Mortgage Matchup Center · Neutral site
Closing line
ARIZ -13.5✓ ARIZ covered by 9.5
ARIZ -13.5✓ ARIZ covered by 9.5Closing total153.5Under by 40.5
 SDSU | This season | ARIZ |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 10-0 |
| 4-5 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 5-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SDSU 70–86 ARIZ · ✓ ARIZ (92%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSU | 27 | 18 | 45 |
| ARIZ | 28 | 40 | 68 |
1st half: SDSU 27, ARIZ 28 (ARIZ by 1). The model had ARIZ by 9.6 and a total of 73.2 (actual 55).
Team stats
| SDSU | ARIZ | |
|---|---|---|
| 15-57 26% | Field goals | 22-58 38% |
| 1-14 7% | 3-pointers | 6-25 24% |
| 14-19 74% | Free throws | 18-27 67% |
| 28 10 off | Rebounds | 52 20 off |
| 7 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 6 | Blocks | 3 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 20 | Fouls | 14 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| SDSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reese Dixon-Waters G | 30 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-10 | 0-4 |
| Miles Heide F | 24 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Magoon Gwath F | 24 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Miles Byrd G | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Elzie Harrington G | 19 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| BJ Davis G | 20 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1-12 | 0-3 |
| Tae Simmons F | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Pharaoh Compton F | 15 | 6 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Sean Newman Jr. G | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Taj DeGourville G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Oden F | 2 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Thokbor Majak, Latrell Davis, Cam Lawin, Raymar Gonzales
| ARIZ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaden Bradley G | 36 | 11 | 7 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-2 |
| Ivan Kharchenkov F | 29 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Brayden Burries G | 25 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 4-12 | 1-6 |
| Motiejus Krivas C | 25 | 3 | 13 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Koa Peat F | 23 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tobe Awaka F | 22 | 9 | 15 | 1 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Anthony Dell'Orso G | 20 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-11 | 3-8 |
| Dwayne Aristode F | 16 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Sidi Gueye C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sven Djopmo G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Evan Nelson G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Addison Arnold G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jackson Cook, Mabil Mawut, Jackson Francois, Bryce James
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketARIZ -13.5
ModelARIZ -16.1
Model edgeARIZ +2.6
W ARIZ covered
Total
Market153.5
Model156.3
Model edgeOver 2.8
L Under
Projected score
SDSU 70.1 · ARIZ 86.2
SDSU 45 · ARIZ 68
Win probability
ARIZ 92%
1st half
Spread
ARIZ -9.6
ARIZ -1.0
Total
73.2
55 points
Projected score
SDSU 31.8 · ARIZ 41.4
SDSU 27 · ARIZ 28
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenARIZ -14.5
1 → SDSU
CloseARIZ -13.5
1 pt toward SDSU
Total
Open156.5
▼ 3
Close153.5
Down 3 since the open
Moneyline
SDSU +800 · ARIZ -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ARIZ -14.5 · closed ARIZ -13.5 · moved 1 toward SDSUmodel ARIZ -16
model ARIZ -16
Opened 156.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 3 downmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SDSUlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 4-5 44% | 5-4 56% |
| ARIZ | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
SDSU 0–1 ARIZARIZ leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · SDSU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 22, 2022-23 | SDSU 70 vs ARIZ 87 | ARIZ -2.5 | ARIZ W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
San Diego St
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
4-5
44% covers · avg −3.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +15.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LBSU | W 77-45 | -25.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 9 | vs IDST | W 73-57 | -21.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | vs TROY | L 107-108 | -14.5 | L −15.5 | 137.5 | O 215 |
| Nov 24 | vs MICH | L 54-94 | +6.5 | L −33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs ORE | W 97-80 | +2.5 | W +19.5 | 141.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 26 | vs BAY | L 81-91 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 148.5 | O 172 |
| Dec 3 | vs UVU | W 77-66 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Dec 10 | vs LAM | W 89-71 | -17.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs AF | W 81-58 | -24.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
+6.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
−15.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−33.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+19.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
−7.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
+2.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+0.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
−1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 5avg −3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 77-45
−13.5
9
vsIDST
IDSTW 73-57
−5.5
18
vsTROY
TROYL 107-108
+77.5
24
vsMICH
MICHL 54-94
−0.5
25
vsORE
OREW 97-80
+35.5
26
vsBAY
BAYL 81-91
+23.5
3
vsUVU
UVUW 77-66
−1.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 89-71
+24.5
17
vsAF
AFW 81-58
+3.5
over 5under 4avg +15.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Arizona
10 games played
Straight up
10-0
100% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +4.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-5
50% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FLA | W 93-87 | +3.5 | W +9.5 | 164.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 7 | vs UTU | W 93-67 | -33.5 | L −7.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAU | W 84-49 | -35.5 | L −0.5 | 163.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 14 | vs UCLA | W 69-65 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 19 | @ CONN | W 71-67 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs DEN | W 103-73 | -32.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 29 | vs NORF | W 98-61 | -35.5 | W +1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs AUB | W 97-68 | -11.5 | W +17.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
| Dec 13 | vs ALA | W 96-75 | -2.5 | W +18.5 | 178.5 | U 171 |
| Dec 16 | vs ACU | W 96-62 | -34.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+9.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−7.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−0.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
+2.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
+8.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
−2.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+1.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+17.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
+18.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
−0.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +4.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFLA
FLAW 93-87
+15.5
7
vsUTU
UTUW 93-67
−2.5
11
vsNAU
NAUW 84-49
−30.5
14
vsUCLA
UCLAW 69-65
−19.5
19
@CONN
CONNW 71-67
−18.5
24
vsDEN
DENW 103-73
+21.5
29
vsNORF
NORFW 98-61
+12.5
6
vsAUB
AUBW 97-68
+2.5
13
vsALA
ALAW 96-75
−7.5
16
vsACU
ACUW 96-62
+12.5
over 5under 5avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
San Diego St
6-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Air Force81–58
- Wvs Lamar89–71
- Wvs Utah Valley77–66
- Lvs Baylor81–91
- Wvs Oregon97–80
3 days since their last game.
Arizona
10-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Abilene Chrstn96–62
- Wvs Alabama96–75
- Wvs Auburn97–68
- Wvs Norfolk St98–61
- Wvs Denver103–73
4 days since their last game.