Joan Perry Brock Center · at Longwood · Conference game
Closing line
LONG -6.5✓ LONG covered by 0.5
LONG -6.5✓ LONG covered by 0.5Closing total147.5Over by 9.5
 UPST | This season | LONG |
|---|---|---|
| 8-15 | Record | 10-14 |
| 11-12 | ATS | 10-14 |
| 12-11 | O/U | 12-12 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UPST 73–78 LONG · ✓ LONG (67%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 28 | 41 | 6 | 75 |
| LONG | 31 | 38 | 13 | 82 |
1st half: UPST 28, LONG 31 (LONG by 3). The model had LONG by 3.0 and a total of 70.3 (actual 59).
Team stats
| UPST | LONG | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-67 42% | Field goals | 28-68 41% |
| 6-20 30% | 3-pointers | 10-16 63% |
| 13-23 57% | Free throws | 16-24 67% |
| 41 13 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 6 | Steals | 10 |
| 9 | Blocks | 4 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 23 | Fouls | 21 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Adkins G | 44 | 13 | 8 | 6 | 4-12 | 1-5 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 40 | 19 | 9 | 0 | 7-19 | 2-4 |
| Karmani Gregory G | 40 | 23 | 3 | 1 | 9-22 | 2-9 |
| Isaiah Skinner G | 34 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 20 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Breylin Garcia F | 15 | 6 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Coen Collier C | 14 | 1 | 7 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Smith G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Learic Davis F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chico Johnson, TJ Lewis, Nic Book, Kanye Jones, CJ Rich
| LONG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacoi Hutchinson G | 33 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-11 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Tucker F | 30 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 4-12 | 0-0 |
| Emanuel Richards G | 28 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-9 | 1-1 |
| Johan Nziemi F | 22 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Kelly G | 12 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Alphonzo Billups III G | 37 | 25 | 8 | 3 | 9-13 | 6-9 |
| Jaylen Benard G | 28 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Redd Thompson Jr. G | 24 | 12 | 1 | 1 | 3-11 | 2-4 |
| Elijah Jones F | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaylin Payne F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: KJ McClurg, Quadri Bashiru, Jerome Williams, Gerald Burr III, Isaiah Kalala
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLONG -6.5
ModelLONG -5.2
Model edgeUPST +1.3
L LONG covered
Total
Market147.5
Model150.1
Model edgeOver 2.6
W Over
Projected score
UPST 72.5 · LONG 77.7
UPST 75 · LONG 82
Win probability
LONG 67%
1st half
Spread
LONG -3.0
LONG -3.0
Total
70.3
59 points
Projected score
UPST 33.6 · LONG 36.6
UPST 28 · LONG 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLONG -5.5
1 → LONG
CloseLONG -6.5
1 pt toward LONG
Total
Open143.5
▲ 4
Close147.5
Up 4 since the open
Moneyline
UPST +215 · LONG -265
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LONG -5.5 · closed LONG -6.5 · moved 1 toward LONGmodel LONG -5
model LONG -5
Opened 143.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 4 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 3-7 30% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| LONG | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
UPST 4–5 LONGLONG leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · UPST 5-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 29, 2025-26 | LONG 60 @ UPST 65 | UPST +1.5 | UPST W |
| Mar 1, 2024-25 | LONG 83 @ UPST 66 | UPST +7.5 | LONG W |
| Jan 25, 2024-25 | UPST 54 @ LONG 80 | LONG -11.5 | LONG W |
| Feb 7, 2023-24 | UPST 69 @ LONG 64 | LONG -7.5 | UPST W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | LONG 71 @ UPST 73 | UPST +5.5 | UPST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SC Upstate
23 games played
Straight up
8-15
35% wins
Against the spread
11-12
48% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-11
52% overs · avg −2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CBU | L 75-87 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 5 | @ FRES | W 67-66 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNCW | L 60-73 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | vs TNTC | L 84-88 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | @ WGA | L 64-72 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs NCCU | W 82-67 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ NEB | L 63-72 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs CCU | W 85-78 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs WCU | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNC | L 62-80 | +29.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | @ SCST | W 78-72 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ YSU | L 65-74 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 31 | vs RAD | L 69-76 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ PRES | L 77-86 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIN | L 50-71 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 14 | @ CHSO | W 86-81 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ HPU | L 69-89 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vs UNCA | L 69-83 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ GWEB | L 65-67 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 29 | vsLONG | W 65-60 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 4 | @UNCA | L 67-76 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 139.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 7 | vsCHSO | W 100-94 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 194 |
| Feb 12 | vsHPU | L 70-95 | +14.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
+1.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
−6.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−5.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+7.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
+16.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+4.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
+8.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
+11.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
−4.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
31
vsRAD
RADL 69-76
−8.5
3
@PRES
PRESL 77-86
−7.5
10
vsWIN
WINL 50-71
−15.5
14
@CHSO
CHSOW 86-81
+11.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 69-89
−3.5
21
vsUNCA
UNCAL 69-83
−15.5
23
@GWEB
GWEBL 65-67
−11.5
29
vsLONG
LONGW 65-60
+6.5
4
@UNCA
UNCAL 67-76
−2.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 100-94
+7.5
12
vsHPU
HPUL 70-95
−10.5
covered 11didn’t cover 12avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
−22.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
+21.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−17.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+0.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
−22.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+18.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
−4.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
−9.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
+2.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
31
vsRAD
RADL 69-76
−13.5
3
@PRES
PRESL 77-86
+25.5
10
vsWIN
WINL 50-71
−36.5
14
@CHSO
CHSOW 86-81
+11.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 69-89
+5.5
21
vsUNCA
UNCAL 69-83
+6.5
23
@GWEB
GWEBL 65-67
−21.5
29
vsLONG
LONGW 65-60
−22.5
4
@UNCA
UNCAL 67-76
+3.5
7
vsCHSO
CHSOW 100-94
+43.5
12
vsHPU
HPUL 70-95
+10.5
over 12under 11avg −2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Longwood
24 games played
Straight up
10-14
42% wins
Against the spread
10-14
42% covers · avg −1.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-12
50% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ PITT | L 60-78 | +14.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 12 | vs JMU | W 82-72 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 149.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs BING | W 90-82 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 18 | vs UMES | L 82-83 | -17.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 23 | @ COLU | L 70-95 | +3.5 | L −21.5 | 153.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 28 | vs SIE | L 63-70 | +5.5 | L −1.5 | 145.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 29 | vs ME | W 65-61 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 30 | @ AMER | L 66-92 | +5.5 | L −20.5 | 148.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | @ MORG | W 84-80 | -5.5 | L −1.5 | 154.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 13 | vs DSU | L 76-81 | -13.5 | L −18.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 17 | @ WAKE | L 68-71 | +24.5 | W +21.5 | 163.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 20 | @NCCU | W 74-72 | -3.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Dec 31 | vsWIN | W 82-70 | +7.5 | W +19.5 | 161.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 3 | @HPU | L 67-80 | +16.5 | W +3.5 | 160.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | @UNCA | L 61-72 | +2.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | vsPRES | W 77-70 | -3.5 | W +3.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Jan 17 | @RAD | L 83-85 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Jan 21 | vsGWEB | W 91-56 | -16.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 23 | vsCHSO | W 81-79 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 29 | @UPST | L 60-65 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
| Jan 31 | vsHPU | L 59-71 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 156.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 4 | @GWEB | W 86-66 | -12.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 7 | @WIN | L 74-79 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 153.5 | U 153 |
| Feb 12 | vsUNCA | L 74-79 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−3.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+11.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
−7.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
−18.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
−21.5
28
vsSIE
SIEL 63-70
−1.5
29
vsME
MEW 65-61
−1.5
30
@AMER
AMERL 66-92
−20.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 84-80
−1.5
13
vsDSU
DSUL 76-81
−18.5
17
@WAKE
WAKEL 68-71
+21.5
20
@NCCU
NCCUW 74-72
−1.5
31
vsWIN
WINW 82-70
+19.5
3
@HPU
HPUL 67-80
+3.5
7
@UNCA
UNCAL 61-72
−8.5
10
vsPRES
PRESW 77-70
+3.5
17
@RAD
RADL 83-85
+2.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 91-56
+18.5
23
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-79
+0.5
29
@UPST
UPSTL 60-65
−6.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 59-71
−2.5
4
@GWEB
GWEBW 86-66
+7.5
7
@WIN
WINL 74-79
+5.5
12
vsUNCA
UNCAL 74-79
−7.5
covered 10didn’t cover 14avg −1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@PITT
PITTL 60-78
−7.5
12
vsJMU
JMUW 82-72
+4.5
15
vsBING
BINGW 90-82
+24.5
18
vsUMES
UMESL 82-83
+26.5
23
@COLU
COLUL 70-95
+11.5
28
vsSIE
SIEL 63-70
−12.5
29
vsME
MEW 65-61
−12.5
30
@AMER
AMERL 66-92
+9.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 84-80
+9.5
13
vsDSU
DSUL 76-81
+17.5
17
@WAKE
WAKEL 68-71
−24.5
20
@NCCU
NCCUW 74-72
−0.5
31
vsWIN
WINW 82-70
−9.5
3
@HPU
HPUL 67-80
−13.5
7
@UNCA
UNCAL 61-72
−15.5
10
vsPRES
PRESW 77-70
+7.5
17
@RAD
RADL 83-85
+10.5
21
vsGWEB
GWEBW 91-56
−8.5
23
vsCHSO
CHSOW 81-79
+3.5
29
@UPST
UPSTL 60-65
−22.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 59-71
−26.5
4
@GWEB
GWEBW 86-66
+4.5
7
@WIN
WINL 74-79
−0.5
12
vsUNCA
UNCAL 74-79
+11.5
over 12under 12avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SC Upstate
8-15 overall · 3-8 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs High Point70–95
- Wvs Charleston So100–94
- L@ UNC Asheville67–76
- Wvs Longwood65–60
- L@ Gardner-Webb65–67
2 days since their last game.
Longwood
10-14 overall · 5-7 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UNC Asheville74–79
- L@ Winthrop74–79
- W@ Gardner-Webb86–66
- Lvs High Point59–71
- L@ SC Upstate60–65
2 days since their last game.