Kimmel Arena · at UNC Asheville · Conference game
Closing line
UNCA -6.5✓ UNCA covered by 2.5
UNCA -6.5✓ UNCA covered by 2.5Closing total139.5Over by 3.5
 UPST | This season | UNCA |
|---|---|---|
| 7-13 | Record | 7-13 |
| 10-10 | ATS | 11-9 |
| 9-11 | O/U | 10-10 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UPST 68–75 UNCA · ✓ UNCA (70%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 36 | 31 | 67 |
| UNCA | 32 | 44 | 76 |
1st half: UPST 36, UNCA 32 (UPST by 4). The model had UNCA by 3.5 and a total of 66.9 (actual 68).
Team stats
| UPST | UNCA | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-61 41% | Field goals | 28-53 53% |
| 6-23 26% | 3-pointers | 8-23 35% |
| 11-17 65% | Free throws | 12-19 63% |
| 31 10 off | Rebounds | 35 7 off |
| 12 | Assists | 14 |
| 5 | Steals | 3 |
| 0 | Blocks | 6 |
| 9 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 17 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 17 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| UPST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carmelo Adkins G | 39 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 4-13 | 2-7 |
| Karmani Gregory G | 37 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 7-15 | 1-5 |
| Mason Bendinger G | 27 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-8 | 0-0 |
| Jafeth Martinez F | 20 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Learic Davis F | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Skinner G | 30 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 3-8 |
| Tyler Smith G | 21 | 6 | 1 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-1 |
| Coen Collier C | 11 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Breylin Garcia F | 10 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nic Book, CJ Rich, TJ Lewis, Kanye Jones, Chico Johnson
| UNCA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DJ Patrick G | 38 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 4-10 | 4-9 |
| Toyaz Solomon F | 37 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 5-10 | 0-2 |
| Kam Taylor G | 37 | 21 | 3 | 5 | 8-14 | 2-6 |
| Daniel Thomas F | 31 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Justin Wright G | 27 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Myles Mayfield F | 21 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| Julian Clarke PG | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sage Tolentino F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Corey Jones G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: David Hermes, Mitchell Taylor, Rasheed Baldwin, Jakel Powell, Connor Dubsky, Hugo Maton, Brayden Rivers
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUNCA -6.5
ModelUNCA -6.2
Model edgeUPST +0.3
L UNCA covered
Total
Market139.5
Model142.9
Model edgeOver 3.4
W Over
Projected score
UPST 68.4 · UNCA 74.5
UPST 67 · UNCA 76
Win probability
UNCA 70%
1st half
Spread
UNCA -3.5
UPST -4.0
Total
66.9
68 points
Projected score
UPST 31.7 · UNCA 35.2
UPST 36 · UNCA 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNCA -7.5
1 → UPST
CloseUNCA -6.5
1 pt toward UPST
Total
Open139.5
no move
Close139.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
UPST +250 · UNCA -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNCA -7.5 · closed UNCA -6.5 · moved 1 toward UPSTmodel UNCA -6
model UNCA -6
Opened 139.5 · unchangedmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UPST | 3-7 30% | 2-8 20% | 5-5 50% |
| UNCA | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 10 since 2021-22
UPST 2–8 UNCAUNCA leads · 10 games since 2021-22 · UNCA has won the last 6 meetings · UPST 6-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 21, 2025-26 | UNCA 83 @ UPST 69 | UPST -1.5 | UNCA W |
| Feb 12, 2024-25 | UNCA 92 @ UPST 85 | UPST +9.5 | UPST W |
| Jan 15, 2024-25 | UPST 92 @ UNCA 93 | UNCA -11.5 | UPST W |
| Feb 10, 2023-24 | UNCA 77 @ UPST 64 | UPST +4.5 | UNCA W |
| Jan 3, 2023-24 | UPST 67 @ UNCA 95 | UNCA -10.5 | UNCA W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
SC Upstate
20 games played
Straight up
7-13
35% wins
Against the spread
10-10
50% covers · avg 0 pts vs the line
Over / Under
9-11
45% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ CBU | L 75-87 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 5 | @ FRES | W 67-66 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 164.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 15 | @ UNCW | L 60-73 | +14.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | vs TNTC | L 84-88 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 21 | @ WGA | L 64-72 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 25 | vs NCCU | W 82-67 | -7.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 29 | @ NEB | L 63-72 | +25.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 3 | vs CCU | W 85-78 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 6 | vs WCU | W 78-67 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 13 | @ UNC | L 62-80 | +29.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 16 | @ SCST | W 78-72 | -10.5 | L −4.5 | 147.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 20 | @ YSU | L 65-74 | +6.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 31 | vs RAD | L 69-76 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 158.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 3 | @ PRES | L 77-86 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 137.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 10 | vs WIN | L 50-71 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 157.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 14 | @ CHSO | W 86-81 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 155.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 17 | @ HPU | L 69-89 | +16.5 | L −3.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 21 | vsUNCA | L 69-83 | -1.5 | L −15.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 23 | @ GWEB | L 65-67 | -9.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 29 | vs LONG | W 65-60 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | U 125 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+2.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
+10.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
+1.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
−6.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−5.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+7.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
+16.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+4.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
+8.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
+11.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
−4.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
31
vsRAD
RADL 69-76
−8.5
3
@PRES
PRESL 77-86
−7.5
10
vsWIN
WINL 50-71
−15.5
14
@CHSO
CHSOW 86-81
+11.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 69-89
−3.5
21
vsUNCA
UNCAL 69-83
−15.5
23
@GWEB
GWEBL 65-67
−11.5
29
vsLONG
LONGW 65-60
+6.5
covered 10didn’t cover 10avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@CBU
CBUL 75-87
+9.5
5
@FRES
FRESW 67-66
−31.5
15
@UNCW
UNCWL 60-73
−22.5
19
vsTNTC
TNTCL 84-88
+21.5
21
@WGA
WGAL 64-72
−17.5
25
vsNCCU
NCCUW 82-67
+0.5
29
@NEB
NEBL 63-72
−22.5
3
vsCCU
CCUW 85-78
+18.5
6
vsWCU
WCUW 78-67
−4.5
13
@UNC
UNCL 62-80
−9.5
16
@SCST
SCSTW 78-72
+2.5
20
@YSU
YSUL 65-74
−2.5
31
vsRAD
RADL 69-76
−13.5
3
@PRES
PRESL 77-86
+25.5
10
vsWIN
WINL 50-71
−36.5
14
@CHSO
CHSOW 86-81
+11.5
17
@HPU
HPUL 69-89
+5.5
21
vsUNCA
UNCAL 69-83
+6.5
23
@GWEB
GWEBL 65-67
−21.5
29
vsLONG
LONGW 65-60
−22.5
over 9under 11avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
UNC Asheville
20 games played
Straight up
7-13
35% wins
Against the spread
11-9
55% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
10-10
50% overs · avg −4.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ WICH | L 58-75 | +6.5 | L −10.5 | 157.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | @ GASO | L 90-93 | +5.5 | W +2.5 | 162.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 11 | vs LIP | W 69-64 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 19 | @WCU | L 73-80 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 152.5 | O 153 |
| Nov 25 | vs TNST | L 73-75 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 164.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 30 | vs APP | W 67-55 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 137.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs UNCG | W 82-77 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | @ NCSU | L 63-75 | +28.5 | W +16.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 10 | vs M-OH | L 87-90 | +6.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | O 177 |
| Dec 13 | vs STMN | L 59-80 | +3.5 | L −17.5 | 148.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 21 | @ UAB | L 47-72 | +13.5 | L −11.5 | 151.5 | U 119 |
| Dec 31 | vsHPU | L 69-87 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 3 | @CHSO | L 83-86 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 151.5 | O 169 |
| Jan 7 | vsLONG | W 72-61 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 10 | @RAD | W 91-72 | +4.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 14 | @PRES | L 70-71 | -2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 141 |
| Jan 17 | vsWIN | L 67-69 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 152.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 21 | @UPST | W 83-69 | +1.5 | W +15.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 29 | vsGWEB | W 69-50 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | U 119 |
| Jan 31 | @WIN | L 71-84 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 147.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−10.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+2.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−1.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
−8.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−7.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
+10.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+0.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
+16.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+3.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−17.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−11.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 69-87
−7.5
3
@CHSO
CHSOL 83-86
+1.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 72-61
+8.5
10
@RAD
RADW 91-72
+23.5
14
@PRES
PRESL 70-71
−3.5
17
vsWIN
WINL 67-69
+3.5
21
@UPST
UPSTW 83-69
+15.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 69-50
+1.5
31
@WIN
WINL 71-84
−3.5
covered 11didn’t cover 9avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@WICH
WICHL 58-75
−24.5
8
@GASO
GASOL 90-93
+20.5
11
vsLIP
LIPW 69-64
−25.5
19
@WCU
WCUL 73-80
+0.5
25
vsTNST
TNSTL 73-75
−16.5
30
vsAPP
APPW 67-55
−15.5
2
vsUNCG
UNCGW 82-77
+15.5
6
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-75
−17.5
10
vsM-OH
M-OHL 87-90
+24.5
13
vsSTMN
STMNL 59-80
−9.5
21
@UAB
UABL 47-72
−32.5
31
vsHPU
HPUL 69-87
+4.5
3
@CHSO
CHSOL 83-86
+17.5
7
vsLONG
LONGW 72-61
−15.5
10
@RAD
RADW 91-72
+11.5
14
@PRES
PRESL 70-71
+2.5
17
vsWIN
WINL 67-69
−16.5
21
@UPST
UPSTW 83-69
+6.5
29
vsGWEB
GWEBW 69-50
−30.5
31
@WIN
WINL 71-84
+7.5
over 10under 10avg −4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
SC Upstate
7-13 overall · 2-6 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Longwood65–60
- L@ Gardner-Webb65–67
- Lvs UNC Asheville69–83
- L@ High Point69–89
- W@ Charleston So86–81
6 days since their last game.
UNC Asheville
7-13 overall · 4-5 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Winthrop71–84
- Wvs Gardner-Webb69–50
- W@ SC Upstate83–69
- Lvs Winthrop67–69
- L@ Presbyterian70–71
4 days since their last game.