Wvs Bakersfield82–60
4 days since their last game.
St John's
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Auburn74–85
- Wvs Baylor96–81
- Lvs Iowa State82–83
- Wvs Bucknell97–49
- Wvs William & Mary93–60
A week or more of rest.