UC San Diego Tritons at Nevada Wolf Pack: Model Line and Edge

Tue, Dec 2, 10:00 PM ETLawlor Events Center · at Nevada

Final

#96NEVNevada76▲ winner

Closing lineNEV -5.5✓ NEV covered by 0.5

Closing total149.5Under by 3.5

Season records: UC San Diego and Nevada
UCSD	This season	NEV
6-0	Record	5-3
6-0	ATS	3-5
4-2	O/U	6-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: UCSD 74–77 NEV · ✓ NEV (60%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
UCSD	27	43	70
NEV	35	41	76

1st half: UCSD 27, NEV 35 (NEV by 8). The model had NEV by 1.6 and a total of 70.8 (actual 62).

Team stats

UCSD		NEV
28-69 41%	Field goals	28-60 47%
6-23 26%	3-pointers	7-20 35%
8-11 73%	Free throws	13-22 59%
36 13 off	Rebounds	45 15 off
8	Assists	19
5	Steals	3
2	Blocks	6
4	Turnovers	8
19	Fouls	12
44	Points in paint	34
2	Fast-break points	18

Players

UCSD	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Tom Beattie G	32	11	5	3	5-13	1-3
Leo Beath F	31	17	2	0	7-13	1-4
Aidan Burke G	30	8	3	1	2-9	2-7
Emanuel Prospere II G	26	12	5	1	6-13	0-1
Bol Dengdit C	24	8	3	3	3-6	0-0
Bench
Hudson Mayes G	21	6	9	0	2-6	0-0
Alex Chaikin G	19	6	2	0	2-5	2-5
Trap Johnson G	9	2	2	0	1-2	0-1
Cade Pendleton F	8	0	2	0	0-2	0-2

Did not play: Yaqub Mir, Dimitrije Vukicevic, Ryder Elisaldez, Christopher Cox, Tyson Dunn, Jasen Brooks, Jaden Vance

NEV	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Corey Camper Jr. G	30	15	3	3	3-10	2-6
Tayshawn Comer G	28	12	2	6	4-8	2-4
Elijah Price F	26	9	8	1	4-11	1-2
Chuck Bailey III G	21	9	6	0	4-10	1-4
Kaleb Lowery F	15	2	1	1	1-1	0-0
Bench
Peyton White G	22	11	9	0	4-7	0-2
Vaughn Weems G	21	11	5	0	5-6	1-2
Ethan Croley F	13	3	5	0	1-4	0-0
Myles Walker G	12	4	2	5	2-3	0-0
Tyler Rolison G	12	0	0	3	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Amire Robinson, Joel Armotrading, Christopher Baudreau, Jeriah Coleman

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
UCSD WWWWW	6-0	100%	1-0	3-0
NEV LLWLW	3-5	38%	2-3	2-3

Venue/role: UCSD away, as underdog; NEV home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
UCSD OUOOO	4-2	67%	6-0
NEV OOUOO	6-2	75%	5-3

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UCSDlast 6	6-0 100%	6-0 100%	4-2 67%
NEVlast 8	5-3 63%	3-5 38%	6-2 75%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

UCSD 0–1 NEVNEV leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UCSD 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Dec 14, 2022-23	UCSD 56 @ NEV 64	NEV -14.5	UCSD W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

UC San Diego

6 games played

Straight up

6-0

100% wins

Against the spread

6-0

100% covers · avg +10 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-2

67% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

6-0100%

W W W W W W

6 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

6-0100%

W W W W W W

6 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

4-267%

U O U O O O

3 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 8	vsHCU	W 78-60	-7.5	W +10.5	141.5	U 138
Nov 12	@FRES	W 78-73	+1.5	W +6.5	148.5	O 151
Nov 15	vsIDHO	W 75-67	-5.5	W +2.5	148.5	U 142
Nov 24	vsTEM	W 91-76	+1.5	W +16.5	148.5	O 167
Nov 25	vsBRAD	W 87-77	+1.5	W +11.5	145.5	O 164
Nov 26	vsTOW	W 87-73	-1.5	W +12.5	138.5	O 160

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

HCU

W 78-60

+10.5

FRES

W 78-73

+6.5

IDHO

W 75-67

+2.5

TEM

W 91-76

+16.5

BRAD

W 87-77

+11.5

TOW

W 87-73

+12.5

covered 6didn’t cover 0avg +10 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

HCU

W 78-60

−3.5

FRES

W 78-73

+2.5

IDHO

W 75-67

−6.5

TEM

W 91-76

+18.5

BRAD

W 87-77

+18.5

TOW

W 87-73

+21.5

over 4under 2avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Nevada

8 games played

Straight up

5-3

63% wins

Against the spread

3-5

38% covers · avg −1.4 pts vs the line

Over / Under

6-2

75% overs · avg +7.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-363%

W W W L L W L W

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

3-538%

W L L L L W L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

6-275%

U O O O O U O O

2 straight overs3 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsLT	W 77-50	-9.5	W +17.5	136.5	U 127
Nov 8	vsPAC	W 78-77	-13.5	L −12.5	139.5	O 155
Nov 12	vsSIU	W 86-81	-11.5	L −6.5	152.5	O 167
Nov 15	@SCU	L 83-98	+6.5	L −8.5	144.5	O 181
Nov 18	vsUCD	L 71-75	-12.5	L −16.5	143.5	O 146
Nov 22	vsUCSB	W 77-64	-5.5	W +7.5	147.5	U 141
Nov 27	vsWASH	L 66-83	+3.5	L −13.5	145.5	O 149
Nov 28	vsSF	W 81-65	+5.5	W +21.5	142.5	O 146

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

W 77-50

+17.5

PAC

W 78-77

−12.5

SIU

W 86-81

−6.5

SCU

L 83-98

−8.5

UCD

L 71-75

−16.5

UCSB

W 77-64

+7.5

WASH

L 66-83

−13.5

W 81-65

+21.5

covered 3didn’t cover 5avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

W 77-50

−9.5

PAC

W 78-77

+15.5

SIU

W 86-81

+14.5

SCU

L 83-98

+36.5

UCD

L 71-75

+2.5

UCSB

W 77-64

−6.5

WASH

L 66-83

+3.5

W 81-65

+3.5

over 6under 2avg +7.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

UC San Diego @ Nevada

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market vs model

Market

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

UC San Diego

Nevada

UC San Diego

Nevada